{"id":43949,"date":"2026-04-06T15:19:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T15:19:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-iran-ateskes-anlasmasina-yonelik-iyimserligin-avrupanin-erken-saatlerindeki-islemlere-yansimasiyla-aud-06910-civarinda-gucleniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T15:19:12","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T15:19:12","slug":"abd-iran-ateskes-anlasmasina-yonelik-iyimserligin-avrupanin-erken-saatlerindeki-islemlere-yansimasiyla-aud-06910-civarinda-gucleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-iran-ateskes-anlasmasina-yonelik-iyimserligin-avrupanin-erken-saatlerindeki-islemlere-yansimasiyla-aud-06910-civarinda-gucleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik iyimserli\u011fin Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n erken saatlerindeki i\u015flemlere yans\u0131mas\u0131yla AUD 0,6910 civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD paritesi, Pazartesi erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde ABD-\u0130ran aras\u0131nda olas\u0131 bir ate\u015fkes beklentisiyle g\u00fc\u00e7lenerek 0,6910 civar\u0131na y\u00fckseldi. ABD\u2019de Mart ay\u0131 ISM Hizmetler PMI (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi; hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki faaliyetin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren anket verisi) raporu Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ilerleyen saatlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.\n\nBloomberg\u2019in Axios\u2019a dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 habere g\u00f6re, ABD, \u0130ran ve b\u00f6lgesel arabulucular, sava\u015f\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak sona ermesine kap\u0131 aralayabilecek olas\u0131 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir ate\u015fkesi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Haberde, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 48 saat i\u00e7inde anla\u015fma ihtimalinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu belirtilirken, Donald Trump ise Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc son tarihten \u00f6nce bir anla\u015fmaya var\u0131labilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\n

ABD Verileri ve Fed Beklentisi<\/h3>\nABD makro verileri, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizleri y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fi beklentisini destekledi. Bu durum ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir ve AUD\/USD\u2019de y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. ABD\u2019de Mart ay\u0131nda 178 bin ki\u015filik istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00d6nceki veri ise 133 bin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe revize edildi (daha \u00f6nce -92 bin olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131). Piyasa beklentisi 60 bin art\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.\n\n\u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 Mart\u2019ta %4,3\u2019e geriledi; bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcndeki azalma (\u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ya da i\u015f arayanlar\u0131n toplam\u0131) etkili oldu. Avustralya\u2019da ise Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA), Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini (resmi nakit oran\u0131; bankalar aras\u0131 gecelik faiz) %4,10\u2019a y\u00fckseltti.\n\nPiyasalar, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ve s\u0131k\u0131 i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 (i\u015f\u00e7i bulman\u0131n zor oldu\u011fu, \u00fccret bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortam) nedeniyle May\u0131s ay\u0131nda bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor. Westpac, 2026\u2019da \u00fc\u00e7 ilave art\u0131\u015fla politika faizinin %4,85\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu seviye en son Kas\u0131m 2008\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\n

Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve \u0130\u015flem Fikirleri<\/h3>\nMerkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda AUD\/USD\u2019de zay\u0131flama ya da yatay seyirden faydalanan stratejileri g\u00fcndeme getiriyor. Avustralya dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde put opsiyonu (belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) almak, paritenin 0,6400\u2019e do\u011fru gerilemesine y\u00f6nelik do\u011frudan bir pozisyon sa\u011flar; risk, \u00f6denen primle (opsiyon \u00fccreti) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r. Alternatif olarak, \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d call opsiyonu satmak (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerinde olan al\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131\u015f\u0131) veya ay\u0131 call spread\u2019i kurmak (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda call opsiyonu al\u0131p satarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\/yatay beklentiyle prim toplama), paritenin 0,6650\u2019deki \u00f6nemli direncin (y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayan seviye) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmakta zorlanaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131yla prim geliri elde etmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ate\u015fkes umudu AUD\/USD\u2019yi 0,6910\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; ancak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu besliyor. ISM Hizmetler PMI izlenecek. RBA faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi s\u00fcrerken politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\/yatay opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43949"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43949\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43949"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}