{"id":44055,"date":"2026-04-07T05:16:43","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T05:16:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-doguda-ateskes-umutlari-surerken-zayiflayan-abd-dolari-rbnz-karari-oncesinde-nzd-usdyi-05710-civarina-tasidi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T05:16:43","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T05:16:43","slug":"orta-doguda-ateskes-umutlari-surerken-zayiflayan-abd-dolari-rbnz-karari-oncesinde-nzd-usdyi-05710-civarina-tasidi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-doguda-ateskes-umutlari-surerken-zayiflayan-abd-dolari-rbnz-karari-oncesinde-nzd-usdyi-05710-civarina-tasidi\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da ate\u015fkes umutlar\u0131 s\u00fcrerken, zay\u0131flayan ABD Dolar\u0131 RBNZ karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde NZD\/USD\u2019yi 0,5710 civar\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (USD) zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da ate\u015fkes umutlar\u0131yla risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) artmas\u0131 sonras\u0131 0,5710 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite seans i\u00e7inde 0,5713 b\u00f6lgesinde fiyatland\u0131.\n\nPiyasalarda \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (belirsizlikte tercih edilen dolar, tahvil gibi varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme) pozisyonlar\u0131 azalt\u0131l\u0131nca ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talep geriledi. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi beklentisi risk duyarl\u0131 para birimlerini (k\u00fcresel risk alg\u0131s\u0131na h\u0131zl\u0131 tepki veren para birimleri) destekledi; Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131 (NZD) da bundan faydaland\u0131.\n\n

Dolar Bask\u0131s\u0131 ve Faiz Getirileri<\/h3>\nABD Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde, ABD tahvil getirilerindeki (tahvillerin faizi) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve beklentiden zay\u0131f gelen ISM Hizmet verileri (ABD\u2019de hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn nabz\u0131n\u0131 tutan anket) bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131; istihdam kaleminde (anketteki i\u015fe al\u0131m g\u00f6stergesi) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u201cPrices Paid\u201d (\u015firketlerin \u00f6dedi\u011fi girdi maliyetlerini g\u00f6steren fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131 endeksi) y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rken, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 kayg\u0131s\u0131 ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131.\n\nDikkatler, bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBNZ) karar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi; piyasa faizlerin sabit tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Ayr\u0131ca yakla\u015fan ABD enflasyon verileri izlenecek.\n\n4 saatlik grafikte parite, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimindeki 20 ve 100 periyotluk basit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n (SMA; fiyat\u0131n belirli d\u00f6nemdeki ortalamas\u0131) alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; bu seviyeler 0,5715 ve 0,5785 civar\u0131nda. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 46 ile 50\u2019nin alt\u0131nda. 0,5721 ve 0,5730 diren\u00e7 (yukar\u0131 hareketi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye), 0,5712 ve 0,5706 destek (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlayan seviye) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\n

Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 Kiwi\u2019yi Destekliyor<\/h3>\nYeni Zelanda i\u00e7 enflasyonu (\u00fclke i\u00e7i fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam etti; son olarak ilk \u00e7eyrekte %3,5 seviyesinde \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc ve RBNZ\u2019nin hedef aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde. Bu durum, yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi beklentilerini zay\u0131flatt\u0131 ve NZD al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn) destekledi.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, ABD\u2019de 2025\u2019te ISM verilerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen b\u00fcy\u00fcme yava\u015flama endi\u015feleri zamanla daha belirgin hale geldi ve Fed\u2019in ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne (kademeli faiz indirim s\u00fcreci) ba\u015flamas\u0131na zemin haz\u0131rlad\u0131. Son T\u00dcFE (CPI; t\u00fcketici enflasyonu) verisi enflasyonun %2,8\u2019e geriledi\u011fini, tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131n (Non-Farm Payrolls; ABD istihdam g\u00f6stergesi) ise ortalama 150 bin civar\u0131na yumu\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; bu nedenle ek indirim beklentisi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu tablo, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnlerle (opsiyon, vadeli i\u015flem gibi) ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki zay\u0131flamaya kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge; risk azaltma) yapmaya y\u00f6neltti.\n\n2025\u2019teki zay\u0131f teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve 0,5785 direnci art\u0131k geride kalsa da, piyasada alg\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015febilece\u011fini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Belirgin politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 devam ederken, NZD\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility; opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyrediyor. Bu durum, 0,6250 direncine do\u011fru hareket hedefiyle al\u0131m opsiyonu (call) almay\u0131 daha cazip hale getirebilir. Ancak beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri, mevcut beklentileri zorlayabilece\u011fi i\u00e7in temkinli olunmal\u0131.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kiwi\u2019de f\u0131rsat m\u0131? NZD\/USD 0,5710\u2019da; zay\u0131f dolar ve ate\u015fkes umudu risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. G\u00f6zler RBNZ\u2019de; enflasyon y\u00fcksek. Teknikte 0,5730 diren\u00e7, 0,5706 destek. Opsiyonlar cazip.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44055","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44055","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44055"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44055\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44055"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44055"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44055"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}