{"id":44062,"date":"2026-04-07T05:21:38","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T05:21:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/gbp-usd-13240-civarinda-tutundu-zayif-ism-verisi-dusuk-hacimli-islemlerde-dolari-baskilarken-parite-13180-diplerinden-yukselise-gecti\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T05:21:38","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T05:21:38","slug":"gbp-usd-13240-civarinda-tutundu-zayif-ism-verisi-dusuk-hacimli-islemlerde-dolari-baskilarken-parite-13180-diplerinden-yukselise-gecti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gbp-usd-13240-civarinda-tutundu-zayif-ism-verisi-dusuk-hacimli-islemlerde-dolari-baskilarken-parite-13180-diplerinden-yukselise-gecti\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD 1,3240 civar\u0131nda tutundu; zay\u0131f ISM verisi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck hacimli i\u015flemlerde dolar\u0131 bask\u0131larken parite 1,3180 diplerinden y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6sterdi ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck hacimli i\u015flemlerde 1,3240 civar\u0131nda kapand\u0131. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k piyasalar\u0131 Paskalya Pazartesi tatili nedeniyle kapal\u0131yd\u0131. Parite ge\u00e7en haftaki 1,3180 dip seviyesinden toparland\u0131 ancak Ocak sonundaki 1,3870 zirvesinden ba\u015flayan daha geni\u015f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi i\u00e7inde kald\u0131; y\u00fckseli\u015fler 1,3300 yak\u0131n\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131.\n\n\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) Mart ay\u0131nda politika faizini (Bank Rate: BoE\u2019nin temel faiz oran\u0131) %3,75\u2019te oybirli\u011fiyle sabit tuttu. \u015eubat ay\u0131nda oy da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 5\u2019e 4\u2019t\u00fc. BoE, t\u00fcketici enflasyonunun (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, hanehalk\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlar\u0131n art\u0131\u015f\u0131) %3 ile %3,5 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckselebilece\u011fini belirtirken, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin (GSYH: ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) durgun seyretti\u011fine ve i\u015fsizli\u011fin 10 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesi olan %5,2\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti. Bir sonraki veri Mart S&#038;P Global Hizmetler PMI olacak (PMI: sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50 \u00fcst\u00fc geni\u015fleme, alt\u0131 daralma), beklenti 51,2.\n\n<h3>ABD Verileri ve Fed Beklentisi<\/h3>\nABD\u2019de ISM Hizmetler PMI (ISM: ABD\u2019de i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 anketi yay\u0131mlayan kurum) Mart\u2019ta 56,1\u2019den 54\u2019e geriledi ve 55 beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. \u0130stihdam endeksi 45,2\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015ferek Aral\u0131k 2023\u2019ten beri en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye indi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u201c\u00f6denen fiyatlar\u201d endeksi (\u015firketlerin girdi maliyetlerindeki fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131) 70,7\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131karak Ekim 2022\u2019den beri en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fed faizi %3,50-%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda (hedef bant: politika faizinin alt-\u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131). \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc FOMC tutanaklar\u0131 (FOMC: Fed\u2019in faiz karar organ\u0131; tutanaklar karar tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6zeti), Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ise \u00e7ekirdek PCE enflasyonu a\u00e7\u0131klanacak (\u00e7ekirdek PCE: Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi enflasyon; g\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7).\n\n5 dakikal\u0131k grafikte GBP\/USD 1,3236 seviyesinde ve 200 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n (EMA: \u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) 1,3233 civar\u0131ndaki de\u011ferinin \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Destek seviyeleri 1,3233, 1,3230 ve 1,3220. Diren\u00e7 ise 1,3240 ve 1,3250.\n\n2025\u2019te bu d\u00f6nemde yap\u0131lan analize g\u00f6re GBP\/USD 1,3240 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. O d\u00f6nemde vurgulanan genel d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi son bir y\u0131lda belirgin \u015fekilde derinle\u015fti. Parite \u015fu anda 1,2450 civar\u0131nda; bu da ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki temel bask\u0131lar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n\n2025\u2019te BoE faizi %3,75\u2019te tutarken i\u015fsizli\u011fin %5,2 ile 10 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131ndan kayg\u0131 duyuyordu. \u015eimdi Bank Rate %5,25 seviyesinde. \u015eubat verilerine g\u00f6re \u0130ngiltere\u2019de i\u015fsizlik %4,2. Bu, BoE\u2019nin sonradan enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizi art\u0131racak alan\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Enflasyon (CPI) Mart itibar\u0131yla %3,2 seviyesinde.\n\n<h3>\u0130\u015flem Etkileri ve Strateji<\/h3>\nFed de Nisan 2025\u2019te %3,75 seviyesinde beklemedeydi ve benzer \u201cdurgunluk + enflasyon\u201d endi\u015feleri vard\u0131 (stagflasyon: b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin zay\u0131f oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemde enflasyonun y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131). Ancak ABD ekonomisi daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 kald\u0131 ve Fed faizi \u015fu an %5,50 d\u00fczeyine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Mart verilerinde 303 bin yeni istihdam eklendi; bu da Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine en ge\u00e7 gidebilecek merkez bankalar\u0131ndan biri olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.\n\nBu ayr\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle, yani ABD ekonomisi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131p Fed\u2019in faiz indirimini geciktirirken, GBP\/USD i\u00e7in daha olas\u0131 y\u00f6n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n sterlin kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinin s\u00fcrmesine y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlar de\u011ferlendirilebilir. ABD-\u0130ngiltere faiz fark\u0131 (faiz diferansiyeli: iki \u00fclke faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir itici g\u00fc\u00e7.\n\nGBP\/USD\u2019de \u201cput\u201d opsiyonu almak (put opsiyonu: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazan\u00e7 ama\u00e7lan\u0131r) 1,2300\u2019e olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeden yararlanman\u0131n ve azami riski ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rlaman\u0131n net bir yoludur. Alternatif olarak \u201cbear put spread\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede bir put al\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put satmak; maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr, kazanc\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar) ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini azaltmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir. 1,2500 gibi psikolojik seviyeye (psikolojik seviye: yuvarlak rakamlar\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fczerindeki etkisi) do\u011fru olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fler sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.\n\n2025\u2019teki karars\u0131zl\u0131k, ard\u0131ndan gelen agresif faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fcyd\u00fc. Tarihsel olarak ABD dolar\u0131 lehine g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir faiz fark\u0131 olu\u015ftu\u011funda, Fed faiz indirimine haz\u0131r oldu\u011funa dair net sinyal verene kadar trend \u00e7o\u011fu zaman s\u00fcrer. Hen\u00fcz bu sinyal al\u0131nmad\u0131.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sterlin\/dolar 1,3240\u2019ta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: BoE temkinli, Fed g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veriyle indirimi \u00f6teliyor. Faiz fark\u0131 dolar lehine derinle\u015firken trend a\u015fa\u011f\u0131. 1,25 y\u00fckseli\u015fleri sat\u0131\u015f, 1,23 i\u00e7in put opsiyonu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44062","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44062","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44062"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44062\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44062"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44062"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44062"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}