{"id":44022,"date":"2026-04-06T23:21:15","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T23:21:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/zayiflayan-dolar-ve-diplomatik-cozum-umutlarinin-abd-iran-catismasini-sona-erdirmeye-yaklasmasiyla-altin-kazanclarini-koruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T23:21:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T23:21:15","slug":"zayiflayan-dolar-ve-diplomatik-cozum-umutlarinin-abd-iran-catismasini-sona-erdirmeye-yaklasmasiyla-altin-kazanclarini-koruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/zayiflayan-dolar-ve-diplomatik-cozum-umutlarinin-abd-iran-catismasini-sona-erdirmeye-yaklasmasiyla-altin-kazanclarini-koruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Zay\u0131flayan dolar ve diplomatik \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm umutlar\u0131n\u0131n ABD-\u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 sona erdirmeye yakla\u015fmas\u0131yla alt\u0131n kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 koruyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (k\u00fcresel piyasalarda kullan\u0131lan para birimi) zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) artmas\u0131yla pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fini korudu. XAU\/USD (alt\u0131n\u0131n ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki fiyat\u0131) 4.600 dolar civar\u0131na geriledikten sonra 4.684 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.\n\nHaberlere g\u00f6re ABD, \u0130ran ve b\u00f6lgesel arabulucular 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkesi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131 bir haberde ise iki a\u015famal\u0131 bir plan\u0131n pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nden d\u00fcnya petrol sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi kritik deniz ge\u00e7idi) yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fi belirtildi.\n\n<h3>Diplomasi Ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131<\/h3>\n\u0130ran, ABD\u2019ye diplomatik yan\u0131t haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Daha \u00f6nce Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmaz ve sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Do\u011fu Saati ile 20.00\u2019ye kadar anla\u015fma sa\u011flanmazsa elektrik santralleri ve di\u011fer sivil alanlara sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n gelebilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti.\n\nPetrol fiyatlar\u0131 son zirvelerden geri \u00e7ekildi ancak sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Bu durum enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015felerini g\u00fcndemde tuttu. Ba\u015fta Fed (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) olmak \u00fczere merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faizleri (kredi maliyeti) uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fi beklentisi, alt\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.\n\nISM Hizmetler PMI (hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde faaliyet\/ivme g\u00f6stergesi) martta 54\u2019e indi; \u015fubatta 56,1\u2019di ve 55 beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Bu hafta ABD\u2019de T\u00dcFE (t\u00fcketici enflasyonu) ve PCE (Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 enflasyonu) verileri izlenecek. Ge\u00e7en hafta NFP (tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam; ABD\u2019de ayl\u0131k i\u015f art\u0131\u015f\u0131 verisi) beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmi\u015fti.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (SMA; belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ortalama fiyat\u0131) bulundu\u011fu 4.654 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fin zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) 4.800 civar\u0131nda, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ise 4.944 yak\u0131n\u0131nda izleniyor. 4.654 alt\u0131na sarkmada destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n geldi\u011fi seviye) olarak 4.350 ve 4.100 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\n<h3>Ate\u015fkes Sonucu Senaryolar\u0131<\/h3>\nPiyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 alt\u0131n i\u00e7in belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor. Sonuca g\u00f6re fiyat\u0131n sert y\u00fckselmesi veya sert d\u00fc\u015fmesi olas\u0131. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar tek bir y\u00f6ne oynay\u0131p risk almak yerine oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyattaki sert dalgalanma) artmas\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmal\u0131.\n\nBar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131rsa, alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131ndaki \u201csava\u015f primi\u201dnin (jeopolitik risk nedeniyle eklenen fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde silinmesi beklenebilir. 2015\u2019te \u0130ran n\u00fckleer \u00e7er\u00e7eve anla\u015fmas\u0131 sonras\u0131 petrol\u00fcn bir g\u00fcnde %5\u2019ten fazla d\u00fc\u015fmesi, jeopolitik rahatlaman\u0131n emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirebildi\u011fini g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. Bu durumda 4.350 deste\u011fine do\u011fru d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u00fcre dolana kadar m\u00fczakerelerde sonu\u00e7 al\u0131namamas\u0131 alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.800 direncinin \u00fczerine h\u0131zla \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc enflasyonun y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 destekliyor. Son T\u00dcFE verisi y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,5 art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor; bu oran Fed\u2019in hedefinin \u00fczerinde. Ayr\u0131ca NFP verisinde 300 bini a\u015fan istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131, Fed\u2019in faiz indirme alan\u0131n\u0131 daralt\u0131yor ve alt\u0131n\u0131 \u201cenflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 koruma arac\u0131\u201d (paran\u0131n al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc d\u00fc\u015ferken de\u011fer saklama) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.\n\nBu iki u\u00e7 ihtimal nedeniyle, \u201cuzun straddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vade ve ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak; fiyat hangi y\u00f6ne sert giderse gitsin kazan\u00e7 hedeflemek) yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, y\u00f6n tahmininden \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketine odaklan\u0131r.\n\nPetrol de yak\u0131ndan izleniyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ana kayna\u011f\u0131. Ate\u015fkes olsa bile ham petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 110 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, enflasyon riskini canl\u0131 tutar ve Fed\u2019in kararlar\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r. Bu tabloda alt\u0131n, jeopolitik risk ile y\u00fcksek faiz aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fabilir.\n\nTeknik seviyeler de takip ediliyor: 4.654\u2019teki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na net bir ini\u015f, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sinyal say\u0131labilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 4.800 \u00fczerindeki net k\u0131r\u0131lma (fiyat\u0131n seviyenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131) y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesini teyit edebilir ve 4.944 civar\u0131ndaki bir sonraki direnci g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131nda kritik hafta: Dolar zay\u0131f, risk i\u015ftah\u0131 y\u00fcksek; XAU\/USD 4.684\u2019te. ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz senaryosu belirleyici. 4.800 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa y\u00fckseli\u015f, anla\u015fmada \u201csava\u015f primi\u201d silinip 4.350 deste\u011fi hedef.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44022","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44022"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44022\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44022"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44022"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44022"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}