{"id":43965,"date":"2026-04-06T17:17:01","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T17:17:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/avrupa-sabah-seansinda-altin-dolarin-zayiflamasiyla-4-700-dolara-dogru-yukseldi-ancak-yukselisler-sinirli-kaldi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T17:17:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T17:17:01","slug":"avrupa-sabah-seansinda-altin-dolarin-zayiflamasiyla-4-700-dolara-dogru-yukseldi-ancak-yukselisler-sinirli-kaldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/avrupa-sabah-seansinda-altin-dolarin-zayiflamasiyla-4-700-dolara-dogru-yukseldi-ancak-yukselisler-sinirli-kaldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Avrupa sabah seans\u0131nda alt\u0131n, dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla 4.700 dolara do\u011fru y\u00fckseldi; ancak y\u00fckseli\u015fler s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131."},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) Pazartesi Avrupa seans\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi; 4.600 dolar civar\u0131nda gelen al\u0131mlarla yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.700 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. Bloomberg\u2019\u00fcn Axios\u2019a dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 habere g\u00f6re, ABD, \u0130ran ve b\u00f6lgesel arabulucular\u0131n kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde olas\u0131 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkesin \u015fartlar\u0131 ele al\u0131n\u0131yor.\n\nHam Petrol, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcne kadar yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmazsa \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n elektrik santralleri ve k\u00f6pr\u00fclerini hedef alabilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rt haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Tahran, gelirlerin bir k\u0131sm\u0131 sava\u015f kaynakl\u0131 zararlar\u0131n tazmini i\u00e7in \u0130ran\u2019a ayr\u0131l\u0131rsa ge\u00e7i\u015fin yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini belirtti.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik ve Faiz Zemini<\/h3>\n\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeni Dini Lideri Mojtaba Hamaney\u2019in dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Ali Ekber Velayati, Bab el-Mendeb Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n hedef al\u0131nabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi (ekonomide ay i\u00e7inde tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki sekt\u00f6rlerdeki istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131) g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi. Bu da ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fi beklentisini art\u0131rd\u0131.\n\nPiyasalar, martta d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.100 dolardan gelen toparlanman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan fiyat\u0131n 4.600 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inip inmeyece\u011fini izliyor. ABD ISM Hizmet PMI verisi (hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50\u2019nin \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi g\u00f6sterir) g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Bir\u00e7ok piyasada Paskalya Pazartesisi tatili nedeniyle i\u015flem hacmi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck.\n\nTeknik tarafta 4.600 dolar, Fibonacci %38,2 d\u00fczeltme seviyesine denk geliyor (\u00f6nceki hareketin ard\u0131ndan olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme seviyelerini g\u00f6steren teknik oran). Fiyat, 4 saatlik grafikte 200 periyotluk \u00fcssel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (EMA; son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) alt\u0131nda. MACD (momentum g\u00f6stergesi) sinyal \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda, ancak ikisi de s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n biraz \u00fczerinde. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; 0-100 aras\u0131, 50 civar\u0131 n\u00f6tr) 52. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 4.758; ard\u0131ndan 4.791 ve 4.913. Destek 4.411 ve 4.300 civar\u0131nda.\n\nAte\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri alt\u0131na k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli destek verirken, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ici olarak zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Ancak as\u0131l konu, k\u00fcresel faizlerin y\u00fcksek kalma riski. Faiz getirisi olmayan bir varl\u0131k olan alt\u0131n\u0131n (kupon\/faiz \u00f6demeyen) y\u00fckseli\u015fi bu nedenle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilir. Bu ortamda y\u00fckseli\u015fi kovalamak yerine y\u00fckseli\u015fte sat\u0131\u015f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\n<h3>Enflasyon ve Petrol \u015eoku Riski<\/h3>\nAlt\u0131n i\u00e7in en \u00f6nemli olumsuz unsur, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n besledi\u011fi kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon. 2025\u2019te enflasyonun uzun s\u00fcre %3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Fed\u2019i faizleri y\u00fcksek tutmaya zorlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hat\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7en cuma gelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD istihdam verisi, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131n zamanda faiz indirmek i\u00e7in bir gerek\u00e7esi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor; bu da dolar\u0131 destekleyip alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir.\n\nPetrol piyasas\u0131ndaki jeopolitik risk, enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rarak Fed\u2019in i\u015fini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fcnya g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol t\u00fcketiminin yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelmesi, bu \u201cdar bo\u011faz\u201d noktas\u0131na (chokepoint; arz\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi stratejik ge\u00e7it) y\u00f6nelik tehditlerin petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek tutmas\u0131na ve k\u00fcresel enflasyonu do\u011frudan yukar\u0131 itmesine neden oluyor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte 2024\u2019te K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019de ya\u015fanan aksamalarda oldu\u011fu gibi bu t\u00fcr petrol \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131n, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n \u201c\u015fahin\u201d duru\u015funu (hawkish; enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek faiz yanl\u0131s\u0131) uzun s\u00fcre korudu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.\n\nK\u0131sa vadeli jeopolitik toparlanma ile olumsuz makro zemin aras\u0131ndaki bu \u00e7eli\u015fki, y\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015f se\u00e7ene\u011fini g\u00fcndeme getiriyor. Opsiyonlarla (belirli bir fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon kurmak, \u00f6rne\u011fin 4.758 ve 4.791 diren\u00e7lerinin \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call spread satmak (ayn\u0131 vadede bir call sat\u0131p daha yukar\u0131dan bir call almak; y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131rsa kazan\u00e7) daha temkinli bir strateji olabilir. B\u00f6ylece alt\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m yapamamas\u0131 durumunda getiriden yararlan\u0131labilir.\n\n\u0130zlenecek ana seviye 4.600 dolar. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ve alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k, son toparlanman\u0131n bitti\u011fini ve ana d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin yeniden ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterebilir. Bu senaryoda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon art\u0131rma veya put opsiyonu alma (fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) g\u00fcndeme gelebilir; bir sonraki hedef destek 4.411 civar\u0131 olur.\n\n\u015eimdilik ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine ili\u015fkin haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli oynakl\u0131k yaratacakt\u0131r; ancak orta vadeli e\u011filim i\u00e7in ABD ISM Hizmet verisi daha belirleyici olabilir. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir veri, ekonominin diren\u00e7li kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 teyit ederek dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir ve alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 \u00fczerinde yeniden bask\u0131 olu\u015fturabilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131nda ate\u015fkes umudu k\u0131sa soluklu: XAU\/USD 4.600\u2019den tepkiyle 4.700\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz tehdidi petrol\u00fc z\u0131plat\u0131rken enflasyonu besliyor; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verisi Fed\u2019i \u015fahin tutup y\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015f fikrini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43965","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43965","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43965"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43965\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43965"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43965"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43965"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}