{"id":43966,"date":"2026-04-06T17:17:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T17:17:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/rbi-politika-haftasinda-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-rupiyi-asagi-cekti-usd-inr-yatay-acilisin-ardindan-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T17:17:52","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T17:17:52","slug":"rbi-politika-haftasinda-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-rupiyi-asagi-cekti-usd-inr-yatay-acilisin-ardindan-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/rbi-politika-haftasinda-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-rupiyi-asagi-cekti-usd-inr-yatay-acilisin-ardindan-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"RBI politika haftas\u0131nda y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 rupiyi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti, USD\/INR yatay a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"Hindistan rupisi, RBI\u2019nin (Hindistan Merkez Bankas\u0131) politika haftas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yatay a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geriledi. USD\/INR yakla\u015f\u0131k 92,85\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; \u0130ran altyap\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ABD\u2019den yeniden gelen tehditlerle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f rupiyi bask\u0131lad\u0131.\n\nWTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) Hindistan \u00f6\u011fleden sonraki i\u015flemlerinde 102 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken son d\u00f6rt haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, Hindistan gibi petrol ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 ekonomilerin para birimleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir.\n\n<h3>Son D\u00f6nemde Rupideki Zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n Ana Nedenleri<\/h3>\nHindistan hisselerinde yabanc\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 rupiyi bask\u0131lad\u0131. Nisan\u0131n ilk iki i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde FII\u2019lar (yabanc\u0131 kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar) 18.262,28 crore rupi (yakla\u015f\u0131k 182,6 milyar rupi) tutar\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131; mart ay\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm i\u015flem g\u00fcnlerinde de net sat\u0131c\u0131yd\u0131lar.\n\nPiyasalar, \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak RBI para politikas\u0131 karar\u0131n\u0131 izliyor; faizlerin de\u011fi\u015fmeden kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Ayr\u0131ca ABD ISM Hizmet PMI (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fcme\/daralmay\u0131 g\u00f6steren anket verisi) verisi de takip ediliyor: Mart verisi 14:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; beklenti 55,0, \u015fubatta 56,1\u2019di.\n\nUSD\/INR\u2019de destek 92,35 civar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda bir kapan\u0131\u015f 91,35\u2019e do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir. Diren\u00e7, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) olan 93,00 civar\u0131nda; ard\u0131ndan 93,66 geliyor. T\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesi 95,22.\n\nUSD\/INR 92,85\u2019i test ederken yak\u0131n vadede rupide zay\u0131flama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert y\u00fckseli\u015f ve belirgin yabanc\u0131 para \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir olumsuz tablo olu\u015fturuyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, riskin ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir pozisyon i\u00e7in \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 daha uza\u011fa yerle\u015ftirilmi\u015f) USD\/INR al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call; kur y\u00fckselirse de\u011fer kazanan s\u00f6zle\u015fme) de\u011ferlendirilebilir.\n\n<h3>\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki Hafta \u0130\u00e7in Strateji Notlar\u0131<\/h3>\nWTI petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalma riski rupiyi zorlayabilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Hindistan ham petrol ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n %85\u2019inden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 ithal ediyor. Bu tablo, 2022\u2019deki jeopolitik gerilimlerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00f6rne\u011fe benziyor: Petrol fiyat\u0131 y\u00fckseldi\u011finde cari a\u00e7\u0131k (\u00fclkenin d\u00f6viz gelir-gider fark\u0131) artar ve para birimi bask\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcr. Petrol\u00fcn uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 USD\/INR\u2019yi yeniden \u00f6nceki zirvelere ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.\n\nYabanc\u0131 kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n iki g\u00fcnde 18.000 crore rupinin \u00fczerinde sat\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131, 2024\u2019\u00fcn son \u00e7eyre\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fclen e\u011filimin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor. Devaml\u0131 para \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekler ve rupiyi bask\u0131lar. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi s\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e \u201cg\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (riskten uzakla\u015fma) e\u011filimi devam edebilir; bu da INR\u2019nin (Hindistan rupisi) kal\u0131c\u0131 toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r.\n\n\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc RBI karar\u0131 haftan\u0131n ana risk ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131; oynakl\u0131kta (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) s\u0131\u00e7rama yaratabilir. Faizlerin sabit kalmas\u0131 beklense de enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in \u201c\u015fahin\u201d mesajlar (daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 sinyali) rupiyi k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir; \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d ton (daha gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131 sinyali) ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir. Karar an\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u201cuzun straddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak b\u00fcy\u00fck harekete oynama) stratejisi, y\u00f6n fark etmeksizin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareketten yararlanmay\u0131 hedefleyebilir.\n\nTeknik a\u00e7\u0131dan 93,00 seviyesi yeni y\u00fckseli\u015f pozisyonlar\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik tetikleyici olarak izlenebilir. 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine net bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, USD\/INR\u2019de y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesinin tekrar g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fine i\u015faret edebilir. Bu, vadeli i\u015flemlerde (futures; ileri tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in sinyal say\u0131labilir; ilk hedef 2 Nisan zirvesi olan 93,66 olabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Petrol \u015foku rupiyi vurdu: WTI 102 dolarla 4 haftan\u0131n zirvesinde, USD\/INR 92,85\u2019e t\u0131rmand\u0131. Yabanc\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flar s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; g\u00f6zler RBI karar\u0131nda. Teknikte 93,00 kritik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43966","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43966","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43966"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43966\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43966"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43966"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43966"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}