Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131n\u0131n ilk saatlerinde 4.750 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na indi ve tan\u0131d\u0131k bir bant i\u00e7inde kald\u0131. ABD T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi) verisi \u00f6ncesinde sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n devam\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD T\u00dcFE raporunun, Mart ay\u0131nda enflasyonun ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin etkisiyle bir kez daha artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi bekleniyor. 17\u201318 Mart tarihli FOMC (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed\u2019in faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131 belirleyen kurul) toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131nda yetkililer, Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 enerji fiyat \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu yukar\u0131 itebilece\u011fi riskine dikkat \u00e7ekerek faiz indiriminde aceleci olmad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran, \u0130srail\u2019in L\u00fcbnan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan sevkiyat\u0131 durdurdu; t\u0131rmanma riski ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump taraf\u0131ndan da g\u00fcndeme getirildi. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilir; bu durum dolar\u0131 (USD) g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme e\u011filimi yarat\u0131rken, faiz getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturabilir.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu, L\u00fcbnan ile do\u011frudan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131 talimat\u0131 verdi. ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri\u2019nden bir yetkili, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin gelecek hafta Washington\u2019da yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin Cuma gecesi ile Cumartesi aras\u0131nda a\u015famalar halinde planlanmas\u0131, dolar kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ve alt\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n
Teknik tarafta alt\u0131n, 4 saatlik grafikte 200 d\u00f6nemlik basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (SMA: se\u00e7ilen d\u00f6nem fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) bulundu\u011fu 4.883 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. Bu b\u00f6lge ayn\u0131 zamanda %61,8 geri \u00e7ekilme (retracement: \u00f6nceki y\u00fckseli\u015f\/d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ne kadar\u0131n\u0131n geri al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren oran) seviyesine yak\u0131n. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 56 civar\u0131nda, MACD (hareketli ortalamalara dayal\u0131 trend\/momentum g\u00f6stergesi) hafif negatif. Diren\u00e7 4.908,40 dolarda, ard\u0131ndan 5.131,50 ve 5.415,69; destek ise 4.751,70 dolarda, ard\u0131ndan 4.595,00, 4.401,11 ve 4.087,71 seviyelerinde.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte jeopolitik gerilim alt\u0131na destek vererek belirgin bir sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131 engelliyor. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l oda\u011fa H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yerle\u015firken, bug\u00fcn \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk art\u0131nca talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131k) al\u0131mlar\u0131 G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi\u2019ndeki gerilimle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal \u00fcr\u00fcn) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu tablo, k\u0131sa vadede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131ktan (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131\/s\u0131k dalgalanmas\u0131) faydalanan yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Iron condor (ayn\u0131 vadede d\u00f6rt opsiyonla kurulan, fiyat\u0131n bantta kalmas\u0131na oynayan strateji) veya short strangle (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m-sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 satarak bantta kalmaya oynama) gibi y\u00f6ntemlerle opsiyon primi (opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n pe\u015fin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bedel) satmak etkili olabilir. Burada kritik nokta, kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem fiyat\u0131) son destek ve diren\u00e7 seviyelerinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131na yerle\u015ftirmektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Kritik T\u00dcFE \u00f6ncesi alt\u0131n 4.750$ alt\u0131na sarksa da banttan kopmuyor. Petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon ve FOMC temkini dolar\u0131 desteklerken jeopolitik riskler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc frenliyor; opsiyonda prim sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44329","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44329"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44329\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44329"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44329"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44329"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}