USD\/CAD, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc iki haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 1,3805\u2019ten toparlanarak yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3833\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc sonland\u0131rd\u0131. Hareket, hafta sonu Pakistan\u2019da yap\u0131lacak ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri \u00f6ncesinde ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle geldi. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin, 10 maddelik bir bar\u0131\u015f plan\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 ko\u015fullar \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda %0,15 y\u00fckseli\u015fle yakla\u015f\u0131k 98,95 seviyesindeydi. Haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda \u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7may\u0131 ve iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkesi (ge\u00e7ici \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131zl\u0131k) kabul ettikten sonra 10 maddelik bir teklif sundu; kal\u0131c\u0131 ate\u015fkes (sava\u015f\u0131n tamamen durmas\u0131) ise m\u00fczakere ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca 12:30 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Mart T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE\/CPI: t\u00fcketicinin \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlar\u0131n genel art\u0131\u015f\u0131, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisini bekliyor. Bu veri, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faiz politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentileri etkileyebilir. Kanada\u2019da 12:30 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak istihdam verilerinde, \u015fubatta 83,9 binlik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan 15 bin yeni i\u015f eklenmesi bekleniyor; i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 ise %6,7\u2019den %6,8\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD 1,3830 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3824\u2019te yatayla\u015ft\u0131. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: 50 \u00fcst\u00fc al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eder) 53,6 ile 50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde. Destek 1,3800 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,3752; diren\u00e7 ise 1,3870 ve 1,3967 seviyelerinde.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD paritesi bug\u00fcn, 10 Nisan 2026\u2019da, haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan 1,3650 civar\u0131nda tutunuyor. Hareket, \u00f6nemli enflasyon verileri \u00f6ncesinde ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n genel g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle geldi. Bu fiyatlama, teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00f6nemli seviyelerde al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n devreye girdi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi, iki g\u00fcn \u00f6nce a\u00e7\u0131klanan T\u00dcFE raporunun ard\u0131ndan 104,50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Veriler, y\u0131ll\u0131k man\u015fet enflasyonun %3,1 ile inat\u00e7\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve piyasalar\u0131n bekledi\u011fi %2,9\u2019un \u00fczerinde geldi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu durum, Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 faiz indirimi beklentilerini \u00f6teledi.<\/p>\n
Kanada\u2019da ge\u00e7en haftaki istihdam raporu yakla\u015f\u0131k 40 binlik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi; bu, Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (loonie: Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n piyasa takma ad\u0131) destekleyebilir. Ancak bu etki, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD ekonomisi alg\u0131s\u0131 ve temkinli Fed nedeniyle s\u0131n\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 taraf\u0131nda WTI ham petrol\u00fc (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar civar\u0131nda. Bu, Kanada Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in taban olu\u015fturuyor ancak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in tek ba\u015f\u0131na yeterli itici g\u00fc\u00e7 de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
2025\u2019in \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 ile Fed\u2019in politikada paralel (lockstep: ayn\u0131 y\u00f6nde ve ayn\u0131 h\u0131zda) hareket etti\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fck. \u015eimdi ortam farkl\u0131; Fed\u2019in enflasyona odaklanmas\u0131, politikada \u201cfark\u201d (policy gap: iki \u00fclke faiz\/politika y\u00f6n\u00fc aras\u0131ndaki a\u00e7\u0131lma) yarat\u0131yor ve bu da ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na belirgin avantaj sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, bu \u00e7eyre\u011fin ana temalar\u0131ndan biri.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE\/PPI: \u00fcreticinin satt\u0131\u011f\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131n art\u0131\u015f\u0131; maliyet bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) verisi \u00f6ncesinde, k\u0131sa vadeli USD\/CAD opsiyonlar\u0131nda \u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n \u201cbeklenen dalgalanma\u201d varsay\u0131m\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlanm\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. B\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareket bekleyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar straddle (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte alma; y\u00f6n fark etmeksizin sert harekette kazan\u00e7 hedefler) al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Bu strateji, y\u00f6n ne olursa olsun keskin hareketten faydalanmay\u0131 ama\u00e7lar.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklentisi olanlar i\u00e7in bull call spread (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli opsiyon stratejisi: daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu satma) tercih edilebilir. May\u0131s vadeli 1,3700 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fi seviye) bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p ayn\u0131 anda 1,3800 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satmak, ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr ve azami kazanc\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n
Ana destek art\u0131k 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama (son 50 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) olan 1,3610 civar\u0131nda. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m (decisive break: kal\u0131c\u0131\/kuvvetli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7i\u015f) mevcut olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc bozar; uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in put (sat\u0131m opsiyonu: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) al\u0131m\u0131yla hedge (korunma ama\u00e7l\u0131 i\u015flem) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fene kadar, en olas\u0131 y\u00f6n yataydan yukar\u0131ya g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CAD dipten toparland\u0131: Dolar endeksi g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken g\u00f6zler ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ile CPI\/PPI ve Kanada istihdam\u0131nda. Kritik seviyeler 1,3800\u20131,3870; opsiyonlarda straddle\/bull spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44325","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44325","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44325"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44325\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44325"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44325"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44325"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}