{"id":44024,"date":"2026-04-07T00:16:07","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T00:16:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/altin-daha-yumusak-dolar-ve-abd-iran-ateskes-diplomasisinin-destekledigi-iyilesen-risk-istahi-ortaminda-sinirli-yukselisini-koruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T00:16:07","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T00:16:07","slug":"altin-daha-yumusak-dolar-ve-abd-iran-ateskes-diplomasisinin-destekledigi-iyilesen-risk-istahi-ortaminda-sinirli-yukselisini-koruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/altin-daha-yumusak-dolar-ve-abd-iran-ateskes-diplomasisinin-destekledigi-iyilesen-risk-istahi-ortaminda-sinirli-yukselisini-koruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, daha yumu\u015fak Dolar ve ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkes diplomasisinin destekledi\u011fi iyile\u015fen risk i\u015ftah\u0131 ortam\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fini koruyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131, risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndaki (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme e\u011filimi) art\u0131\u015fla ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 sonras\u0131 pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fini korudu. XAU\/USD, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.600 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 4.684 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.\n\nAxios, d\u00f6rt ABD\u2019li, \u0130srailli ve b\u00f6lgesel kayna\u011fa dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinde ABD, \u0130ran ve b\u00f6lgesel arabulucular\u0131n (taraflar\u0131 uzla\u015ft\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan \u00fclkeler\/kurumlar) dahil oldu\u011fu olas\u0131 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkese (\u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ge\u00e7ici olarak durdurulmas\u0131) y\u00f6nelik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerden bahsetti. Reuters ise Washington ve Tahran\u2019a iki a\u015famal\u0131 bir plan iletildi\u011fini, bunun pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc kadar erken ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fini yazd\u0131.\n\n<h3>Ate\u015fkes G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ve Piyasa Tepkisi<\/h3>\n\u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 S\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc \u0130smail Bekayi, Tahran\u2019\u0131n diplomatik yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve daha sonra a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Donald Trump, bo\u011faz yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmaz ve sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Do\u011fu Saati ile 20:00\u2019ye kadar anla\u015fma sa\u011flanmazsa ABD\u2019nin elektrik santralleri ve di\u011fer sivil altyap\u0131y\u0131 vurabilece\u011fini ifade etti.\n\nPetrol fiyatlar\u0131 son zirvelerden geri \u00e7ekilse de sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; bu durum enflasyon (fiyatlar genel d\u00fczeyindeki art\u0131\u015f) ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015felerini g\u00fcndemde tutuyor. Piyasalar, Fed \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faizleri uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fini veya art\u0131rabilece\u011fini daha fazla fiyatl\u0131yor; bu da alt\u0131n\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.\n\nMart ay\u0131 ISM Hizmet PMI verisi (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50\u2019nin \u00fczeri sekt\u00f6rde geni\u015flemeye i\u015faret eder) 54 ile 56,1\u2019den geriledi ve 55 beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Bu hafta T\u00dcFE (t\u00fcketici enflasyonu) ve PCE (ABD\u2019de Fed\u2019in daha yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 enflasyonu) verileri takip edilecek; ge\u00e7en hafta ise NFP (tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam; ABD istihdam piyasas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli g\u00f6stergesi) beklentilerin \u00fczerinde gelmi\u015fti.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (basit hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamas\u0131) olan 4.654 \u00fczerinde tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Yukar\u0131da 4.800 ve ard\u0131ndan 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya yak\u0131n 4.944 seviyesi izleniyor. 4.654 alt\u0131na ini\u015f, 4.350 ve ard\u0131ndan 4.100 seviyelerinin g\u00fcndeme gelmesine yol a\u00e7abilir. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; 50 civar\u0131 n\u00f6tr, 70 \u00fczeri a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m, 30 alt\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m) 50\u2019nin hemen alt\u0131nda, MACD (hareketli ortalama yak\u0131nsama\/\u0131raksama; momentum g\u00f6stergesi) yukar\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fcyor.\n\n<h3>Alt\u0131n \u0130\u00e7in Kritik M\u00fccadele Seviyeleri<\/h3>\nAte\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri, alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman (belirsizlikte tercih edilen varl\u0131k) talebini azalt\u0131rken ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki zay\u0131flama alt\u0131na destek veriyor. Bu a\u015famada 4.654 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama kritik e\u015fik.\n\nNihai anla\u015fmaya dair belirsizlik, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n) y\u00fcksek kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. VIX (S&#038;P 500\u2019e dayal\u0131 \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d; piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklentisi) sava\u015f d\u00f6nemindeki 30 \u00fczeri zirvelerden gerilese de 22 civar\u0131nda; bu da opsiyon piyasas\u0131n\u0131n (belirli bir fiyattan alma-satma hakk\u0131 veren i\u015flem s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri) sert hareketleri h\u00e2l\u00e2 fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu ortamda straddle\/strangle (opsiyon stratejileri; fiyat\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcnden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket veya sakinlik beklentisiyle ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131ndan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak) gibi y\u00f6ntemler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\n\u0130ran ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n besledi\u011fi kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon riski izlenmeli. Fed fon vadeli i\u015flemleri (Fed\u2019in politika faizine ili\u015fkin piyasa beklentisini yans\u0131tan kontratlar), haziranda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %40 g\u00f6steriyor; bu oran ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re belirgin y\u00fckseldi. Bu haftaki T\u00dcFE ve PCE verileri, Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015funun (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 veya s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 savunan yakla\u015f\u0131m) alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131p s\u0131n\u0131rlamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirlemede kritik olacak.\n\nAte\u015fkesin ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in, 4.800 direncinin \u00fczerinde \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na\u201d (strike; opsiyonun devreye girdi\u011fi fiyat) sahip al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call; fiyat y\u00fckselirse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) y\u00fcksek kald\u0131ra\u00e7 etkisi sunabilir. Tersine, enflasyonun g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelerek bask\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse 4.654 deste\u011finin alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put; fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) tercih edilebilir. \u00d6nemli olan, piyasadaki bir sonraki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tetikleyiciye (fiyat\u0131 sert hareket ettirebilecek ana haber\/veri) g\u00f6re pozisyon almak.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131nda s\u00fcrpriz kupay\u0131 kim kald\u0131racak? Dolar zay\u0131flad\u0131, XAU\/USD 4.684\u2019te; 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkes ihtimali g\u00fcvenli liman\u0131 t\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Kritik destek 4.654, hedef 4.800\/4.944. T\u00dcFE-PCE, Fed ve petrol izleniyor. Oynakl\u0131k y\u00fcksek, opsiyonlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44024","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44024","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44024"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44024\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44024"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44024"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44024"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}