Avustralya Dolar\u0131, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a anla\u015fmaya varmas\u0131 ya da H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7mas\u0131 i\u00e7in Do\u011fu Saati ile 20.00\u2019ye (\u00c7ar\u015famba 00.00 GMT) kadar verdi\u011fi s\u00fcre dolmadan \u00f6nce ABD Dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flay\u0131nca Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. AUD\/USD 0,6955 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,54 artt\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) ise 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde tutunamayarak 99,80 civar\u0131na geriledi. (DXY, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki genel g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endekstir.)<\/p>\n
AUD ayr\u0131ca \u00c7in Yuan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinden destek buldu. \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131 (PBoC), g\u00fcnl\u00fck referans kuru (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n piyasaya \u201cg\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00f6n\u201d verdi\u011fi g\u00f6sterge kur) 6,8854 olarak belirledi; bu, yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seviyesi. Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n \u00c7in ile ticaret ba\u011flar\u0131 nedeniyle AUD genellikle \u00c7in kaynakl\u0131 geli\u015fmelerle ayn\u0131 y\u00f6nde hareket eder.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte AUD\/USD, 0,6842\u2019deki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (SMA: fiyatlar\u0131n belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ortalamas\u0131; trendi izlemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) \u00fczerinde kalarak toparland\u0131. Parite 0,6950 seviyesini test ediyor; bu seviye destekten k\u0131sa vadeli dirence d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f durumda. (Diren\u00e7, fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckselmekte zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgedir; destek ise d\u00fc\u015ferken tutunma alan\u0131d\u0131r.)<\/p>\n
0,6950\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 0,7000 seviyesini ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 0,7024\u2019\u00fc hedefe koyabilir. Destek 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA \u00e7evresinde kal\u0131yor; bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f 0,6700\u2019e do\u011fru zay\u0131flamaya i\u015faret edebilir.<\/p>\n
RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcr; 50 civar\u0131 n\u00f6tr, y\u00fckselmesi al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) yeniden 50\u2019ye do\u011fru toparland\u0131. MACD (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama: trend ve momentum g\u00f6stergesi) sinyal \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda kalsa da s\u0131f\u0131ra do\u011fru y\u00fckseliyor; histogram\u0131n daralmas\u0131 da zay\u0131flayan sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
ABD-AB g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri (tarife: ithalata uygulanan vergi) \u00fczerine yeniden ba\u015flayan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler piyasada benzer bir k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131k yarat\u0131yor. Bu nedenle ABD Dolar Endeksi son iki haftada %1,2 geriledi ve 101,50 civar\u0131nda tutunmakta zorland\u0131. Bu durum Avustralya dolar\u0131 dahil di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimlerinde genel bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyen bir di\u011fer unsur \u00c7in\u2019den gelen olumlu veriler. \u00c7in\u2019in son raporuna g\u00f6re ilk \u00e7eyrek GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi %5,1 ile beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131; bu da Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n emtia (hammadde) ihracat\u0131na talebi g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131 son bir ayda %8\u2019in \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi; bu da Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n ihracat gelirlerini do\u011frudan destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Bu tabloda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar AUD\/USD\u2019de y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcrebilece\u011fini dikkate al\u0131yor. 0,7150 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda olas\u0131 kazanc\u0131 hedeflemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilecek bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. (Opsiyon primi: bu hakk\u0131 almak i\u00e7in \u00f6denen bedel; zarar bununla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r.)<\/p>\n
Risk y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in kritik destek seviyelerinde koruyucu sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcr. 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n 0,6920 civar\u0131nda olmas\u0131 teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olarak izleniyor. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inilmesi momentumu (fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131 ve y\u00f6n\u00fc) belirgin bi\u00e7imde tersine \u00e7evirebilir ve y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f sinyali say\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Mevcut teknik g\u00f6stergeler olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme i\u015faret ediyor. RSI 60\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmaya y\u00f6nelmi\u015f durumda; bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc al\u0131m ilgisinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder. Ayr\u0131ca MACD\u2019de net bir \u201cy\u00fckseli\u015f kesi\u015fimi\u201d (bullish crossover: MACD \u00e7izgisinin sinyal \u00e7izgisini yukar\u0131 kesmesi; y\u00fckseli\u015f sinyali) g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bu da y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin devam edecek alan\u0131 olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Jeopolitik takvim ve zay\u0131flayan Dolar, AUD\/USD\u2019yi 0,6950 direncine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yuan, \u00c7in b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve emtia rallisi destekliyor; 0,7000-0,7024 g\u00fcndemde, 0,6920 alt\u0131 risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44135","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44135","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44135"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44135\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44135"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44135"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44135"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}