{"id":43927,"date":"2026-04-06T11:18:24","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T11:18:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/nzd-usd-05680e-geriledikten-sonra-05700in-uzerine-tirmandi-ateskes-gorusmeleri-abd-dolarina-talebi-zayiflatti\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T11:18:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T11:18:24","slug":"nzd-usd-05680e-geriledikten-sonra-05700in-uzerine-tirmandi-ateskes-gorusmeleri-abd-dolarina-talebi-zayiflatti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/nzd-usd-05680e-geriledikten-sonra-05700in-uzerine-tirmandi-ateskes-gorusmeleri-abd-dolarina-talebi-zayiflatti\/","title":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD, 0,5680\u2019e geriledikten sonra 0,5700\u2019in \u00fczerine t\u0131rmand\u0131; ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ABD dolar\u0131na talebi zay\u0131flatt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde 0,5680 civar\u0131ndaki d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini yeniden test ettikten sonra toparland\u0131. Parite, iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan yeniden 0,5700 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,25 y\u00fckseldi.\n\nAxios\u2019a dayand\u0131r\u0131lan Bloomberg haberine g\u00f6re ABD, \u0130ran ve b\u00f6lgesel arabulucular olas\u0131 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir ate\u015fkesin \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Bu haber, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na olan talebi azaltt\u0131 ve NZD\/USD\u2019yi destekledi. Ancak jeopolitik risk (siyasi\/askeri gerginliklerin piyasalara etkisi) s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik Risk ve Dolar<\/h3>\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Tahran\u2019\u0131n Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcne kadar H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7mamas\u0131 halinde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n elektrik santralleri ve k\u00f6pr\u00fcler dahil sivil altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yok edilebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran ise ge\u00e7i\u015fin, gelirlerin bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn sava\u015f kaynakl\u0131 zararlar\u0131n tazmini i\u00e7in \u0130ran\u2019a ayr\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini belirtti; \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 48 saat i\u00e7inde anla\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\nPiyasalar ayr\u0131ca enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fe ve enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yeniden artma riskine odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) 2026\u2019da faiz art\u0131rma ihtimalini daha y\u00fcksek fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu durum ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekleyebilir ve NZD\/USD\u2019de y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.\n\nKuzey Amerika seans\u0131n\u0131n ilerleyen saatlerinde ABD ISM Hizmet PMI verisi (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fcme\/daralma sinyali veren \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge) izlenecek. Bir\u00e7ok piyasada Paskalya Pazartesi tatili nedeniyle likidite (piyasada al\u0131c\u0131-sat\u0131c\u0131 yo\u011funlu\u011fu; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olursa hareketler sertle\u015febilir) zay\u0131f.\n\n<h3>Faiz Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Pozisyonlanma<\/h3>\nBu rahatlama y\u00fckseli\u015fi k\u0131r\u0131lgan g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc 48 saat i\u00e7inde anla\u015fma ihtimali d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ve jeopolitik riskler s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 kritik bir gerilim noktas\u0131 olmaya devam ediyor. ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi\u2019ne g\u00f6re d\u00fcnyan\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %21\u2019i bu bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7iyor. Bu gerilim petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanmas\u0131) art\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\nFed de yak\u0131ndan izleniyor; zira \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015felerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. CME FedWatch Tool vadeli i\u015flemler verilerine g\u00f6re piyasa, Temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %65 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor. Daha y\u00fcksek ABD faizleri, NZD\/USD\u2019de belirgin bir toparlanma i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir engel olu\u015fturuyor.\n\nBu belirsizlikle birlikte NZD\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan hesaplanan, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma) y\u00fckseldi. Bir ayl\u0131k oynakl\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131k %12 seviyesinde; ge\u00e7en \u00e7eyrekte ortalama %9\u2019du. Bu tablo, sert fiyat hareketlerinden faydalanabilecek stratejileri g\u00fcndeme getiriyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin straddle veya strangle (ayn\u0131 vadede al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte alarak, fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne giderse gitsin sert hareketten kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejiler) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Opsiyon primi satmak (opsiyon satarak gelir toplamak) ise net bir y\u00f6n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yoksa \u015fu a\u015famada y\u00fcksek riskli.\n\n\u015eimdilik 0,5700 seviyesi kritik bir e\u015fik; ancak paritede genel e\u011filim zay\u0131f. Ate\u015fkese dair net bir haber sert bir y\u00fckseli\u015f getirebilir, fakat bu durum daha iyi seviyelerden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131 (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc beklentisiyle al\u0131nan i\u015flemler) yeniden de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD ISM Hizmet PMI verisi, ABD ekonomisinin g\u00fcc\u00fcne dair yeni ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 verebilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NZD\/USD 0,5680\u2019den tepkiyle 0,5700 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Olas\u0131 45 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkes haberi dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131; ancak H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi, petrol-enflasyon ve Fed faiz beklentisi y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43927","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43927","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43927"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43927\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43927"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43927"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43927"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}