{"id":43985,"date":"2026-04-06T20:16:53","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T20:16:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/wti-abd-iran-baris-gorusmelerinde-ilerleme-saglanmasinin-etkisiyle-10644-dolardan-gerileyerek-102-dolarin-altina-indi-ve-101-dolar-civarina-cekildi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T20:16:53","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T20:16:53","slug":"wti-abd-iran-baris-gorusmelerinde-ilerleme-saglanmasinin-etkisiyle-10644-dolardan-gerileyerek-102-dolarin-altina-indi-ve-101-dolar-civarina-cekildi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/wti-abd-iran-baris-gorusmelerinde-ilerleme-saglanmasinin-etkisiyle-10644-dolardan-gerileyerek-102-dolarin-altina-indi-ve-101-dolar-civarina-cekildi\/","title":{"rendered":"WTI, ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde ilerleme sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle 106,44 dolardan gerileyerek 102 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na indi ve 101 dolar civar\u0131na \u00e7ekildi"},"content":{"rendered":"WTI, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k 5 dolar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; seans i\u00e7i 106,44 dolarl\u0131k zirveden varil ba\u015f\u0131na 101,00 dolar civar\u0131na geriledi. Bu hareket, fiyatlar 106,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra, uluslararas\u0131 arabulucular \u00fczerinden ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131na daha yak\u0131n olabilece\u011fine dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan geldi.\n\nReuters, ABD ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 hemen durdurabilecek 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir ate\u015fkes i\u00e7in bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve metin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131. Bu metin, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fine de i\u015faret etti. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131lma ihtimali petrol\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti, ancak WTI 100,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131.\n\n

Jeopolitik Risk ve \u0130lk Fiyat Deste\u011fi<\/h3>\nDaha \u00f6nce Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Do\u011fu Saati ile 20.00\u2019ye (00:00 GMT) kadar a\u00e7\u0131lmazsa ABD\u2019nin k\u00f6pr\u00fcleri ve enerji tesislerini hedef alabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Bu s\u00f6ylem, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da ABD \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na misilleme (kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k) endi\u015fesini art\u0131rd\u0131 ve Asya i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde fiyatlara destek verdi.\n\nTahran\u2019\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131n ilk haftalar\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131ndan bu yana ham petrol yakla\u015f\u0131k %50 y\u00fckseldi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz, k\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte birinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi kritik bir ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131.\n\nOPEC ve m\u00fcttefikleri, May\u0131s ay\u0131nda \u00fcretim kotalar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcnde 206 bin varil art\u0131rma konusunda anla\u015ft\u0131. (\u00dcretim kotas\u0131: \u00dclkelerin ne kadar petrol \u00fcretebilece\u011fine dair belirlenen \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r.) Fiyat tepkisi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn kapal\u0131 olmas\u0131 ve K\u00f6rfez petrol sahalar\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 hasar, arz planlar\u0131n\u0131 fiilen k\u0131s\u0131tlayabilir.\n\n102 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na ini\u015f, piyasada kritik bir e\u015fik. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ana nedeni, ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesi umudu ve bunun H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fc yeniden a\u00e7abilecek olmas\u0131. Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyatta sert dalgalanma) y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 beklenebilir; g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bozulmas\u0131 halinde fiyatlar h\u0131zla yeniden 106 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine d\u00f6nebilir.\n\n

Y\u00fcksek Beklenen Oynakl\u0131kta \u0130\u015flem Yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131<\/h3>\nBeklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan \u201cpiyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma\u201d; \u0130ngilizcede implied volatility) y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 muhtemel. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin sonucu iki u\u00e7lu: ya anla\u015fma olur ya olmaz. Bu tablo, y\u00f6n fark etmeksizin b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketinden yararlanmak i\u00e7in opsiyon al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin \u201cstraddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede, ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma; ama\u00e7 sert hareketten faydalanmak) daha temkinli bir se\u00e7enek olabilir. Anla\u015fma bozulursa al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call: fiyat y\u00fckselirse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) kazand\u0131r\u0131r; anla\u015fma olur ve arz normale d\u00f6nerse sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) de\u011ferlenir.\n\nAyr\u0131ca son EIA raporuna bakmak gerekir. (EIA: ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi; petrol stok ve \u00fcretim verilerini yay\u0131mlar.) Raporda ge\u00e7en hafta ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda 3,2 milyon varillik s\u00fcrpriz art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu, \u0130ran\u2019dan ek varil gelmese bile, arz\u0131n (piyasaya sunulan petrol miktar\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterir. Bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 ile bu stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131 birle\u015firse, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 h\u0131zlanabilir.\n\nTalep (t\u00fcketim) taraf\u0131nda ise Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n son tahminleri, y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. (B\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi d\u00fc\u015ferse enerji talebi de zay\u0131flayabilir.) \u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 %50\u2019lik sert fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bu zay\u0131flama sinyalini g\u00f6lgeledi. \u015eimdi ise gelecekteki y\u00fckseli\u015flerin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc kesebilecek ana fakt\u00f6rlerden biri olarak yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Petrolde sert sat\u0131\u015f: WTI 106,44 dolardan 101 dolara indi. ABD-\u0130ran 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkes ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131lma ihtimali bask\u0131 kuruyor. Ancak jeopolitik risk ve y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131k s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43985"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43985\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}