{"id":43988,"date":"2026-04-06T20:19:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T20:19:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/risk-istahinin-abd-iran-ateskes-gorusmeleri-sirasinda-artmasiyla-aud-usd-05-yukselerek-06930a-yaklasti\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T20:19:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T20:19:14","slug":"risk-istahinin-abd-iran-ateskes-gorusmeleri-sirasinda-artmasiyla-aud-usd-05-yukselerek-06930a-yaklasti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/risk-istahinin-abd-iran-ateskes-gorusmeleri-sirasinda-artmasiyla-aud-usd-05-yukselerek-06930a-yaklasti\/","title":{"rendered":"Risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri s\u0131ras\u0131nda artmas\u0131yla AUD\/USD %0,5 y\u00fckselerek 0,6930\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, Pazartesi Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde ABD\u2013\u0130ran ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri s\u0131ras\u0131nda riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131yla %0,5 y\u00fckselerek 0,6930 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Reuters\u2019a g\u00f6re \u0130ran, ABD\u2019nin teklifini inceledi\u011fini ve bask\u0131 ya da s\u00fcre dayatmas\u0131 olmadan zaman\u0131 gelince yan\u0131t verece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\nG\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fclen anla\u015fma, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fcne kadar \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sona erdirilmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren bir plan\u0131 i\u00e7eriyor; piyasalar yak\u0131nda yan\u0131t bekliyor. Bunun ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talep azald\u0131. Dolar Endeksi (DXY) %0,3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 99,90 yak\u0131n\u0131nda. (DXY, dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki genel de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren endekstir.)\n\n

Yakla\u015fan ABD verileri ve Fed g\u00fcndemi<\/h3>\nABD\u2019de Mart ay\u0131 ISM Hizmetler PMI verisi 14:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; beklenti 55,0, \u015eubat 56,1 idi. (PMI, sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50\u2019nin \u00fczeri sekt\u00f6rde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder.) Bu hafta ayr\u0131ca Mart ay\u0131 FOMC tutanaklar\u0131 ve Mart T\u00dcFE (CPI) verisi bulunuyor. (FOMC, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131 alan kuruludur; tutanaklar toplant\u0131 ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7erir. T\u00dcFE, t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonu \u00f6l\u00e7er.)\n\nAUD\/USD, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 0,6960 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. (EMA, \u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vererek k\u0131sa vadeli e\u011filimi izler.) RSI 45 civar\u0131nda. (RSI, g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; 50 alt\u0131 zay\u0131f momentuma i\u015faret eder.) Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 0,6960 ve 0,7000; bunun \u00fczerinde 0,7060 var. Destek 0,6900, ard\u0131ndan 0,6850 ve 0,6800.\n\nAUD\u2019yi etkileyen ba\u015fl\u0131klar aras\u0131nda RBA politikas\u0131, demir cevheri, \u00c7in ekonomisi, enflasyon, b\u00fcy\u00fcme, d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi ve risk i\u015ftah\u0131 yer al\u0131yor. (RBA, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131d\u0131r; politika faizi ve y\u00f6nlendirmeleriyle para birimini etkiler. D\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi, ihracat ile ithalat aras\u0131ndaki farkt\u0131r.) RBA, enflasyonu %2\u20133 band\u0131nda tutmay\u0131 hedefliyor. Demir cevheri 2021\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k 118 milyar dolar de\u011ferindeydi.\n\n

Politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve \u00c7in kaynakl\u0131 riskler<\/h3>\nAvustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA), Mart \u00e7eyre\u011fi T\u00dcFE verisinin beklentinin biraz alt\u0131nda 3,4 gelmesi sonras\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izleniyor; bu durum y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde faiz indirimi ihtimalini art\u0131rd\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed), \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun daha kal\u0131c\u0131 seyretti\u011fi bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya; \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon ge\u00e7en ay %3,1\u2019de kald\u0131. (\u00c7ekirdek enflasyon, g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak hesaplanan daha \u201ckal\u0131c\u0131\u201d fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir.) Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in faiz indirimi beklentilerini daha ileri bir tarihe iterken, artan politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 (iki \u00fclkenin faiz patikalar\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131) AUD\/USD \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yaratabilir.\n\n\u00c7in\u2019den gelen olumsuz r\u00fczg\u00e2rlar da izleniyor; \u00c7in, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret orta\u011f\u0131. 2026 ilk \u00e7eyrek GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi %4,8 ile istikrarl\u0131 kalsa da daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. (GSYH, bir ekonominin toplam \u00fcretim de\u011feridir.) Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ton ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda zay\u0131f tutuyor. Bu, 2025\u2019in baz\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndan belirgin bir ayr\u0131\u015fma ve Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc olumsuz etkiliyor. (Emtia, petrol ve maden gibi ham maddelerdir; \u201cd\u0131\u015f ticaret g\u00fcc\u00fc\/\u015fartlar\u0131\u201d ihracat fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ithalat fiyatlar\u0131na g\u00f6re durumunu anlat\u0131r.)\n

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Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jeopolitik ate\u015fkes umudu risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 canland\u0131rd\u0131: AUD\/USD %0,5 art\u0131\u015fla 0,6930\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, DXY geriledi. G\u00f6zler ISM, FOMC tutanaklar\u0131, T\u00dcFE\u2019de; RBA\u2013Fed ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve \u00c7in\/demir cevheri bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43988","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43988","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43988"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43988\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43988"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43988"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43988"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}