{"id":43861,"date":"2026-04-06T05:20:23","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T05:20:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/altin-artan-faiz-artirimi-beklentileri-ve-guclenen-abd-dolari-baskisiyla-haftaya-zayif-basladi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T05:20:23","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T05:20:23","slug":"altin-artan-faiz-artirimi-beklentileri-ve-guclenen-abd-dolari-baskisiyla-haftaya-zayif-basladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/altin-artan-faiz-artirimi-beklentileri-ve-guclenen-abd-dolari-baskisiyla-haftaya-zayif-basladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, artan faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentileri ve g\u00fc\u00e7lenen ABD dolar\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131yla haftaya zay\u0131f ba\u015flad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) haftaya, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 4.550 dolar civar\u0131ndan toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle ba\u015flad\u0131. K\u00fcresel faizlerin y\u00fckselmesi beklentisi ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi, faiz getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurdu\u011fu i\u00e7in alt\u0131n ikinci g\u00fcnd\u00fcr geriliyor.\n\nSava\u015fla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 arz riski nedeniyle enerji fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseldi. Bu durum, enflasyonun yeniden h\u0131zlanabilece\u011fi ve merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131n\u0131 daha da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rabilece\u011fi beklentilerini art\u0131rd\u0131. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 sal\u0131ya kadar yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmazsa \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n elektrik santralleri ve k\u00f6pr\u00fclerini hedef alabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyince ham petrol yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rt haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik Arz Riskleri<\/h3>\n\u0130ran, gelirlerin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n sava\u015f kaynakl\u0131 hasar\u0131 telafi etmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde ge\u00e7i\u015fin yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeni dini lideri M\u00fccteba Hamaney\u2019in dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Ali Ekber Velayeti, Bab\u00fclmendep Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n da hedef al\u0131nabilece\u011fini belirtti. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, ticaretin aksayabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesini art\u0131rd\u0131.\n\nCuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi (tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki sekt\u00f6rlerde istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi), ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc destekledi. Alt\u0131n 4.600 dolar civar\u0131ndaki destek seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken, piyasalar ABD ISM Hizmet PMI verisini izliyor. Paskalya Pazartesisi nedeniyle piyasada i\u015flem hacmi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilir (likidite azalmas\u0131).\n\nTeknik a\u00e7\u0131dan 4.600 dolar seviyesi, marttaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn %38,2 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesine (fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nceki hareketine g\u00f6re olas\u0131 d\u00fczeltme oran\u0131) denk geliyor. Fiyat ayr\u0131ca 200 periyotluk \u00fcstel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (EMA: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) alt\u0131nda. MACD (iki hareketli ortalama aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131 izleyen momentum g\u00f6stergesi) sinyal \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda ve s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda; RSI 52 seviyesinde (RSI: a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi). Diren\u00e7 4.758 dolarda, ard\u0131ndan 4.791 ve 4.913; destek ise 4.411 ve 4.300 dolarda.\n\n<h3>Opsiyon Stratejisi G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\nBu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle, 4.500 ve 4.400 dolar kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) almak, mevcut deste\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 mant\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu tablo, 2025\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde de\u011ferli metallerde jeopolitik haberlerle ba\u015flayan y\u00fckseli\u015fin, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n \u201c\u015fahin\u201d duru\u015fu (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131rma e\u011filimi) nedeniyle h\u0131zla geri verilmesini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Prim maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek isteyenler i\u00e7in ay\u0131 sat\u0131m spreadi (bear put spread: bir put al\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir put satarak maliyeti azaltan strateji) benzer y\u00f6nde pozisyon sa\u011flayabilir.\n\nAncak H\u00fcrm\u00fcz ve Bab\u00fclmendep bo\u011fazlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tehditler belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor ve sert bir fiyat d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne yol a\u00e7abilir. Cboe Alt\u0131n Oynakl\u0131k Endeksi (GVZ: alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen beklenen oynakl\u0131k \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc) y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki 14\u2019l\u00fc seviyelerden 18,5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; bu da piyasalar\u0131n daha b\u00fcy\u00fck dalgalanmalara haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle uzun strangle (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir al\u0131m opsiyonu \u201ccall\u201d ve bir sat\u0131m opsiyonu \u201cput\u201d birlikte al\u0131n\u0131r; fiyat g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde yukar\u0131 ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 giderse kazand\u0131rabilir) stratejisi de elde tutulabilecek bir se\u00e7enek olabilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: Y\u00fckselen faiz ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar XAU\/USD\u2019yi geri \u00e7ekiyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz-Bab\u00fclmendep gerilimi petrol\u00fc zirveye ta\u015f\u0131rken enflasyon\/Fed endi\u015fesi art\u0131yor; 4.600 kritik destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43861","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43861"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43861\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43861"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43861"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43861"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}