Euro, ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesinin risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) art\u0131rmas\u0131yla Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. EUR\/USD \u00fcst \u00fcste be\u015finci g\u00fcnde de art\u0131da kal\u0131rken 1,1736 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; bu seviye Mart ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczey. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: Dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren endeks) ise 98,55 civar\u0131nda olup Ocak\u2019tan bu yana en sert haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
ABD enflasyon verileri, y\u00fckselen petrol maliyetlerinin fiyatlara yans\u0131mas\u0131yla (maliyet ge\u00e7i\u015fkenli\u011fi: maliyet art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcr\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131na aktar\u0131lmas\u0131) enflasyonun artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE\/CPI: t\u00fcketicinin \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlar\u0131n genel g\u00f6stergesi) Mart\u2019ta ayl\u0131k %0,9 artt\u0131 (\u00f6nceki %0,3), y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ise %2,4\u2019ten %3,3\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve beklentilere paralel geldi.<\/p>\n
Man\u015fet enflasyondan farkl\u0131 olarak g\u0131da ve enerjiyi d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rakan \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (\u00e7ekirdek enflasyon: daha oynak kalemler \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak temel fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) Mart\u2019ta ayl\u0131k %0,2 artt\u0131; beklenti %0,3\u2019t\u00fc. Y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE %2,5\u2019ten %2,6\u2019ya y\u00fckseldi; %2,7 beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Veriler, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) k\u0131sa vadede faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyece\u011fi beklentisini destekliyor. Piyasalar, faiz indirimi (politika faizinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi) i\u00e7in enflasyonun Fed\u2019in %2 hedefi (enflasyon hedefi: fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 i\u00e7in istenen seviye) y\u00f6n\u00fcnde net \u015fekilde geriledi\u011fine dair daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u015faret ar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkes, daha geni\u015f bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma korkusunu azaltt\u0131; hafta sonu Pakistan\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yap\u0131lmas\u0131 bekleniyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (k\u00fcresel petrol sevkiyat\u0131nda kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi, enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltabilir ve Dolar\u2019\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc etkileyebilir.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flemler yapanlar (t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnler: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; \u00f6r. opsiyon, vadeli i\u015flem) a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Dolar\u2019da ilave zay\u0131flamaya g\u00f6re pozisyon almay\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Orta vadeli EUR\/USD al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak, \u00f6rne\u011fin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte vadesi dolacak opsiyonlar, cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu strateji, paritedeki olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015ften yararlan\u0131rken maksimum zarar\u0131 (\u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 risk) ba\u015ftan belirler.<\/p>\n
Devam eden ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerindeki belirsizlik, z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131kta (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Bu da, s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z risk ta\u015f\u0131yabilen do\u011frudan vadeli i\u015flemde uzun pozisyon (futures long: fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015fine oynama) ta\u015f\u0131maya k\u0131yasla, riski tan\u0131ml\u0131 opsiyon stratejilerini daha uygun k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Piyasalar nefes ald\u0131: ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesi risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltince Euro, dolara kar\u015f\u0131 be\u015finci g\u00fcn de t\u0131rmand\u0131; EUR\/USD 1,1736 ile zirvede. DXY d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor; Fed faiz indirimi aceleci g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44360","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44360","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44360"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44360\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44360"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44360"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44360"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}