{"id":43939,"date":"2026-04-06T13:19:50","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T13:19:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/erken-avrupa-seansinda-gbp-jpy-yukselen-ucgen-formasyonu-icinde-konsolidasyon-surerken-21085-civarinda-yatay-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T13:19:50","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T13:19:50","slug":"erken-avrupa-seansinda-gbp-jpy-yukselen-ucgen-formasyonu-icinde-konsolidasyon-surerken-21085-civarinda-yatay-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/erken-avrupa-seansinda-gbp-jpy-yukselen-ucgen-formasyonu-icinde-konsolidasyon-surerken-21085-civarinda-yatay-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Erken Avrupa seans\u0131nda GBP\/JPY, y\u00fckselen \u00fc\u00e7gen formasyonu i\u00e7inde konsolidasyon s\u00fcrerken 210,85 civar\u0131nda yatay seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/JPY, pazartesi erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 210,85 civar\u0131nda neredeyse yatay seyretti. Parite, Orta Do\u011fu sava\u015f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ele ge\u00e7irdi\u011fine dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan, k\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi bo\u011faza ili\u015fkin haberleri bekleyen piyasalar nedeniyle dar bantta toparland\u0131.\n\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc TS\u0130 03:00\u2019e (ET 20:00) kadar yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmazsa ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019daki elektrik santrallerini ve k\u00f6pr\u00fcleri imha edece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc ise buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, ilgili ABD tesislerine misilleme sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.\n\n<h3>Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131 ve Merkez Bankas\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\nY\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131, enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 (enerjiyi d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan alan) olan hem Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k hem de Japonya i\u00e7in olumsuz. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) ve Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) yak\u0131n zamanda faiz indirmesinin zor oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 k\u00fcresel enflasyon (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) beklentilerini yukar\u0131 itiyor.\n\nGBP\/JPY 210,90 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; k\u0131sa vadede n\u00f6tr bir e\u011filim ve hafif a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir duru\u015f \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Fiyat, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) 211,50 civar\u0131ndaki seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI\u2019nin (g\u00f6receli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6stergedir) 40,00\u201360,00 band\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 da yatay piyasay\u0131 destekledi.\n\nParite, 207,26 destek ile 213,38 diren\u00e7 aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Diren\u00e7 213,40 civar\u0131nda; \u015fubat zirvesi 215,00 seviyesinde. Destekler 209,00 ve 207,24 olarak aktar\u0131ld\u0131.\n\n<h3>Politika Riskleri ve Oynakl\u0131k Pozisyonlamas\u0131<\/h3>\nBrent petrol\u00fcn (k\u00fcresel referans ham petrol t\u00fcr\u00fc) varil fiyat\u0131 92 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken bask\u0131 art\u0131yor. Son veriler, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta enflasyonun %3,1\u2019de kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu oran BoE\u2019nin hedefinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde ve gelecekteki faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fcksek enerji maliyeti, \u0130ngiliz ekonomisi ve sterlin i\u00e7in do\u011frudan olumsuz bir unsur.\n\nBenzer \u015fekilde, enerjisinin %90\u2019dan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 ithal eden Japonya\u2019da BoJ zor bir tercih ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Merkez bankas\u0131, uzun y\u0131llar s\u00fcren a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gev\u015fek (\u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli) politikadan yeni yeni, yava\u015f bir \u015fekilde uzakla\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Daha y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyonu art\u0131r\u0131rken ayn\u0131 anda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi yava\u015flatabilir; bu da politikay\u0131 \u201cnormalle\u015ftirmeyi\u201d (faizleri ve para politikas\u0131n\u0131 ola\u011fan seviyelere yakla\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131) zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r.\n\nYat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, bu gergin yatay seyir oynakl\u0131kta (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131) g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ihtimaline i\u015faret ediyor. GBP\/JPY\u2019de straddle veya strangle gibi opsiyon stratejileri (opsiyon: belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131; straddle\/strangle: hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne gidece\u011fini tahmin etmeden b\u00fcy\u00fck harekete oynama) etkili olabilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc sonu\u00e7tan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z, sert hareketten kazan\u00e7 hedefler. Z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) \u015fu an orta seviyede; bu da olas\u0131 bir \u015fok \u00f6ncesi bu t\u00fcr pozisyonlar\u0131n g\u00f6rece ucuz kalabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir.\n\nD\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekleyenler, 2025\u2019teki pani\u011fe benzer bir t\u0131rmanma \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyorsa, sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) almay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Bu, riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131n (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n daha da y\u00fckselmesi halinde paritede olas\u0131 sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flar.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi piyasalar\u0131 kilitledi: GBP\/JPY 210,85\u2019te yatay. Petrol 92$+ bask\u0131s\u0131 BoE\/BoJ\u2019u s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor, enflasyon riski art\u0131yor. Parite 207,26\u2013213,38 band\u0131nda; olas\u0131 sert k\u0131r\u0131lmaya opsiyonlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43939","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43939","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43939"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43939\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43939"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43939"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43939"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}