USD\/CAD, per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan 1,3850 civar\u0131nda hafif y\u00fckseldi. Hareket, \u00e7ar\u015famba erken saatlerde duyurulan ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesi (\u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131) konusunda \u015f\u00fcpheler artarken ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle geldi.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks, %0,1 y\u00fckselerek 99,10 yak\u0131n\u0131nda seyretti. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131, L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki \u0130ran destekli Husilere y\u00f6nelik \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dair haberlere ve \u0130ran Meclis Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve m\u00fczakereci Muhammed Bak\u0131r Kalibaf\u2019\u0131n, ABD\u2019nin 10 maddelik bir teklifin \u00fc\u00e7 maddesini ihlal etti\u011fi iddias\u0131na \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran, ABD ile ilk tur g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in per\u015fembe ge\u00e7 saatlerde Pakistan\u2019a bir heyet g\u00f6nderece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Kanada\u2019n\u0131n mart ay\u0131 istihdam verileri cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan USD\/CAD, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) 1,3827 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n ne kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareket etti\u011fini g\u00f6steren momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 57 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Destek seviyeleri 1,3827 ve 1,3750; olas\u0131 yeniden test b\u00f6lgesi ise 1,3950 yak\u0131n\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
Kanada \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun Net \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi verisi, istihdam edilen ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi \u00f6l\u00e7er. Piyasalar genellikle daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veriyi Kanada Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in destekleyici, zay\u0131f veriyi ise bask\u0131lay\u0131c\u0131 olarak fiyatlar.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD 1,3850 civar\u0131nda tutunurken, piyasada iki ana etki \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine dair belirsizlik, g\u00fcvenli liman (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131lan varl\u0131k) talebiyle ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n yar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Kanada istihdam verisi, y\u00f6n\u00fc sert bi\u00e7imde de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir ve \u201cloonie\u201d (Kanada dolar\u0131) lehine hareketi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak istihdam verisi sonras\u0131 sert bir hareket bekleniyor. 2025\u2019in ba\u015f\u0131nda istihdam\u0131n 100 binin \u00fczerinde artmas\u0131yla Kanada dolar\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 bir de\u011fer kazan\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ekonomistler mart i\u00e7in yaln\u0131zca 18 binlik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bunun belirgin bi\u00e7imde \u00fczerindeki bir sonu\u00e7, USD\/CAD\u2019in 1,3750 deste\u011fine do\u011fru gerilemesine yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer yandan jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler, ABD dolar\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn ana itici unsuru olmaya devam ediyor. Pakistan\u2019daki bu m\u00fczakereler sonu\u00e7suz kal\u0131rsa, g\u00fcvenli limana y\u00f6nelimle USD\/CAD\u2019in 1,3950 civar\u0131ndaki son zirveleri yeniden test etmesi olas\u0131. 2025\u2019te H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 gerilimlerinde bu tablo g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; DXY, bir haftada %1,5\u2019in \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol fiyat\u0131 (ABD tipi referans ham petrol), varil ba\u015f\u0131na 86 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek tabloyu daha karma\u015f\u0131k hale getiriyor. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da gerilimin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 petrol\u00fc y\u00fckseltebilir; bu da genellikle Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekler. B\u00f6ylece USD i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenli liman talebi ile petrol kaynakl\u0131 CAD deste\u011fi birbirine z\u0131t sinyal \u00fcretir.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, beklenen dalgalanma art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 opsiyonlarla (belirli bir fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) de\u011ferlendirmek \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 1,3900 \u00fczeri kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem hakk\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) USD\/CAD al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131), ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin bozulmas\u0131ndan faydalanman\u0131n daha basit bir yolu olabilir. Alternatif olarak, 1,3800 alt\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131), beklenmedik derecede g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir Kanada istihdam verisinin etkisini de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Y\u00f6n konusunda emin olmay\u0131p sert hareket bekleyenler i\u00e7in uzun straddle (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem call hem put alarak iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck harekete oynama) stratejisi de\u011ferlendirilebilir. USD\/CAD opsiyonlar\u0131nda z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: fiyatlamaya yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) bu hafta %4 artt\u0131; bu da piyasan\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir harekete haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ate\u015fkes \u015f\u00fcpheleri dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi: USD\/CAD 1,3850\u2019de toparlan\u0131yor. DXY y\u00fckselirken g\u00f6zler \u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ve cuma Kanada istihdam\u0131nda. Teknikte 1,3827 destek, 1,3950 hedef; opsiyonlarla artan oynakl\u0131k \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44226","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44226","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44226"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44226\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44226"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44226"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44226"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}