{"id":43925,"date":"2026-04-06T11:17:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T11:17:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iki-gunluk-yukselisin-ardindan-abd-dolar-endeksi-10010-civarinda-gevsiyor-10000-seviyesinin-ve-dokuz-gunluk-uhonun-uzerinde-tutunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T11:17:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T11:17:02","slug":"iki-gunluk-yukselisin-ardindan-abd-dolar-endeksi-10010-civarinda-gevsiyor-10000-seviyesinin-ve-dokuz-gunluk-uhonun-uzerinde-tutunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/iki-gunluk-yukselisin-ardindan-abd-dolar-endeksi-10010-civarinda-gevsiyor-10000-seviyesinin-ve-dokuz-gunluk-uhonun-uzerinde-tutunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ki g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar Endeksi 100,10 civar\u0131nda gev\u015fiyor; 100,00 seviyesinin ve dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcHO\u2019nun \u00fczerinde tutunuyor."},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan hafif geriledi ve Pazartesi Asya saatlerinde 100,10 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Endeks, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011ferini \u00f6l\u00e7er.\n\nG\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte DXY, y\u00fckselen kanal formasyonu i\u00e7inde hareket ediyor. Dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (EMA: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vererek fiyat\u0131n ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 izleyen g\u00f6sterge) \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; her iki EMA da yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc.\n\n

Teknik Konumlanma ve Trend<\/h3>\nGe\u00e7en haftaki zirveden gelen son geri \u00e7ekilme s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. K\u0131sa vadeli ortalama h\u00e2l\u00e2 orta vadeli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde.\n\n14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 58\u2019e yak\u0131n. Bu seviye pozitif b\u00f6lgede kalmaya i\u015faret ediyor ve \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede \u00e7ok y\u00fckselmesi) ko\u015fullar\u0131nda de\u011fil.\n\nYukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerde DXY, 31 Mart\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen 10 ay\u0131n zirvesi 100,64 seviyesini test edebilir. Devam\u0131nda, kanal\u0131n \u00fcst band\u0131na yak\u0131n 102,40 b\u00f6lgesi g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.\n\nDestek, dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019ya yak\u0131n 99,95 seviyesinde; ard\u0131ndan kanal\u0131n alt band\u0131 olan 99,70 civar\u0131 izleniyor. Fiyat kanal\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ferse, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 99,02 seviyesi test edilebilir.\n\n

De\u011fi\u015fen Makro Zemin ve Strateji<\/h3>\nTeknik analiz, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 deste\u011fiyle \u00fcretildi.\n\n2025\u2019te bu d\u00f6neme geri bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, DXY 100,10 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc (bullish: y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisi) bir teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm vard\u0131. Y\u00fckselen kanal ve pozitif hareketli ortalamalar, al\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyordu. Bu analiz, 102,40\u2019a do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir hareketi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yordu.\n\nBug\u00fcn ise tablo de\u011fi\u015fti; DXY uzun s\u00fcreli y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan 104,20 civar\u0131nda. Ancak son veriler olas\u0131 bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor: Mart 2026 istihdam raporu, 175 bin ile beklentinin alt\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Ayr\u0131ca ABD \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma \u0130statistikleri B\u00fcrosu\u2019nun (BLS) son verisine g\u00f6re T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE\/CPI: t\u00fcketici sepetindeki fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini g\u00f6steren enflasyon \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fct\u00fc) y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,8\u2019e geriledi; bu da ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azalt\u0131yor.\n\nBu veri de\u011fi\u015fimi, piyasada y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6nemlerinde faiz indirimi ihtimalinin daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Bu durum, CME FedWatch Tool\u2019da (vadeli i\u015flemlerden t\u00fcretilen, piyasan\u0131n Fed faiz beklentisini g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; ara\u00e7, y\u0131l sonuna kadar en az iki faiz indirimi beklentisine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde dolar\u0131 destekleyen \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (hawkish: s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 yanl\u0131s\u0131) duru\u015ftan belirgin bir sapma.\n\nBu temel de\u011fi\u015fim nedeniyle, dolarda olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge: riski azaltmak i\u00e7in dengeleme) veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanma stratejileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. DXY ya da UUP gibi dolar odakl\u0131 borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131 (ETF: borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) \u00fczerinde sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareket i\u00e7in pozisyon alman\u0131n bir yoludur. Piyasa belirsizli\u011finin artmas\u0131, \u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) bir miktar y\u00fckseltti; bu da opsiyonlar\u0131n fiyat hareketlerine duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r.\n\nDaha n\u00f6tr bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fe sahip olanlar i\u00e7in, DXY vadeli i\u015flemleri \u00fczerinde \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (OTM: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi daha zor) al\u0131m opsiyonu kredi spread\u2019i satmak (call credit spread: daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan al\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan al\u0131m opsiyonu alarak prim toplama) prim geliri toplamak i\u00e7in bir se\u00e7enek olabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, dolar yatay kal\u0131rsa veya gerilerse avantaj sa\u011flar. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 103,50 seviyesi \u00f6nemli bir destek olarak izlenmeli; bu seviyenin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, 2025\u2019te geli\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinde de\u011fi\u015fimi teyit edebilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

DXY 100,10\u2019da y\u00fckselen kanal\u0131n\u0131 korurken hedef 102,40 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131; \u015fimdi 104,20\u2019de zay\u0131f istihdam ve d\u00fc\u015fen T\u00dcFE, Fed indirimi beklentisini art\u0131rd\u0131\u2014103,50 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa trend d\u00f6nebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43925","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43925"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43925\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43925"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43925"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43925"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}