{"id":44059,"date":"2026-04-07T05:19:27","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T05:19:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-zayif-ism-verilerinin-durgun-islemlerde-jeopolitik-destegi-dengelemesiyle-15960-civarinda-seyretti\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T05:19:27","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T05:19:27","slug":"usd-jpy-zayif-ism-verilerinin-durgun-islemlerde-jeopolitik-destegi-dengelemesiyle-15960-civarinda-seyretti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-jpy-zayif-ism-verilerinin-durgun-islemlerde-jeopolitik-destegi-dengelemesiyle-15960-civarinda-seyretti\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, zay\u0131f ISM verilerinin durgun i\u015flemlerde jeopolitik deste\u011fi dengelemesiyle 159,60 civar\u0131nda seyretti"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD verileri \u00f6ncesinde yatay seyretti; %0,1\u2019in alt\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015fle 159,60 civar\u0131nda. Nisan ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana 158,50\u2013160,00 aras\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 150 pip (kurda 0,01\u2019lik hareketin 100 kat\u0131; yani 1,50 yen) band\u0131nda hareket ediyor. Haftan\u0131n zirvesi 160,30 civar\u0131nda ve y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.\n\nJaponya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ), Mart\u2019ta faizi 0,75\u2019te 8\u2019e 1 oyla sabit tuttu; Hajime Takata y\u00fczde 1,00 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131. Piyasalar 27\u201328 Nisan toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puan (faizde %0,25\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f) art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %70 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor. IMF (Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu) ise daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.\n\n<h3>Japonya\u2019dan Politika Sinyalleri<\/h3>\nYeni y\u00f6netim kurulu \u00fcyesi Toichiro Asada, temkinli ve verilere dayal\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 i\u015faret etti. Maliye Bakan\u0131 Satsuki Katayama, d\u00f6viz ve ham petrol piyasalar\u0131nda artan spek\u00fclatif faaliyetlere (k\u0131sa vadeli, y\u00fcksek riskli al-sat i\u015flemleri) dikkat \u00e7ekti.\n\nABD\u2019de ISM hizmet PMI (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fcme\/daralma e\u011filimini \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) Mart\u2019ta 56,1\u2019den 54\u2019e gerileyerek 55 beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. \u0130stihdam alt endeksi 45,2\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015ferek Aral\u0131k 2023\u2019ten bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u201c\u00d6denen fiyatlar\u201d alt endeksi 70,7\u2019ye y\u00fckselerek Ekim 2022\u2019den beri en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; yeni sipari\u015fler 60,6\u2019ya y\u00fckselerek 17 ay\u0131n zirvesine ula\u015ft\u0131.\n\nFed (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tutuyor. 5 dakikal\u0131k grafikte USD\/JPY 159,63\u2019te, 200 d\u00f6nemlik EMA (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n genel y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc yumu\u015fatarak g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge) civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 159,73\u2013159,76; destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma seviyesi) 159,58, 159,50 ve 159,63.\n\n<h3>Piyasa Rejiminde De\u011fi\u015fim<\/h3>\nBug\u00fcne, 7 Nisan 2026\u2019ya geldi\u011fimizde tablo belirgin \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015fti; parite 164,50 civar\u0131nda. Faiz fark\u0131 (iki \u00fclkenin faizleri aras\u0131ndaki makas) geni\u015fledi; Fed, kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizi y\u00fcksek tutmak zorunda kal\u0131rken BoJ art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. Fed fonlama faizi (Fed\u2019in hedef faiz aral\u0131\u011f\u0131) \u015fu anda %4,00\u2013%4,25; BoJ politika faizi %1,50 seviyesinde. Bu durum, \u201ccarry trade\u201di (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli para biriminden bor\u00e7lan\u0131p y\u00fcksek faizli para birimine ge\u00e7erek faiz fark\u0131ndan getiri arama stratejisi) dolar lehine cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.\n\nSon ABD verileri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar\u0131 destekliyor. Mart 2026 istihdam raporunda tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (devlet d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ana sekt\u00f6rlerdeki istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) 290 binin \u00fczerinde artt\u0131. \u00c7ekirdek PCE (enerji ve g\u0131da hari\u00e7 ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 enflasyonu; Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %2,8\u2019de kald\u0131. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmesi i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir neden olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n\n\u00d6te yandan BoJ, ge\u00e7en ayki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen temkinli. Tokyo \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (Tokyo b\u00f6lgesinde g\u0131da hari\u00e7 t\u00fcketici enflasyonu; Japonya genel e\u011filimi i\u00e7in \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge) Mart\u2019ta %2,4 geldi. Enflasyon var ancak agresif bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmay\u0131 zorlayacak h\u0131zda ivmelenmiyor. Bu da merkez bankalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 (politika y\u00f6nlerinin farkl\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131) teyit ediyor ve yenin zay\u0131flamas\u0131n\u0131 besleyen ana unsur olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nBununla birlikte parite onlarca y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine yak\u0131nken Japon yetkililerden s\u00f6zl\u00fc y\u00f6nlendirme veya do\u011frudan m\u00fcdahale (kurda ani hareket yaratmak i\u00e7in piyasaya al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m) riski \u00e7ok artt\u0131. Ani ve sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 piyasadan uzak\u201d put opsiyonlar\u0131 (belirli bir fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren se\u00e7enek; olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck; VIX endeksinin (ABD hisse piyasas\u0131 volatilite g\u00f6stergesi) 17\u2019nin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131, bu t\u00fcr korunman\u0131n maliyetini daha cazip tutuyor.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dolar\/yen bug\u00fcn veriler \u00f6ncesi s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k; ancak 2026\u2019da 164,50\u2019ye t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f\u0131n arkas\u0131nda Fed-BoJ faiz makas\u0131 ve carry trade var. M\u00fcdahale riski y\u00fckselirken put opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44059","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44059","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44059"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44059\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44059"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44059"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44059"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}