{"id":43964,"date":"2026-04-06T17:16:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T17:16:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/11560-civarinda-eur-usd-avrupada-04-yukseldi-simetrik-ucgen-formasyonu-donus-beklentilerini-guclendiriyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T17:16:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T17:16:09","slug":"11560-civarinda-eur-usd-avrupada-04-yukseldi-simetrik-ucgen-formasyonu-donus-beklentilerini-guclendiriyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/11560-civarinda-eur-usd-avrupada-04-yukseldi-simetrik-ucgen-formasyonu-donus-beklentilerini-guclendiriyor\/","title":{"rendered":"1,1560 civar\u0131nda EUR\/USD Avrupa\u2019da %0,4 y\u00fckseldi; simetrik \u00fc\u00e7gen formasyonu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Pakistan \u00fczerinden ABD\u2019nin ate\u015fkes teklifini ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frulamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Pazartesi Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde %0,4 y\u00fckselerek 1,1560\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131. Risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (belirsizlikte koruma amac\u0131yla tercih edilen) ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talebi azaltt\u0131.\n\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren sepet) yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,4 d\u00fc\u015ferek 99,80 civar\u0131na indi ve Asya i\u015flemlerinde 100,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde yatay kald\u0131ktan sonra 100,00\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. \u0130ran, teklifi bask\u0131 veya s\u00fcre dayatmas\u0131 alt\u0131nda kabul etmeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\n<h3>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 Riski<\/h3>\nTahran ayr\u0131ca ge\u00e7ici bir ate\u015fkes kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7mayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Bo\u011faz, k\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi kritik bir ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131.\n\nPiyasalar, bug\u00fcn 14:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD ISM Hizmetler PMI verisini (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50\u2019nin \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder) bekliyor. Mart i\u00e7in beklenti 55,0; \u00f6nceki 56,1\u2019di. Bu hafta ayr\u0131ca \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc FOMC tutanaklar\u0131 (Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131na ili\u015fkin toplant\u0131 notlar\u0131) ve Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Mart T\u00dcFE verisi (t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi; enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.\n\nEUR\/USD 1,1560 civar\u0131nda seyrederken 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; k\u0131sa vadeli e\u011filimi izler) bulundu\u011fu 1,1570\u2019in hemen alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Dip b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n \u201csimetrik \u00fc\u00e7gen\u201d (fiyat\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve k\u0131r\u0131lma gelebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steren teknik formasyon) yatay bir evreye i\u015faret ederken, 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (g\u00f6receli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 40,00\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131ndan 40,00\u201360,00 band\u0131na y\u00fckseldi.\n\nDiren\u00e7 (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 1,1570, ard\u0131ndan 1,1600; 1,1600 a\u015f\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,1660 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Destek (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde tutulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan seviye) 1,1500; ard\u0131ndan 1,14\u2019lerin sonu b\u00f6lgesi, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 1,1450 ve 1,1411.\n\n<h3>Opsiyon Pozisyonlama Fikirleri<\/h3>\nSimetrik \u00fc\u00e7gen formasyonu nedeniyle stratejilerden biri, EUR\/USD\u2019de olas\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmaya pozisyon almakt\u0131r. 1,1600 direncinin biraz \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunu daha kontroll\u00fc maliyetle de\u011ferlendirme imk\u00e2n\u0131 verir; parite son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini net bi\u00e7imde k\u0131rarsa yukar\u0131 hareketten faydalanmay\u0131 sa\u011flar.\n\n\u00d6te yandan, bu hareketin aldat\u0131c\u0131 olma (k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli iyile\u015fme) riskine kar\u015f\u0131 korunma gerekir. 1,1500 deste\u011finin alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131), ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri bozulursa veya ABD verileri beklentiden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelirse pozisyonu korumaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, oynak bir hafta \u00f6ncesinde dengeli bir yap\u0131 kurar.\n\nBug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ISM Hizmetler PMI verisi, ekonominin gidi\u015fat\u0131na dair ilk sinyali verecek. 55,0 beklentisi \u00f6ncekiye g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olsa da 50\u2019nin \u00fczerindeki her de\u011fer hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder; bu da dolar\u0131n son zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. As\u0131l odak ise \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc FOMC tutanaklar\u0131 ile Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc T\u00dcFE verisi olacak.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ate\u015fkes sinyaliyle euro ata\u011fa kalkt\u0131: EUR\/USD %0,4 art\u0131\u015fla 1,1560\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131, DXY 99,80\u2019e geriledi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; g\u00f6zler ISM, FOMC tutanaklar\u0131 ve T\u00dcFE\u2019de. Teknikte 1,1570-1,1600 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 kritik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43964","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43964","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43964"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43964\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43964"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43964"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43964"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}