GBP\/USD, ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Pakistan arabuluculu\u011funda iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkeste anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc %1\u2019den fazla y\u00fckselerek 1,3485 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Daha sonra anla\u015fman\u0131n ne kadar s\u00fcrece\u011fine dair soru i\u015faretleri art\u0131nca 1,3400\u2019e do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekildi. JD Vance bunu \u201ck\u0131r\u0131lgan bir ate\u015fkes\u201d olarak nitelendirirken, \u0130srail de sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana L\u00fcbnan\u2019a en b\u00fcy\u00fck sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fczenledi; \u015fartlarda Hizbullah cephesi kapsam d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u0130ngiltere verileri zay\u0131ft\u0131. Halifax konut fiyatlar\u0131 Mart\u2019ta ayl\u0131k %0,5 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc (beklenti %0,1 art\u0131\u015ft\u0131). S&P Global \u0130n\u015faat PMI (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50\u2019nin alt\u0131 daralmaya i\u015faret eder) 45,6 geldi (\u00f6nceki 44,5). RICS konut fiyat dengesi (konut piyasas\u0131nda fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bildirenlerin eksi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bildirenlerin fark\u0131) -%23\u2019e gerileyerek 2024 ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Fed\u2019in Mart toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131, federal fonlama faizinin (ABD\u2019de bankalar\u0131n gecelik bor\u00e7 verme faizi; para politikas\u0131n\u0131n ana faizi) %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tutulmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde 11\u20131 oy kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Yetkililer, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileriyle (tarife; ithal \u00fcr\u00fcnlere uygulanan vergi) ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli enflasyon beklentilerinin y\u00fckseldi\u011fini not etti. Medyan beklenti bu y\u0131l bir adet 25 baz puanl\u0131k indirim (baz puan; %0,01) \u00f6ng\u00f6rmeye devam ederken, baz\u0131 \u00fcyeler enflasyon hedefin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rsa faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 gerekebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc BoE (\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131) 1\u00c7 Kredi Ko\u015fullar\u0131 Anketi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. ABD taraf\u0131nda ise \u015eubat ay\u0131 \u00e7ekirdek PCE (ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 enflasyonu; \u201c\u00e7ekirdek\u201d enerji ve g\u0131day\u0131 d\u0131\u015flar), 4\u00c7 GSYH (GDP; toplam ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fck) ve haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 izlenecek. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Mart T\u00dcFE (CPI; t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi) ile Michigan \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nin Nisan ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00f6nc\u00fc t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni ve enflasyon beklentileri verileri gelecek. 15 dakikal\u0131k grafikte GBP\/USD 1,3399 seviyesindeydi; 200 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n trendini yumu\u015fat\u0131r) 1,3354 d\u00fczeyinin \u00fczerindeydi. Stokastik RSI (momentum g\u00f6stergesi; a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgelerini g\u00f6stermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r) 81\u2019e yak\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ters tarafta, Fed\u2019in Mart 2025 tutanaklar\u0131ndaki \u201c\u015fahin\u201d tonu (s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na yatk\u0131n) isabetli \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; y\u0131l\u0131n sonuna do\u011fru yaln\u0131zca bir faiz indirimi yapt\u0131lar. ABD\u2019de enflasyon kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde y\u00fcksek seyretti; \u015eubat 2026 \u00e7ekirdek PCE %2,9 ile Fed\u2019in hedefinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. BoE\u2019nin \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz indirimi e\u011filimli) \u00e7izgisi ile Fed\u2019in sab\u0131rl\u0131 duru\u015fu aras\u0131ndaki bu kal\u0131c\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fma, sterlin \u00fczerinde temel bask\u0131 yaratmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Bu tabloya bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, GBP\/USD\u2019deki her y\u00fckseli\u015f zay\u0131flama y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon aramak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 4\u20136 haftada vadesi dolacak \u201cput\u201d opsiyonu (sat\u0131m opsiyonu; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak, beklenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle (riskin \u00f6nceden belli oldu\u011fu) oynama imk\u00e2n\u0131 verir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l g\u00f6r\u00fclen haber kaynakl\u0131 sert ters hareketlere kar\u015f\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131madan temel zay\u0131fl\u0131ktan yararlanmay\u0131 hedefler.<\/p>\n
2025\u2019te 1,3485\u2019e gelen sert s\u0131\u00e7rama, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (volatilite; fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f dalgalanmas\u0131) \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemez olabilece\u011fini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Bu nedenle \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda; ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck) \u201ccall spread\u201d satmak (al\u0131m opsiyonu fark\u0131; iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli yap\u0131) gelir yaratmak ve paritenin y\u00fckseli\u015finin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden faydalanmak i\u00e7in etkili olabilir. Bu, paritenin 1,2700 diren\u00e7 seviyesine (diren\u00e7; y\u00fckseli\u015fin zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 teknik seviye) do\u011fru tepki vermesi durumunda \u00f6zellikle cazip g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir; bu seviye 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir teknik e\u015fik oldu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Jeopolitik ate\u015fkes umudu GBP\/USD\u2019yi 1,3485\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131sa da k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131kla 1,34\u2019e \u00e7ekildi. Zay\u0131f UK verileri ve \u015fahin Fed sterlini bask\u0131l\u0131yor; y\u00fckseli\u015fler sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131, put\/call spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44205","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44205"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44205\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}