ABD API verilerine g\u00f6re haftal\u0131k ham petrol stoklar\u0131 3 Nisan\u2019la biten haftada 3,719 milyon varile geriledi. Bir \u00f6nceki hafta 10,263 milyon varildi.<\/p>\n
De\u011fi\u015fim 6,544 milyon varillik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Haftal\u0131k ham petrol stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde yava\u015flad\u0131: 10,263 milyon varillik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc art\u0131\u015ftan 3,719 milyon varillik daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015fa indi. Bu sert yava\u015flama, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc (bullish: fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine i\u015faret eden) bir sinyal olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n (piyasada talebin \u00fczerinde \u00fcr\u00fcn birikmesi) beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 azalabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Piyasa \u015fimdi bu e\u011filimin teyidi i\u00e7in resmi EIA (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi: devletin resmi enerji verisini yay\u0131mlayan kurum) raporunu yak\u0131ndan izleyecek.<\/p>\n
Daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131, rafinerilerin yaz aylar\u0131ndaki yo\u011fun ara\u00e7 kullan\u0131m\u0131 d\u00f6nemine (yaz s\u00fcr\u00fc\u015f sezonu) haz\u0131rl\u0131k i\u00e7in faaliyetlerini art\u0131rmas\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olabilir. ABD rafineri kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 91,5%\u2019e y\u00fckselerek mevsimsel zirveye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu da benzin \u00fcretimini art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in kapasitenin daha fazla devreye al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Rafinerilerin daha fazla ham petrol i\u015flemesi, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyen ba\u015fl\u0131ca unsur. WTI (West Texas Intermediate: ABD g\u00f6sterge ham petrol\u00fc) \u015fu anda varil ba\u015f\u0131na 86 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunuyor.<\/p>\n
Bu s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, Haziran vadeli WTI s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerinde al\u0131m opsiyonu (call option: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn) veya bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019i (bull call spread: bir call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren strateji) gibi y\u00f6ntemlerle daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlara y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlar de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Veriler ayr\u0131ca piyasadaki \u201cbackwardation\u201d\u0131 (yak\u0131n vadeli fiyatlar\u0131n ileri vadeli fiyatlardan y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131; elde stok tutman\u0131n primli olmas\u0131) g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Bu yap\u0131, yak\u0131n vadede piyasada fiziksel s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eder ve uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yanlar\u0131 (fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015finden kazan\u00e7 beklentisiyle al\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcnde kalanlar) \u00f6d\u00fcllendirir.<\/p>\n
Son iki haftal\u0131k rapor aras\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck fark, k\u0131sa vadeli fiyat oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n daha sert dalgalanmas\u0131) da art\u0131rabilir. Bu durum, fiyat hareketinden her iki y\u00f6nde de faydalanmay\u0131 hedefleyen \u201clong straddle\u201d gibi stratejileri (ayn\u0131 vade ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket beklemek) yakla\u015fan resmi stok raporu \u00f6ncesinde cazip k\u0131labilir. EIA verisinde s\u00fcrpriz, fiyat\u0131 iki y\u00f6nden birinde belirgin hareket ettirebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrolde s\u00fcrpriz sinyal: API ham petrol stoklar\u0131 3,719 milyon varile gerileyerek ge\u00e7en haftaya g\u00f6re 6,544 milyon varil d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Rafineri kullan\u0131m\u0131 %91,5\u2019te; WTI 86$ \u00fcst\u00fcnde, EIA teyidi kritik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44152","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44152","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44152"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44152\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44152"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44152"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44152"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}