AUD\/USD\u2019nin son y\u00fckseli\u015fi 0.7100 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda durdu; parite \u015fu anda bant i\u00e7inde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Yak\u0131n vadede beklenen aral\u0131k 0.7000\u20130.7080.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD 0.6970\u2019in \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 0.7135\u2019in test edilmesi h\u00e2l\u00e2 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. 0.7000 civar\u0131ndaki destek (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunabildi\u011fi seviye) g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
1\u20133 ayl\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde teknik analiz (ge\u00e7mi\u015f fiyat hareketlerinden e\u011filim \u00e7\u0131karma) AUD\/USD\u2019de zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor. 0.6850\/0.6870 destek b\u00f6lgesi k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa, 0.6765\u2019e do\u011fru d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f alan\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Avustralya dolar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin abart\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bu tabloda, mevcut fiyat hareketini konsolidasyon (yeni bir y\u00f6n olu\u015fmadan \u00f6nce yatay s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma) olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n bant hareketinden yararlanmak i\u00e7in opsiyon stratejileri kullanabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin k\u0131sa strangle (ayn\u0131 anda \u201ccall\u201d ve \u201cput\u201d opsiyonu sat\u0131p fiyat\u0131n belirli bir aral\u0131kta kalmas\u0131na oynama) stratejisinde 0.7100 civar\u0131ndan call (al\u0131m opsiyonu), 0.7000 civar\u0131ndan put (sat\u0131m opsiyonu) sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Ama\u00e7 prim (opsiyon sat\u0131\u015f\u0131yla pe\u015finen al\u0131nan gelir) toplamak; paritede net bir y\u00f6n kataliz\u00f6r\u00fc (fiyat\u0131 h\u0131zla bir y\u00f6ne iten g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geli\u015fme) yokken bant hareketinden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc son ekonomik veriler de destekliyor; veriler Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) i\u00e7in belirsizlik yarat\u0131yor. RBA Kas\u0131m 2025\u2019te son kez faiz art\u0131rd\u0131. 2026 ilk \u00e7eyrek enflasyonu (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) %3,8\u2019e hafif gerileyince yeni bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azald\u0131. RBA\u2019daki bu politika belirsizli\u011fi pariteyi \u015fimdilik yerinde tutuyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) Mart 2026 toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizi %5,50\u2019de sabit tutarken \u201cuzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d mesaj\u0131 verdi. ABD istihdam verileri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; ge\u00e7en ayki raporda 250 bin yeni istihdam eklendi. Bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 orta vadede ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 Avustralya dolar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda izlenecek kritik seviye 0.6970: 0.7135\u2019in yeniden test edilme ihtimali i\u00e7in bu seviyenin korunmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bu deste\u011fin alt\u0131na inilmesi, konsolidasyonun bitti\u011fine ve yeni d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder. 0.7135\u2019e do\u011fru olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fleri yeni k\u0131sa (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc) pozisyon denemesi f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fcz.<\/p>\n
Daha geni\u015f teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1\u20133 ayda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn daha olas\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Haziran veya Temmuz 2026 vadeli (uzun vadeli) put opsiyonlar\u0131 (sat\u0131m opsiyonu; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan \u00fcr\u00fcn) alarak 0.6850 destek b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131na sarkma hedeflenebilir. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte 2025 ortas\u0131nda benzer bir yap\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f; yatay seyrin ard\u0131ndan belirgin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f gelmi\u015fti. Benzer bir tekrar ihtimali var.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/USD 0.7100 alt\u0131nda nefesleniyor: 0.7000\u20130.7080 bant, kritik e\u015fik 0.6970. \u00dcstte 0.7135 test edilebilir; 0.6850 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0.6765 riski. RBA belirsiz, Fed \u015fahin.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44224","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44224"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44224\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44224"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44224"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44224"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}