Kanada \u0130statistik Kurumu, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n mart ay\u0131nda piyasa beklentilerinin alt\u0131nda kalarak %6,7\u2019de sabit kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Net istihdam 14,1 bin artt\u0131 ve \u00f6nceki ay g\u00f6r\u00fclen 83,9 binlik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc telafi etti.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131 (\u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ya da i\u015f arayan n\u00fcfusun toplam n\u00fcfusa oran\u0131) %64,9 ile de\u011fi\u015fmedi. Y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 (maa\u015flar\u0131n bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) \u015fubattaki %4,2\u2019den %5,1\u2019e y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
Veri sonras\u0131 Kanada Dolar\u0131 (CAD) bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. USD\/CAD 1,3800\u2019in \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n son 200 g\u00fcn ortalamas\u0131; trend g\u00f6stergesi) test etti.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 verileri ekonominin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7mek i\u00e7in takip edilir ve d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilir. Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck i\u015fsizlik t\u00fcketimi ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi destekleyebilirken, i\u015f\u00e7i bulman\u0131n zorla\u015fmas\u0131 \u00fccretleri yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekip enflasyonu (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n
\u00dccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131, hanehalk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek fiyatlara yans\u0131yabildi\u011fi i\u00e7in politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan izlenir. \u00dccret kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon, enerji gibi kalemlerden gelen ge\u00e7ici dalgalanmalara k\u0131yasla daha kal\u0131c\u0131 kabul edilir.<\/p>\n
Merkez bankalar\u0131 faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131 al\u0131rken istihdam ve \u00fccret verilerini de kullan\u0131r. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) istihdam ve fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) ise a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kla enflasyonu hedefler.<\/p>\n
Mart istihdam raporu, Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) i\u00e7in kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir tablo sunuyor ve belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %6,7 ile y\u00fcksek seyretmesi ekonomide so\u011fumaya i\u015faret ederken, \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n %5,1\u2019e h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Bu durum, yakla\u015fan faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00fccret verisi, Kanada\u2019n\u0131n Mart 2026 enflasyonunun %2,9 ile BoC\u2019nin %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 nedeniyle daha kritik. 2025\u2019te de benzer \u015fekilde, kal\u0131c\u0131 (\u00e7ekirdek) fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131 nedeniyle merkez bankalar\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n bekledi\u011finden daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz uygulamak zorunda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu ge\u00e7mi\u015f, istihdam zay\u0131flasa bile BoC\u2019nin faiz indirimi konusunda temkinli davranabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki ilk zay\u0131fl\u0131k ve USD\/CAD\u2019nin 1,3800\u2019in \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, \u00fclke i\u00e7i belirsizli\u011fi ve ABD ile para politikas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Nisan ba\u015f\u0131ndaki ABD verileri, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n 230 bini a\u015fan yeni istihdam yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; bu, Fed\u2019in \u015fahin (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutmaya yatk\u0131n) duru\u015funu destekliyor. Bu b\u00fcy\u00fcme fark\u0131 k\u0131sa vadede ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 \u201cloonie\u201dye (Kanada dolar\u0131) kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutabilir.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev (dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flemleri yapanlar i\u00e7in bu belirsizlik, Kanada dolar\u0131 opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) bir sonraki merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesi artabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir. De\u011ferlendirilebilecek yakla\u015f\u0131mlardan biri, USD\/CAD\u2019de straddle (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma; y\u00f6n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z b\u00fcy\u00fck harekette kazan\u00e7 hedefler) ile oynakl\u0131k sat\u0131n almakt\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan, veriler aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7eli\u015fkinin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesiyle olu\u015fabilecek sert harekete odaklan\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Faiz swap piyasas\u0131nda (faiz \u00f6demelerini de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye yarayan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) da yak\u0131n vadeli faiz indirimi beklentilerinin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Gecelik Endeks Swaplar\u0131 (OIS; piyasadaki faiz beklentisini \u00f6l\u00e7mekte kullan\u0131lan g\u00f6sterge) temmuz 2026\u2019ya kadar faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha \u00f6nce %70 fiyatlarken, bu oran %40\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi. Bu yeniden fiyatlama (beklentilerin fiyatlara yeniden yans\u0131mas\u0131), g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n BoC\u2019yi yava\u015flayan istihdamdan \u00e7ok enflasyonla m\u00fccadeleye \u00f6ncelik vermeye itece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc yans\u0131t\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
S\u00fcrpriz Kanada verisi: \u0130\u015fsizlik martta %6,7\u2019de kald\u0131, istihdam 14,1 bin artt\u0131. \u00dccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 %5,1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. CAD zay\u0131flad\u0131; USD\/CAD 1,3800 \u00fcst\u00fcnde. BoC i\u00e7in faiz indirimi beklentileri geriliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44340","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44340","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44340"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44340\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44340"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44340"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44340"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}