GBP\/USD k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 1,3480\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, ard\u0131ndan yeniden 1,33\u2019\u00fcn ortalar\u0131na geriledi. Parite (iki para biriminin birbirine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011feri) \u015fu anda k\u0131sa vadede 1,3350\u20131,3450 band\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftada risk dengesi h\u00e2l\u00e2 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde. 1,3520\u2019ye do\u011fru bir hareket i\u00e7in 1,3480 \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f (g\u00fcn\u00fcn bitiminde fiyat\u0131n bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde olmas\u0131) gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n devreye girdi\u011fi seviye) 1,3280\u2019de ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir seviye olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. 1,3280 korundu\u011fu s\u00fcrece 1,3480 \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in kurgu (olas\u0131 fiyat senaryosu) ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini koruyabilir.<\/p>\n
1,3300 alt\u0131nda haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f (hafta sonunda fiyat\u0131n bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131) 1,2945\/1,3010 destek b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7abilir. Not 06 Mar 2026 tarihli; 1,3310 seviyesine de at\u0131f yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Mart ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fcp bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, GBP\/USD\u2019de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ancak bunun i\u00e7in paritenin 1,3480 diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) \u00fcst\u00fcnde kapan\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtmi\u015ftik. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi; sterlin (\u0130ngiliz para birimi) ivmeyi (fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131) koruyamad\u0131. Bunun yerine 1,3280\u2019de i\u015faret etti\u011fimiz g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek ciddi bask\u0131 alt\u0131na girdi ve sonunda k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Mart sonundaki ABD istihdam raporunun a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm (ekonomik verilerin kur \u00fczerindeki etkisi) sterlin aleyhine net bi\u00e7imde de\u011fi\u015fti. Rapora g\u00f6re ABD ekonomisi 295 bin yeni istihdam yaratt\u0131; bu, beklentilerin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerindeydi. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme gerek\u00e7esini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi; dolar da genel olarak de\u011fer kazand\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin son enflasyon verisi %2,1 ile tahminlerin biraz alt\u0131nda geldi; bu durum BoE\u2019nin (\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131) sert duru\u015fu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en ay olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi\u011fimiz gibi, kritik 1,3300 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f daha sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc tetikledi. Parite art\u0131k daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da yeni bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor ve \u015fu s\u0131ralar 1,3150 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor. Bu, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunun (ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131; fiyatlarda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n) devrede oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Odak, daha \u00f6nce i\u015faret edilen 1,2945\/1,3010 ana destek b\u00f6lgesine kay\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev (de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa, burada kur seviyesine ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal \u00fcr\u00fcn) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu ortam, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe oynayarak sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. 1,3000 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike; opsiyonun hak fiyat\u0131) ve may\u0131s ba\u015f\u0131 vadeli (expiration; opsiyonun ge\u00e7erlilik biti\u015f tarihi) put al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 cazip buluyoruz. Bu strateji, fiyat\u0131n uzun vadeli destek hedefimize do\u011fru gerilemesi halinde kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
Alternatif olarak, son k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f denemelerini s\u0131n\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) satmak uygun bir strateji olabilir. K\u0131r\u0131lan 1,3280 civar\u0131 destek art\u0131k g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 g\u00f6revi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. 1,3300 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, prim (opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n pe\u015fin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fccret) geliri elde etmeyi sa\u011flarken, sterlinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu yeni tavan\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kamayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisine dayan\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sterlin\/dolar 1,3480\u2019i a\u015fsa da kal\u0131c\u0131 olamad\u0131; 1,3280 deste\u011fi k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD istihdam\u0131 dolar\u0131 desteklerken, GBP\/USD 1,3150 band\u0131nda. Hedef 1,2945\/1,3010; put cazip.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44230","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44230","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44230"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44230\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44230"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44230"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44230"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}