{"id":43957,"date":"2026-04-06T16:18:30","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T16:18:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/avrupa-islemleri-sirasinda-dow-vadeli-islemleri-abd-iran-ateskesine-iliskin-haberlerin-etkisiyle-onceki-kayiplarini-telafi-ederek-46-660-civarinda-006-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T16:18:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T16:18:30","slug":"avrupa-islemleri-sirasinda-dow-vadeli-islemleri-abd-iran-ateskesine-iliskin-haberlerin-etkisiyle-onceki-kayiplarini-telafi-ederek-46-660-civarinda-006-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/avrupa-islemleri-sirasinda-dow-vadeli-islemleri-abd-iran-ateskesine-iliskin-haberlerin-etkisiyle-onceki-kayiplarini-telafi-ederek-46-660-civarinda-006-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Avrupa i\u015flemleri s\u0131ras\u0131nda Dow vadeli i\u015flemleri, ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesine ili\u015fkin haberlerin etkisiyle \u00f6nceki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 telafi ederek 46.660 civar\u0131nda %0,06 y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"Dow Jones vadeli i\u015flemleri (endeksin gelecekteki fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) \u00f6nceki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 telafi ederek pazartesi Avrupa saatlerinde 46.660 seviyelerine yak\u0131n seyretti; %0,06 art\u0131da. S&#038;P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri 6.620 civar\u0131nda %0,03 y\u00fckselirken, Nasdaq 100 vadeli i\u015flemleri 24.260 civar\u0131nda %0,17 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.\n\nVadeli i\u015flemler, ABD, \u0130ran ve b\u00f6lgesel arabulucular\u0131n olas\u0131 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkes (\u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ge\u00e7ici durmas\u0131) \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne ili\u015fkin haberlerin etkisiyle y\u00fckseldi. Bloomberg, Axios ve ad\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanmayan kaynaklara dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinde, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 48 saat i\u00e7inde anla\u015fmaya var\u0131lma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu bildirdi.\n\n<h3>Ate\u015fkes G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ve Son Tarih Riski<\/h3>\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmazsa \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 elektrik santralleri ve di\u011fer sivil altyap\u0131 hedeflerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131larla tehdit etti. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Do\u011fu Saati\u2019ne (ET) g\u00f6re 20.00 i\u00e7in son tarih belirledi. Tahran ise \u00fcltimatomu (son uyar\u0131) reddederken, Orta Do\u011fu genelinde enerji varl\u0131klar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bildirildi.\n\nABD hisse senetleri, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimlerini erteleyebilece\u011fi beklentilerinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda. Piyasalar, para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 i\u00e7in FOMC Toplant\u0131 Tutanaklar\u0131\u2019na (Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 alan kurulun toplant\u0131 notlar\u0131) odaklan\u0131yor.\n\nDow Jones Sanayi Endeksi (DJIA), ABD\u2019de en \u00e7ok i\u015flem g\u00f6ren 30 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015firket hissesini izler ve \u201cpiyasa de\u011feri a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131\u201d (\u015firketin borsadaki toplam de\u011ferine g\u00f6re) de\u011fil, \u201cfiyat a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131\u201dd\u0131r (hisse fiyat\u0131 y\u00fcksek olan\u0131n etkisi daha fazlad\u0131r). Endeks, \u015fu anda 0,152 olan bir \u201cb\u00f6len\u201d (endeks hesaplamas\u0131nda kullan\u0131lan katsay\u0131) ile hesaplan\u0131r.\n\nDow Teorisi, DJIA ile Dow Jones Ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k Endeksi\u2019ni kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r ve \u201ci\u015flem hacmini\u201d (al\u0131m-sat\u0131m miktar\u0131) teyit unsuru olarak kullan\u0131r. DJIA; DIA gibi ETF\u2019ler (borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon), vadeli i\u015flemler, opsiyonlar (belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) ve yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden i\u015flem g\u00f6rebilir.\n\n<h3>Oynakl\u0131k G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve Riskten Korunma<\/h3>\nABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine dair \u00e7eli\u015fkili haberler ile yar\u0131nki kesin son tarihin ayn\u0131 anda masada olmas\u0131, piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) ani art\u0131\u015f riskini y\u00fckseltiyor. Bu tablo, VIX endeksini (piyasa korku endeksi; beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) mevcut sakin seviyelerden yeniden 20\u2019nin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Bu e\u015fi\u011fin 2022\u2019de Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ilk d\u00f6neminde a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu ortam, endeks vadeli i\u015flemlerinde k\u0131sa vadeli koruma al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta) daha temkinli bir tercih haline getiriyor.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki her t\u0131rmanma, enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla etkiler. 2024 ve 2025\u2019teki b\u00f6lgesel gerilimlerde petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, en yak\u0131n vadeli WTI ham petrol kontratlar\u0131n\u0131 (ABD tipi ham petrol\u00fcn en yak\u0131n teslim ay\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) izlemeli. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket, enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zlanmas\u0131) yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fine i\u015faret eder. Bu durum, Dow Jones i\u00e7indeki Boeing ve Caterpillar gibi ula\u015ft\u0131rma ve sanayi hisseleri i\u00e7in olumsuzdur.\n\nBu jeopolitik gerilim, Fed\u2019in bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc daha y\u00fcksek enerji maliyetleri, uzun s\u00fcredir y\u00fcksek kalan enflasyonu daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirebilir. Son T\u00dcFE (CPI; t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi) verileri de \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun (enerji ve g\u0131da hari\u00e7) %3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Bu nedenle, daha \u00f6nce %70\u2019in \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek \u00f6ncesi faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, faiz vadeli i\u015flem piyasalar\u0131na (gelecekteki faiz beklentisini yans\u0131tan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) g\u00f6re %50\u2019nin alt\u0131na gerilemi\u015f olabilir.\n\n\u0130ran\u2019a ili\u015fkin son tarihin \u201cya olur ya olmaz\u201d niteli\u011fi, her iki y\u00f6nde de b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketinden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, SPDR Dow Jones ETF\u2019si (DIA) \u00fczerinde \u201cuzun straddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte al\u0131n\u0131r; sert hareketten yararlanmay\u0131 hedefler) dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Y\u00f6n beklentisi olanlar i\u00e7in \u201ccall\/put spread\u201d (riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 opsiyonun birlikte kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 strateji) sert bir y\u00fckseli\u015f veya keskin sat\u0131\u015f senaryosunda riski tan\u0131mlamaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur. Mevcut y\u00fcksek \u201cz\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k\u201d (implied volatility; opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) nedeniyle, son tarih ge\u00e7meden opsiyon primi satmak (opsiyon satarak prim geliri elde etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak) daha riskli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Piyasalar nefesini tuttu: Dow, S&#038;P ve Nasdaq vadeli i\u015flemleri ate\u015fkes s\u00f6ylentileriyle toparland\u0131. Ancak Trump\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz i\u00e7in son tarihi, enerji-enflasyon-Fed bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131p VIX\u2019te s\u0131\u00e7rama riskini b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43957","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43957","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43957"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43957\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43957"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43957"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43957"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}