{"id":43967,"date":"2026-04-06T17:18:42","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T17:18:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/dolarin-zayiflamasiyla-altin-4-700-dolara-yaklasti-ancak-avrupa-seansinda-yukselisin-devami-sinirli-gorunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T17:18:42","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T17:18:42","slug":"dolarin-zayiflamasiyla-altin-4-700-dolara-yaklasti-ancak-avrupa-seansinda-yukselisin-devami-sinirli-gorunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dolarin-zayiflamasiyla-altin-4-700-dolara-yaklasti-ancak-avrupa-seansinda-yukselisin-devami-sinirli-gorunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla alt\u0131n 4.700 dolara yakla\u015ft\u0131; ancak Avrupa seans\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015fin devam\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde, 4.600 dolar civar\u0131nda gelen al\u0131mlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.700 dolara y\u00fckseldi. Bloomberg\u2019in Axios\u2019a dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberine g\u00f6re ABD, \u0130ran ve b\u00f6lgesel arabulucular, olas\u0131 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir ate\u015fkesin \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.\n\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcne kadar yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmazsa \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n elektrik santralleri ve k\u00f6pr\u00fclerinin hedef al\u0131nabilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan petrol fiyatlar\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rt haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Tahran ise, gelirlerin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n sava\u015f kaynakl\u0131 zararlar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in \u0130ran\u2019a tazminat olarak aktar\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde ge\u00e7i\u015fin yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini belirtti.\n\n<h3>Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve alt\u0131n<\/h3>\nAli Ekber Velayati, K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019deki Bab\u00fclmendep Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n hedef al\u0131nabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu; bu da ticaretin aksamas\u0131 endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP: tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131) verisi, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fi beklentisini destekledi. Bu durum ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirirken alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu.\n\nYat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, mart ay\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen d\u00f6rt ayl\u0131k dip seviye olan 4.100 dolardan gelen toparlanman\u0131n zay\u0131flay\u0131p zay\u0131flamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlamak i\u00e7in 4.600 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir sarkmay\u0131 izliyor. G\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde ABD ISM Hizmet PMI verisi (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi: hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde faaliyetlerin art\u0131p azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren anket) takip edilecek. Bir\u00e7ok piyasada Paskalya Pazartesisi nedeniyle i\u015flem hacmi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilir.\n\nTeknik tarafta 4.600 dolar, mart ay\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn %38,2 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesine (fiyat\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilme seviyelerini \u00f6l\u00e7en teknik oran) denk geliyor. Fiyat, 4 saatlik grafikte 200 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. MACD (hareketli ortalama yak\u0131nsama-\u0131raksama: momentum\/trend g\u00f6stergesi) sinyal \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda, ancak her ikisi de s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m-a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 52 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7ler 4.758, ard\u0131ndan 4.791 ve 4.913 dolar; destekler ise 4.411 ve ard\u0131ndan 4.300 dolar.\n\n<h3>Fed politikas\u0131 ve t\u00fcrev pozisyonlar<\/h3>\nFed\u2019in politikas\u0131 alt\u0131n i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir olumsuz unsur olmaya devam ediyor; \u00f6zellikle de ge\u00e7en cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verisinin ve mart T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (CPI: t\u00fcketici enflasyonu g\u00f6stergesi) enflasyonun %4,1 ile \u201cyap\u0131\u015fkan\u201d kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (kolay d\u00fc\u015fmeyen, kal\u0131c\u0131) g\u00f6stermesinin ard\u0131ndan. Piyasa \u015fu anda temmuza kadar faizin %6,00\u2019a bir kez daha art\u0131r\u0131lma ihtimalini %65 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu nedenle \u0130ran taraf\u0131nda tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesine y\u00f6nelik her i\u015faret, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n put (sat\u0131m opsiyonu: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) almas\u0131na veya bear call spread (ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc call spread: daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call satarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\/ yatay beklentisiyle kurulan strateji) kurmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.\n\n\u00d6te yandan k\u00fcresel deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hatlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik risk ger\u00e7ek ve bu, call (al\u0131m opsiyonu: fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015finden kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) gibi y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131 destekliyor. Brent petrol\u00fcn H\u00fcrm\u00fcz kaynakl\u0131 geli\u015fmelerle varil ba\u015f\u0131na 150 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyonun s\u00fcrmesine ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u201ckorunma\u201d amac\u0131yla (hedge: riski azaltmak i\u00e7in al\u0131nan pozisyon) yeniden alt\u0131na y\u00f6nelmesine neden olabilir. Bab\u00fclmendep\u2019e y\u00f6nelik bir tehdit, gerilimi yeni bir a\u015famaya ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Bu senaryoda 4.900 dolar diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (OTM: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan daha uzak, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck) call opsiyonlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek risk\u2013y\u00fcksek getiri arayanlar i\u00e7in \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir.\n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda t\u00fcrev i\u015flemler (opsiyon\/futures gibi, de\u011feri dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler) i\u00e7in 4.600 dolar seviyesi kritik e\u015fik olarak izleniyor. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma (kararl\u0131 \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7i\u015f) stop-loss emirlerini (zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in otomatik kapan\u0131\u015f emri) tetikleyebilir ve 4.411 dolar deste\u011fini hedefleyen put al\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u00e7in sinyal olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Tersine, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 4.300 dolar civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla \u201cnakit teminatl\u0131 put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d (cash-secured put: olas\u0131 al\u0131m i\u00e7in nakit ay\u0131rarak put sat\u0131p prim geliri toplama) yaparak prim (opsiyon fiyat\u0131) toplayabilir; b\u00f6ylece mart dip seviyelerinin taban olarak korunaca\u011f\u0131na oynar.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131nda kritik e\u015fik 4.600: Orta Do\u011fu ate\u015fkes pazarl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\/Bab\u00fclmendep riski fiyat\u0131 4.700\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc NFP\u2013y\u00fcksek faiz beklentisi bask\u0131 kuruyor; opsiyonlarda put\/call pozisyonlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43967","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43967","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43967"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43967\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43967"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43967"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43967"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}