Salesforce, Inc (CRM) hisseleri d\u00fcn yeniden geriledi ve birka\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r g\u00f6r\u00fclen en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi (multi-year low) yapt\u0131. Hisse, 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana %55 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, yaz\u0131l\u0131m hisselerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 gerilemeyle paralel seyretti. Bu gerileme, yapay zek\u00e2n\u0131n (AI) yaz\u0131l\u0131ma olan ihtiyac\u0131 azaltabilece\u011fi endi\u015felerine ba\u011flan\u0131yor. Yaz\u0131, bu tepkinin muhtemelen k\u0131sa vadeli olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Haberde teknik analiz sinyallerine (ge\u00e7mi\u015f fiyat hareketlerinden destek\/diren\u00e7 gibi seviyeler \u00e7\u0131karma y\u00f6ntemi) yer veriliyor. Buna g\u00f6re fiyat, Mart 2023\u2019ten kalan \u201cfiyat bo\u015flu\u011funu\u201d (gap: bir g\u00fcnde fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015fa g\u00f6re arada i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeden daha yukar\u0131\/a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla grafikte bo\u015fluk olu\u015fmas\u0131) kapatt\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca hisse, Ekim ve Kas\u0131m 2022\u2019de olu\u015fmu\u015f \u00f6nceki \u201cd\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f b\u00f6lgesine\u201d (pivot: fiyat\u0131n daha \u00f6nce y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fi alan) temas etti.<\/p>\n
Yaz\u0131, yazar\u0131n kriterlerine g\u00f6re %80 \u201ctepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi\u201d (bounce: sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sonras\u0131 k\u0131sa\/orta vadeli toparlanma) olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulundu\u011funu belirtiyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda olas\u0131 yukar\u0131 hedef olarak da 210 dolar seviyesini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Hisse \u015fu anda yatay bantta (consolidation: sert hareket sonras\u0131 fiyat\u0131n belirli bir aral\u0131kta s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131) hareket ederken, t\u00fcrev (derivative: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flemi yapanlar May\u0131s vadeli (expiration: s\u00f6zle\u015fmenin sona erdi\u011fi tarih) \u201czarar d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money: mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re hemen kullan\u0131l\u0131nca kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamayan) sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) satmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin 265 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (strike: opsiyonda sabit al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m fiyat\u0131). Bu strateji, prim (premium: opsiyonun al\u0131c\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan sat\u0131c\u0131ya \u00f6denen fiyat\u0131) toplayarak k\u0131sa vadede ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 korkunun geri d\u00f6nmeyece\u011fi varsay\u0131m\u0131na dayan\u0131r. Son opsiyon verileri, z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyat\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi oynakl\u0131k) %32 civar\u0131na oturdu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor; bu seviye prim toplayanlar i\u00e7in h\u00e2l\u00e2 elveri\u015fli g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Alternatif olarak, bir sonraki finansal sonu\u00e7 d\u00f6nemine (earnings cycle: \u015firketlerin d\u00fczenli k\u00e2r a\u00e7\u0131klama d\u00f6nemi) kadar y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcrmesini bekleyenler i\u00e7in al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019i (call spread: ayn\u0131 vadede daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan al\u0131m opsiyonu satarak maliyeti ve riski s\u0131n\u0131rlama) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli bir y\u00f6ntem sunar. \u00d6rne\u011fin Haziran 290 al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p Haziran 310 al\u0131m opsiyonu satmak, fiyat\u0131n yukar\u0131 hareketine pozisyon al\u0131r. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, piyasan\u0131n k\u00f6kl\u00fc yaz\u0131l\u0131m \u015firketlerinin (legacy software: piyasada uzun s\u00fcredir olan, yerle\u015fik \u00fcr\u00fcnler) de\u011fi\u015fime uyum sa\u011flayabilece\u011fine dair yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenen alg\u0131s\u0131ndan yararlanmay\u0131 hedefler.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
CRM\u2019de sert sat\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131 f\u0131rsat m\u0131 do\u011fuyor? Hisse 2025\u2019ten beri %55 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; gap kapand\u0131, pivot test edildi. Analistler %80 tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi ve 210$ hedefi. Opsiyonda put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131\/call spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44348","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44348","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44348"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44348\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44348"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44348"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44348"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}