Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc dalgal\u0131 bir bantta hareket etti ve piyasalar Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran i\u00e7in belirledi\u011fi s\u00fcre s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na ili\u015fkin geli\u015fmeleri beklerken 4.658 dolar civar\u0131nda seyretti. S\u00fcre s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131, Do\u011fu ABD saatiyle 20.00 (\u00e7ar\u015famba 00.00 GMT) olarak belirlendi. Uyar\u0131lar, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ile ili\u015fkilendirildi.<\/p>\n
Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201canla\u015fma yapmas\u0131 ya da H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 a\u00e7mas\u0131\u201d gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve anla\u015fma sa\u011flanmazsa \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n enerji tesisleri ile sivil altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hedef alabilece\u011fini dile getirdi. IRNA, Tahran\u2019\u0131n Pakistan \u00fczerinden iletilen ate\u015fkes \u00f6nerisini reddetti\u011fini ve sava\u015f\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde sona ermesi, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve Bo\u011faz\u2019dan g\u00fcvenli ge\u00e7i\u015f i\u00e7in bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve i\u00e7eren 10 maddelik bir plan a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n, g\u00fcvenli liman talebini art\u0131rmakta zorland\u0131. ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131rken, nakde eri\u015fim ihtiyac\u0131 y\u00fcksek seyretti. Y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131 ve faiz indirimi beklentilerini azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak mart ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (CPI: t\u00fcketicinin \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlardaki de\u011fi\u015fimi \u00f6l\u00e7en enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) i\u00e7in beklentiler ayl\u0131k %0,9 (\u00f6nceki %0,3) ve y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,3 (\u00f6nceki %2,4) seviyesinde. Piyasalar bu y\u0131l faiz indirimi beklentilerini b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde geri \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n
Merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u00fcrerken, \u00c7in martta yakla\u015f\u0131k 160 bin troy ons (yakla\u015f\u0131k 5 ton) ekleyerek 17\u2019nci ay \u00fcst \u00fcste al\u0131m yapt\u0131. K\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda net 25 ton al\u0131m ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. 4 saatlik grafikte izlenen seviyeler: 100 periyotluk SMA (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli d\u00f6nem fiyat ortalamas\u0131) 4.654 dolar civar\u0131, 200 periyotluk SMA 4.908 dolar civar\u0131, 50 periyotluk SMA 4.585 dolar civar\u0131. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc b\u00f6lgeler 4.400 ve 4.100 dolar. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 50 civar\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, MACD (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama-Iraksama: trend ve momentum g\u00f6stergesi) sinyal \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda seyretti.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm alt\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ima edilen volatilitenin artmas\u0131 beklenebilir. \u0130ma edilen volatilite (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) y\u00fckselirken, long straddle gibi opsiyon stratejileri etkili olabilir. Long straddle (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda hem al\u0131m\/call hem sat\u0131m\/put opsiyonu sat\u0131n alma) fiyat\u0131n yukar\u0131 ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareketinden, y\u00f6n\u00fc do\u011fru tahmin etmeden faydalanmay\u0131 hedefler. Alt\u0131n\u0131n ima edilen volatilitesi son bir haftada %5 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturan enflasyon dinami\u011fi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Mart 2026 CPI verisi %3,5 ile y\u00fcksek kal\u0131nca, Fed (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) yaz boyunca faizleri sabit tutaca\u011f\u0131 mesaj\u0131n\u0131 verdi. Y\u00fcksek faiz ortam\u0131, getiri sa\u011flamayan alt\u0131n i\u00e7in olumsuz bir unsur olmaya devam ederek y\u00fckseli\u015f alan\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Buna ra\u011fmen merkez bankalar\u0131ndan gelen uzun vadeli destek g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemeli. D\u00fcnya Alt\u0131n Konseyi, 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n rekor 310 ton alt\u0131n ekledi\u011fini, al\u0131mlarda \u00c7in ve Hindistan\u2019\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Bu al\u0131mlar piyasada g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olu\u015fturarak agresif k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131 (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne oynayan i\u015flemler) daha riskli hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n \u015fu anda 4.850 dolar diren\u00e7 seviyesini (y\u00fckseli\u015fte fiyat\u0131n zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lge) a\u015fmakta zorlan\u0131yor. Gerilimin 2025\u2019teki gibi zay\u0131flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in 4.900 dolar \u00fczerinde call spread sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften yararlanma y\u00f6ntemi sunabilir. Call spread (ayn\u0131 vadede iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte kullanarak getiriyi\/riskini s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) riski \u00f6nceden tan\u0131mlar. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 4.720 dolardaki kritik destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte fiyat\u0131n tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lge) k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa, daha sert bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in put opsiyonu almak (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta) daha temkinli bir ad\u0131m olabilir.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a> ve i\u015flem yapmaya<\/a> \u015fimdi ba\u015flay\u0131n. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131nda g\u00f6zler Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a verdi\u011fi s\u00fcrede: XAU\/USD 4.658$\u2019da dalgal\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar, y\u00fckselen petrol ve sert CPI beklentisi faiz indirimi umutlar\u0131n\u0131 t\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u00fcyor; volatilite art\u0131\u015f\u0131 opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Merkez bankas\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131 taban sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44133","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44133"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44133\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44133"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44133"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44133"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}