{"id":44368,"date":"2026-04-10T22:55:30","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T22:55:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-geriliyor-dort-gunluk-yukselisin-ardindan-mola-verirken-guclu-abd-enflasyonu-jeopolitik-riskler-esliginde-fedin-temkinli-durusunu-destekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T22:55:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T22:55:30","slug":"aud-usd-geriliyor-dort-gunluk-yukselisin-ardindan-mola-verirken-guclu-abd-enflasyonu-jeopolitik-riskler-esliginde-fedin-temkinli-durusunu-destekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-usd-geriliyor-dort-gunluk-yukselisin-ardindan-mola-verirken-guclu-abd-enflasyonu-jeopolitik-riskler-esliginde-fedin-temkinli-durusunu-destekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD geriliyor; d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan mola verirken, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD enflasyonu jeopolitik riskler e\u015fli\u011finde Fed\u2019in temkinli duru\u015funu destekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD, d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yatay seyretti; 0,7076 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,10 geriledi. Buna ra\u011fmen haftay\u0131 %2,50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde art\u0131da kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu.  <\/p>\n<p>ABD\u2019de Mart ay\u0131 T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi: enflasyonu \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) ayl\u0131k bazda %0,9 artt\u0131; \u00f6nceki ay %0,3\u2019t\u00fc. Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon (ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re) ise \u015eubat\u2019taki %2,4\u2019ten %3,3\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131 etkili oldu.  <\/p>\n<h3>Dolar\u0131n Oda\u011f\u0131 Jeopolitik Risklere Kayd\u0131<\/h3>\n<p>ABD Dolar\u0131, veriden net bir destek alamad\u0131; piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 (petrol sevkiyat\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) \u00e7evresindeki risklere y\u00f6neldi. ABD ve \u0130ran yetkililerinin bu hafta sonu Pakistan\u2019da bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine ba\u015flamas\u0131 bekleniyordu.  <\/p>\n<p>D\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte AUD\/USD 0,7078 civar\u0131nda seyretti; 0,7044\u2019teki 20 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli say\u0131da kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n ortalamas\u0131yla trendi g\u00f6sterir) ve 0,6959\u2019daki 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. 14 periyotluk RSI (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmle momentum\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m-sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgelerini izler) 66 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.  <\/p>\n<p>Diren\u00e7 0,7093\u2019teydi. Destek seviyeleri 0,7072, 0,7070 ve 0,7054 olarak izlendi. Ek destekler 0,7044\u2019teki 20 periyotluk SMA ve 0,6959 civar\u0131ndaki 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019yd\u0131.  <\/p>\n<h3>Piyasa Fiyatlamas\u0131 Faiz \u0130ndirimlerine \u0130\u015faret Ediyor<\/h3>\n<p>CME FedWatch Tool (faiz vadeli i\u015flemlerinden Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 kararlar\u0131na olas\u0131l\u0131k \u00e7\u0131karan g\u00f6sterge) \u015fu anda \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek sonuna kadar en az bir faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %60\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00f6steriyor. Bu beklenti, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcne \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r getiriyor.  <\/p>\n<p>Enerjide jeopolitik risk primi (jeopolitik belirsizlik nedeniyle fiyata eklenen ekstra pay) de ge\u00e7en y\u0131l H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki gerilimin zirvesinden bu yana belirgin \u015fekilde azald\u0131. WTI ham petrol (ABD referans ham petrol t\u00fcr\u00fc) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar civar\u0131nda. Bu istikrar, Avustralya dolar\u0131 gibi risk i\u015ftah\u0131na duyarl\u0131 para birimleri i\u00e7in genelde destekleyici.  <\/p>\n<p>Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131k (fiyat dalgalanma \u015fiddeti) ortam\u0131nda, prim toplamak i\u00e7in opsiyon sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7eren stratejiler daha cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. AUD\/USD i\u00e7in 0,6500 ve 0,6800 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131yla strangle satmak (ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda bir al\u0131m ve bir sat\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131p prim toplama; fiyat\u0131n belirli bir bantta kalmas\u0131na oynayan strateji) yatay fiyat hareketinden yararlanmak i\u00e7in se\u00e7enek olabilir.  <\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\u2019de dikkat: D\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck ralli sonras\u0131 0,7076\u2019da yatay, haftal\u0131k %2,5+ primli. ABD T\u00dcFE %3,3\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; dolar jeopoliti\u011fe kilitlendi. Teknikte 0,7093 diren\u00e7, Fed indirim beklentisi bask\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44368","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44368","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44368"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44368\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44368"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44368"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44368"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}