USD\/SGD gecelik i\u015flemlerde geriledi; piyasalar gerilimin d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi beklentisini fiyatlarken kur en son 1.2845 seviyesinde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 izleniyor; RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren momentum g\u00f6stergesi) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde \u201cay\u0131 yutan\u201d mum formasyonu (bearish engulfing: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sinyali veren, \u00f6nceki y\u00fckseli\u015f mumunu tamamen i\u00e7ine alan b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f mumu) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor ve k\u0131sa vadede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131ya i\u015faret ediyor. Destek 1.2810\/1.2820 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda; bu b\u00f6lge 21 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalarla (DMA: son X g\u00fcn\u00fcn kapan\u0131\u015f ortalamas\u0131, trendi izlemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) ili\u015fkili.<\/p>\n
\u0130lave destek 1.2780\u2019de; bu seviye Kas\u0131m zirvesinden 2026 dibine olan hareketin %38,2 Fibonacci geri \u00e7ekilmesi (Fibonacci: fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nceki hareketine g\u00f6re olas\u0131 destek\/diren\u00e7 oranlar\u0131) olarak izleniyor. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na sarkmada bir sonraki durak 1.2740; buras\u0131 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131da diren\u00e7 1.29\u2019da; %61,8 Fibonacci seviyesi. Di\u011fer diren\u00e7 1.2940. Piyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 ayr\u0131ca yakla\u015fan Singapur Para Otoritesi (MAS: \u00fclkenin merkez bankas\u0131 ve finansal d\u00fczenleyicisi) toplant\u0131s\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
Karar \u00f6ncesinde t\u00fcm politika se\u00e7eneklerinin masada oldu\u011fu belirtildi. Olas\u0131 senaryolardan biri S$NEER politika band\u0131n\u0131n e\u011fiminin dikle\u015ftirilmesi. (S$NEER: Singapur dolar\u0131n\u0131n ticaret ortaklar\u0131na g\u00f6re a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f kur endeksi; politika band\u0131: bu endeksin hedef aral\u0131\u011f\u0131; e\u011fimin dikle\u015ftirilmesi: zaman i\u00e7inde daha h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011ferlenme hedefi, yani kurun g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine d\u00f6n\u00fck daha s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015f.)<\/p>\n
Yakla\u015fan MAS toplant\u0131s\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izleniyor; band e\u011fiminin dikle\u015ftirilerek para biriminin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bunu destekleyen unsur, Singapur \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonunun (\u00e7ekirdek enflasyon: oynak kalemler d\u0131\u015flanarak hesaplanan, fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 daha net g\u00f6steren \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm) \u015fubatta %3,5 ile y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 ve MAS \u00fczerinde ad\u0131m atma bask\u0131s\u0131 yaratmas\u0131. Benzer \u015fekilde 2025 boyunca da enflasyon g\u00fcndemi MAS\u2019\u0131 daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir \u00e7izgiye itmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan ABD dolar\u0131 da bask\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) daha temkinli bir tona d\u00f6nmesi, piyasada y\u0131l i\u00e7inde faiz indirimi beklentilerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu durum, MAS\u2019\u0131n daha s\u0131k\u0131 tarafa yak\u0131n durmas\u0131yla birlikte \u201cpolitika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131\u201d (iki merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 y\u00f6nde hareket etmesi) yarat\u0131yor ve Singapur dolar\u0131 lehine bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flemler taraf\u0131nda bu tablo, USD\/SGD\u2019de olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. 1.2810 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na ini\u015f \u00f6nemli bir tetikleyici olabilir. Sonraki hedef b\u00f6lgeler 1.2780 ve 1.2740.<\/p>\n
Alternatif olarak 1.2900 ve \u00fczeri kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, prim (opsiyon primi: opsiyonu satarken al\u0131nan fiyat) toplamak i\u00e7in de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, yukar\u0131 hareketin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131 ve paritenin bu seviyelerin \u00fczerine ta\u015fmakta zorlanaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne dayan\u0131r. \u201cAy\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131 spreadi\u201d (bear call spread: daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call sat\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call alarak riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan opsiyon stratejisi) ile risk s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/SGD gecelikte 1,2845\u2019e \u00e7ekildi: teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm bozuluyor. Ay\u0131 yutan formasyon ve d\u00fc\u015fen RSI sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. 1,2810 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,2780\u20131,2740 g\u00fcndemde; g\u00f6zler MAS\u2019ta.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44146","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44146","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44146"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44146\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44146"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44146"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44146"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}