{"id":44045,"date":"2026-04-07T04:16:41","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T04:16:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/kuzey-amerika-seansinda-altin-4-706-dolardan-geriledi-iran-anlasmasina-iliskin-supheler-ve-yukselen-petrol-dolarin-guclenmesini-sagladi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T04:16:41","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T04:16:41","slug":"kuzey-amerika-seansinda-altin-4-706-dolardan-geriledi-iran-anlasmasina-iliskin-supheler-ve-yukselen-petrol-dolarin-guclenmesini-sagladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/kuzey-amerika-seansinda-altin-4-706-dolardan-geriledi-iran-anlasmasina-iliskin-supheler-ve-yukselen-petrol-dolarin-guclenmesini-sagladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda alt\u0131n 4.706 dolardan geriledi; \u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u015f\u00fcpheler ve y\u00fckselen petrol dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesini sa\u011flad\u0131."},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Kuzey Amerika i\u015flemlerinde 4.706 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra geriledi. Bunun nedeni, ABD\u2013\u0130ran ate\u015fkesine dair beklentilerin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 oldu. Haberlere g\u00f6re ABD ordusu, \u0130ran\u2019daki enerji hedeflerine y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar i\u00e7in haz\u0131rl\u0131k yap\u0131yor. \u0130ran ise Pakistan, M\u0131s\u0131r ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin destekledi\u011fi 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u201cara verme\u201d (ge\u00e7ici ate\u015fkes) tekliflerini reddetti.\n\nXAU\/USD (ons alt\u0131n\/dolar paritesi) 4.652 dolardayd\u0131. WTI (ABD tipi ham petrol) %1,40 y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 113,64 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) yeniden 100,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karken %0,19 geriledi. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi (devletin 10 y\u0131l vadeli bor\u00e7lanma faiz oran\u0131) %4,337 seviyesindeydi.\n\n

Piyasalar T\u0131rman\u0131\u015fa Haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor<\/h3>\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201cbir gecede etkisiz hale getirilebilece\u011fini, bunun Sal\u0131 gecesi olabilece\u011fini\u201d s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD taleplerini kar\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131 halinde 7 Nisan saat 20.00 ET\u2019yi (ABD Do\u011fu Saati) hareket zaman\u0131 olarak i\u015faret etti. Talepler aras\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 da yer ald\u0131.\n\nABD verileri kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k geldi. ISM Hizmet PMI (hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) martta 54 oldu; \u00f6nceki 56,1 ve beklenti 55\u2019ti. \u201c\u00d6denen fiyatlar\u201d alt kalemi 70,7\u2019ye y\u00fckselerek Ekim 2022\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 (bu kalem, \u015firketlerin girdi maliyeti bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir). Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (maa\u015fl\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f) 178 bin artt\u0131; beklenti 60 bindi. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 %4,4\u2019ten %4,3\u2019e geriledi. Piyasalar art\u0131k Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faizleri y\u0131l boyunca sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde 4.700 dolar civar\u0131 diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) konumunda. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma seviyesi) ise 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019da (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ortalama fiyat) 4.639 dolar, ard\u0131ndan 4.600, 4.553 ve 4.500 seviyelerinde. 4.700 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 4.755 dolar ve 4.800 seviyeleri izleniyor.\n\n

Volatiliteye G\u00f6re Pozisyonlanma<\/h3>\nAlt\u0131nda tablo daha karma\u015f\u0131k. Jeopolitik risk nedeniyle \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131k) talebi ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131 ayn\u0131 anda etkili. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor; bunu ISM \u201c\u00f6denen fiyatlar\u201d kaleminin Ekim 2022\u2019den bu yana zirveye \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 da destekliyor. Ancak dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131 alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan sert hareketi de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in straddle (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte al\u0131n\u0131r; b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten faydalanmay\u0131 hedefler) gibi opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. GVZ (Alt\u0131n Volatilite Endeksi: alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) 25\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f olabilir.\n\nG\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri, \u00f6zellikle i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131 %4,3 g\u00f6steren tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi, Fed\u2019in faizleri sabit tutaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Bu durum dolar\u0131 destekler ve getiri sa\u011flamayan varl\u0131klar \u00fczerinde (faiz\/kupon \u00f6demesi olmayan alt\u0131n gibi) bask\u0131 yarat\u0131r. Bu nedenle, \u0130ran gerilimi k\u0131sa vadede azal\u0131rsa alt\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015fler kal\u0131c\u0131 olmayabilir. %4,337 seviyesindeki ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi, alt\u0131n tutmaya k\u0131yasla rekabet\u00e7i bir getiri sunuyor.\n\nTeknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.700 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kalamamas\u0131 negatif bir sinyal. Bir sonraki kritik destek 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama olan 4.639 civar\u0131nda. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na sarkma, ek sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetikleyebilir. XAU\/USD\u2019de put opsiyonu (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) veya \u201cay\u0131\u201d put spread (iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla put al-sat kombinasyonu; maliyeti ve riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 hedefler) stratejileri g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Ancak teyitli bir askeri ad\u0131m, teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakabilir ve g\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rarak dolar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalsa bile alt\u0131n\u0131 sert bi\u00e7imde yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jeopolitik tansiyon yeniden y\u00fckseldi: Alt\u0131n 4.706\u2019dan 4.652\u2019ye \u00e7ekildi; ate\u015fkes umudu zay\u0131flad\u0131, olas\u0131 ABD sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 konu\u015fuluyor. Petrol 113,64\u2019te; dolar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, Fed sabit. 4.700 diren\u00e7, 4.639 kritik destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44045","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44045","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44045"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44045\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44045"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44045"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44045"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}