{"id":43938,"date":"2026-04-06T13:19:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T13:19:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/avrupa-sabah-islemlerinde-gbp-jpy-21085-civarinda-yatay-seyretti-yukselen-ucgen-formasyonu-icinde-konsolidasyon-suruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T13:19:05","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T13:19:05","slug":"avrupa-sabah-islemlerinde-gbp-jpy-21085-civarinda-yatay-seyretti-yukselen-ucgen-formasyonu-icinde-konsolidasyon-suruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/avrupa-sabah-islemlerinde-gbp-jpy-21085-civarinda-yatay-seyretti-yukselen-ucgen-formasyonu-icinde-konsolidasyon-suruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Avrupa sabah i\u015flemlerinde GBP\/JPY 210,85 civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti; y\u00fckselen \u00fc\u00e7gen formasyonu i\u00e7inde konsolidasyon s\u00fcr\u00fcyor."},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/JPY, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde 210,85 civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti. Piyasalar, k\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki geli\u015fmeleri izliyor. Bu tablo, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki s\u00fcren sava\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan olu\u015ftu.\n\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Tahran\u2019\u0131n Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc TS\u0130 04.00\u2019e kadar bo\u011faz\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7mamas\u0131 halinde ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019daki elektrik santralleri ve k\u00f6pr\u00fcleri vuraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise ABD\u2019ye ba\u011fl\u0131 ilgili tesislere misilleme sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 konusunda uyard\u0131.\n\n<h3>Enerji \u015eoku ve Faiz \u0130ndirimi Beklentileri<\/h3>\n\u0130ngiltere ve Japonya net enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 (enerjiyi d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan sat\u0131n alan \u00fclke) oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zay\u0131flatabilir. Y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 k\u00fcresel enflasyon beklentilerini (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n devam edece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc) de yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Bu durum, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) ve Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) k\u0131sa vadede faiz indirme ihtimalini azalt\u0131yor.\n\nTeknik analizde (fiyat grafikleriyle y\u00f6n tahmini) parite 210,90 civar\u0131nda. E\u011filim n\u00f6tr, ancak 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; son 20 g\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131na daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) 211,50 civar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda hafif a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 var. Fiyat, 207,26 deste\u011fi ile 213,38 direnci aras\u0131nda hareket ederek band\u0131n darald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.\n\n14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m seviyelerine yakla\u015f\u0131p yakla\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) 40,00\u201360,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ve bu durum daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck dalgalanmaya (volatilite; fiyat oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131) uyumlu. Diren\u00e7 213,40 civar\u0131nda, \u00fczerinde 215,00 izleniyor. Destek 209,00, ard\u0131ndan 207,24 seviyesinde.\n\n<h3>Dar Bantta Opsiyon Stratejisi<\/h3>\nBrent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130ngiltere ve Japonya enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 olursa para birimleri bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalabilir. Bu d\u0131\u015f kaynakl\u0131 \u015fok, her iki \u00fclke i\u00e7in de enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\nBoE\u2019nin hareket alan\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Mart 2026 verilerinde enflasyon %2,8 ile hedefin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, yaz sonuna kadar faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 zay\u0131f. BoJ taraf\u0131nda ise a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131ndan (\u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek) temkinli \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f, artan ithalat maliyetleri nedeniyle zorla\u015f\u0131yor; bu da iki merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal \u00fcr\u00fcn) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in bu yatay d\u00f6nem f\u0131rsat sunabilir. GBP\/JPY\u2019de dar bant, bir ayl\u0131k ima edilen volatiliteyi (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen oynakl\u0131k) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek opsiyonlar\u0131 g\u00f6rece ucuz hale getirdi. Bu, sessiz seyrin s\u00fcrmesine oynamaktan \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131lma (fiyat\u0131n band\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131) ihtimaline haz\u0131rlan\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda uzun vadeli straddle veya strangle al\u0131m\u0131 uygun bir strateji olabilir. Straddle (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte almak) ve strangle (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte almak) sert fiyat hareketinde, y\u00f6n ne olursa olsun kazan\u00e7 hedefler. Ama\u00e7, dar s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmadan \u00e7\u0131kacak hareketi yakalamakt\u0131r.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi GBP\/JPY\u2019yi 210,85\u2019te kilitledi! Petrol 95$ \u00fcst\u00fc, enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 BoE\/BoJ faiz indirimi ihtimalini azalt\u0131yor. Parite 207,24\u2013213,40 band\u0131nda; dar bant opsiyonlar\u0131 ucuzlat\u0131p straddle\/strangle\u2019\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43938","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43938","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43938"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43938\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43938"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43938"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43938"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}