{"id":43991,"date":"2026-04-06T20:21:24","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T20:21:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/zayiflayan-abd-dolarina-ragmen-iyilesen-risk-istahi-ve-iranda-ateskes-umutlari-eur-usdyi-11570in-altinda-tutuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T20:21:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T20:21:24","slug":"zayiflayan-abd-dolarina-ragmen-iyilesen-risk-istahi-ve-iranda-ateskes-umutlari-eur-usdyi-11570in-altinda-tutuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/zayiflayan-abd-dolarina-ragmen-iyilesen-risk-istahi-ve-iranda-ateskes-umutlari-eur-usdyi-11570in-altinda-tutuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Zay\u0131flayan ABD dolar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, iyile\u015fen risk i\u015ftah\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019da ate\u015fkes umutlar\u0131 EUR\/USD\u2019yi 1,1570\u2019in alt\u0131nda tutuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Euro, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131nda olas\u0131 ate\u015fkes haberleri sonras\u0131 risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme e\u011filimi) artmas\u0131yla pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. EUR\/USD 1,1505\u2019ten toparland\u0131 ancak 1,1570\u2019in alt\u0131nda kalarak ge\u00e7en haftaki bant hareketini (belirli bir aral\u0131kta dalgalanma) korudu.\n\nHaberlere g\u00f6re ABD ve \u0130ran, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 bitirebilecek ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7abilecek 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkes plan\u0131n\u0131 ald\u0131. Ancak ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Do\u011fu Saati (ET) ile 20.00\u2019ye (00:00 GMT) kadar a\u00e7\u0131lmazsa \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n sivil altyap\u0131s\u0131 ve enerji tesislerini hedef alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyince temkinli seyir s\u00fcrd\u00fc.\n\n<h3>Piyasa Oda\u011f\u0131 Kritik ABD Verilerine Kayd\u0131<\/h3>\nABD verilerinde Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Nonfarm Payrolls: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde ayl\u0131k istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) martta 178 bin artt\u0131; 60 bin beklentisini a\u015ft\u0131. Paskalya Pazartesi nedeniyle bir\u00e7ok piyasa kapal\u0131yken, odak ABD ISM Hizmet PMI verisine (hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50 \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder) kay\u0131yor. Martta yava\u015flamas\u0131 bekleniyor ancak yine de b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret etmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\nEUR\/USD 1,1500\u2019lerin ortas\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm n\u00f6trden negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc. 4 saatlik RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m durumunu g\u00f6steren momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 50\u2019ye yakla\u015ft\u0131; MACD (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama: trend ve momentum g\u00f6stergesi) sinyal \u00e7izgisine (g\u00f6sterge i\u00e7inde tetikleme \u00e7izgisi) yakla\u015ft\u0131.\n\nDiren\u00e7 (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) 1,1570 civar\u0131nda; ard\u0131ndan 1,1630\u20131,1640 ve 1,1667 geliyor. Destek (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlayan seviye) 1,1500\u2019un hemen \u00fczerinde; sonra 1,1445 ve 1,1410.\n\nMevcut tablo EUR\/USD\u2019yi, jeopolitik gerilimin azalmas\u0131yla zay\u0131flayan dolar ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verilerinin destekledi\u011fi dolar aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu karars\u0131zl\u0131k, paritenin 1 haftal\u0131k ima edilen volatilitesine (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen oynakl\u0131k) yans\u0131yor: G\u00f6sterge %8,5\u2019e s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131; bu seviye 2025\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finden beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti. Bu durum, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n sert bir harekete haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak y\u00f6n konusunda emin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n\n<h3>Son Tarih Etraf\u0131nda \u0130\u015flem Kurulumu<\/h3>\nBu haftan\u0131n ana g\u00fcndemi, olas\u0131 \u0130ran ate\u015fkesiyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Do\u011fu Saati ile 20.00 son tarihi. Bu \u201cya olur ya olmaz\u201d nitelikteki geli\u015fme, oynakl\u0131k odakl\u0131 bir i\u015flem i\u00e7in net bir zemin yarat\u0131yor; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 kapal\u0131 kal\u0131rsa piyasan\u0131n sert hareket etmesi beklenir. WTI ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecek tarihte teslimat i\u00e7in standart s\u00f6zle\u015fme; fiyat beklentisini yans\u0131t\u0131r) \u015fimdiden olas\u0131 10 dolarl\u0131k bir oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor; bu da pozisyonlanman\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tepkiye haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nDolar\u0131 destekleyen bir di\u011fer unsur olarak, bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD ISM Hizmet PMI 57,2 ile 56,5 beklentisini a\u015ft\u0131 ve ge\u00e7en cuma gelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc 178 binlik istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 teyit etti. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm dolar i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskleri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor; ate\u015fkes do\u011frulansa bile EUR\/USD\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015fini k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131yor. Veriler, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) mevcut duru\u015funu de\u011fi\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in fazla nedeni olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nParitenin euro taraf\u0131nda ise ivme (fiyat hareketinin g\u00fcc\u00fc) zay\u0131f kald\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Ge\u00e7en haftaki Euro B\u00f6lgesi T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi; enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) \u00f6nc\u00fc tahmini %1,9 ile beklentinin hafif alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ABD\u2019ye k\u0131yasla daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funu teyit etti. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, paritenin yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m yapmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\nGe\u00e7mi\u015fe bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Kas\u0131m 2025\u2019te K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019deki k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 endi\u015fesinde benzer bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: k\u0131sa vadeli volatilite sert y\u00fckselmi\u015f, acil risk ge\u00e7ince fiyat h\u0131zl\u0131ca yerle\u015fik bant aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu \u00f6rnek, \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olmayabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu da, \u00f6nce oynakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan sonra daha sakin piyasaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ften faydalanabilen stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ate\u015fkes ihtimaliyle euro dolara kar\u015f\u0131 toparland\u0131; ancak Trump\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz tehdidi temkini art\u0131rd\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri dolar\u0131 destekliyor, EUR\/USD 1,1570 alt\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131; oynakl\u0131k %8,5\u2019e f\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43991","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43991"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43991\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}