{"id":44043,"date":"2026-04-07T03:22:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T03:22:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/altin-4-706-dolari-gordukten-sonra-geri-cekildi-iran-abd-anlasmasina-dair-supheler-ve-saldiri-endiselerinin-petrolu-yukseltmesi-baski-yaratti\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T03:22:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T03:22:14","slug":"altin-4-706-dolari-gordukten-sonra-geri-cekildi-iran-abd-anlasmasina-dair-supheler-ve-saldiri-endiselerinin-petrolu-yukseltmesi-baski-yaratti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/altin-4-706-dolari-gordukten-sonra-geri-cekildi-iran-abd-anlasmasina-dair-supheler-ve-saldiri-endiselerinin-petrolu-yukseltmesi-baski-yaratti\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n 4.706 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra geri \u00e7ekildi; \u0130ran-ABD anla\u015fmas\u0131na dair \u015f\u00fcpheler ve sald\u0131r\u0131 endi\u015felerinin petrol\u00fc y\u00fckseltmesi bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda alt\u0131n, 4.706 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra geriledi. ABD\u2013\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131na dair soru i\u015faretleri ve olas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar i\u00e7in asker\u00ee haz\u0131rl\u0131k haberleri fiyatlar\u0131 bask\u0131lad\u0131. XAU\/USD 4.652 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, petrol y\u00fckseldi ve ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendi.\n\nWTI %1,40 art\u0131\u015fla varil ba\u015f\u0131na 113,64 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) yeniden 100,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerine d\u00f6nerken %0,19 eksideydi. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi %4,337 oldu.\n\n

Jeopolitik Risk, Varl\u0131klar Aras\u0131nda Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Art\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h3>\nWall Street Journal, birden fazla yetkiliye dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinde ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n enerji hedeflerine y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar i\u00e7in haz\u0131rl\u0131k yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131. Donald Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201cbir gecede etkisiz h\u00e2le getirilebilece\u011fini\u201d s\u00f6yledi. 7 Nisan 20.00 (ET) i\u00e7in bir tarih g\u00fcndeme gelirken, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 talebi de \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\n\u0130ran, Pakistan, M\u0131s\u0131r ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin destekledi\u011fi 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkes \u00f6nerilerini reddetti. ABD\u2019de ISM Hizmet PMI (hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde faaliyet d\u00fczeyini \u00f6l\u00e7en anket endeksi) 56,1\u2019den 54\u2019e gerileyerek 55 beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. \u201c\u00d6denen fiyatlar\u201d alt endeksi (\u015firketlerin girdi maliyet bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) 70,7\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131karak Ekim 2022\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc.\n\nTar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (NFP: tar\u0131m hari\u00e7 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ayl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fim) 60 bin beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131 178 bin artt\u0131. \u015eubat ay\u0131ndaki -133 binin ard\u0131ndan ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n ortalamas\u0131 68 bin oldu. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 %4,4\u2019ten %4,3\u2019e geriledi. Para piyasalar\u0131 (k\u0131sa vadeli faiz beklentilerinin fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 piyasa) art\u0131k faizlerin y\u0131l boyunca sabit kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde diren\u00e7 4.700 dolar. 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama (SMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ortalama fiyat\u0131) 4.639 dolar. Bunun alt\u0131nda 4.600, 4.553 ve 4.500 dolar seviyeleri izleniyor. Yukar\u0131da ise 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 4.755 dolar ve 4.800 dolar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\n

Petrol, Alt\u0131n, Dolar ve Oynakl\u0131k \u0130\u00e7in \u0130\u015flem Fikirleri<\/h3>\nAlt\u0131n, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebi ile 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerindeki DXY\u2019nin g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar\u0131 aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi 4.700 dolar direncinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k beklenmedik bir tansiyon d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, fiyat\u0131n 4.639 dolar civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamay\u0131 h\u0131zla test etmesine neden olabilir. Bu ortamda \u201cstrangle\u201d (opsiyon stratejisi: ayn\u0131 vadede, farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131ndan bir al\u0131m ve bir sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak; y\u00f6n de\u011fil b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket hedeflenir) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) \u201cfaizleri sabit tutma\u201d duru\u015fu, %4,3 i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131yla gelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verisiyle destekleniyor ve dolara taban olu\u015fturuyor. Para piyasalar\u0131 2026 i\u00e7in \u201cfaiz indirimi yok\u201d beklentisini fiyatl\u0131yor; bu da jeopolitik risk belirgin \u015fekilde artmad\u0131k\u00e7a alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f alan\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar. Bu nedenle di\u011fer para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 uzun dolar pozisyonlar\u0131, \u201chedge\u201d (korunma ama\u00e7l\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon) olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.\n\nBu tabloda y\u00fckselen oynakl\u0131ktan gelir sa\u011flayan t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnler (t\u00fcrev: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal \u00fcr\u00fcn) izleniyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin VIX vadeli i\u015flemlerinde uzun pozisyon (VIX: piyasadaki beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) veya b\u00fcy\u00fck enerji hisselerinde al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak. Petrolde y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u201cspread\u201d yap\u0131lar\u0131 (spread: ayn\u0131 varl\u0131kta farkl\u0131 vade\/kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerle kurulan pozisyon; risk s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131labilir) daha y\u00fcksek ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131na s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle oynama imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunabilir. Alt\u0131nda ise \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d sat\u0131m opsiyonu (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131nda olan put; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta) almak, ani bir bar\u0131\u015f haberinin fiyat\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmesi riskine kar\u015f\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir korunma y\u00f6ntemi olabilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jeopolitik gerilim varl\u0131klar\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131: Alt\u0131n 4.706\u2019dan 4.652\u2019ye \u00e7ekildi, petrol 113,64 dolara t\u0131rmand\u0131, DXY g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc NFP ve Fed\u2019in sabit faiz beklentisi, alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44043","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44043","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44043"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44043\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44043"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44043"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44043"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}