{"id":43860,"date":"2026-04-06T05:19:45","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T05:19:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/asya-seansinda-usd-jpy-artan-gerilim-endiseleriyle-20-gunluk-emayi-korurken-15955-civarina-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T05:19:45","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T05:19:45","slug":"asya-seansinda-usd-jpy-artan-gerilim-endiseleriyle-20-gunluk-emayi-korurken-15955-civarina-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/asya-seansinda-usd-jpy-artan-gerilim-endiseleriyle-20-gunluk-emayi-korurken-15955-civarina-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Asya seans\u0131nda USD\/JPY, artan gerilim endi\u015feleriyle 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019y\u0131 korurken 159,55 civar\u0131na geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (USD) zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 159,55\u2019e geriledi. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: Dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferini \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) 100,15 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu hareket, anla\u015fma sa\u011flanmazsa ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hedef alabilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik tehditler nedeniyle Dolar\u0131n genel olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131yla geldi.\n\nHafta sonunda Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, Truth.Social\u2019da \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n, Tahran H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) sal\u0131, 7 Nisan, Do\u011fu saatiyle 21:00\u2019e kadar yeniden a\u00e7mamas\u0131 halinde elektrik santralleri ve k\u00f6pr\u00fcler i\u00e7in \u201ccehennem\u201d ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131. Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki artan gerilim, Japon Yeni\u2019ne (JPY: belirsizlik d\u00f6nemlerinde \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen para birimi) talebi de destekledi.\n\n<h3>Piyasan\u0131n Oda\u011f\u0131 Kritik Verilere D\u00f6n\u00fcyor<\/h3>\nPiyasalar ayr\u0131ca mart ay\u0131 ABD ISM Hizmet PMI verisini (hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde faaliyet ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en anket; 50\u2019nin \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder) izliyor. Veri 14:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Beklenti 55,0; \u015fubatta 56,1 seviyesindeydi.\n\nTeknik tarafta USD\/JPY, y\u00fckselen bir kanal i\u00e7inde kal\u0131yor ve 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcstel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (EMA: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) yakla\u015f\u0131k 158,90 \u00fczerindeki seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Kanal deste\u011fi 158,10 civar\u0131nda. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 momentum g\u00f6stergesi; 40-60 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 genelde n\u00f6tr kabul edilir) 40,00\u201360,00 band\u0131nda.\n\nDiren\u00e7 160,45 ve ard\u0131ndan 161,00 seviyesinde. 161,00 a\u015f\u0131l\u0131rsa 162,00 \u00fczeri g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Destek 158,90 ve 158,10\u2019da. G\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 158,10\u2019un alt\u0131na inmesi 157,00\u2019li seviyeleri i\u015faret edebilir.\n\nABD Dolar\u0131, k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz i\u015flemlerinin (FX: yabanc\u0131 para al\u0131m-sat\u0131m piyasas\u0131) en \u00e7ok i\u015flem g\u00f6ren para birimi ve toplam hacmin %88\u2019inden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor; 2022\u2019de g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 6,6 trilyon dolar. Fed (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faizi ve QE\/QT gibi ara\u00e7larla Dolar\u0131 etkiler: QE (parasal geni\u015fleme: piyasaya para vererek tahvil al\u0131m\u0131) ve QT (parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma: bilan\u00e7o k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltme, piyasadan para \u00e7ekme). Fed\u2019in enflasyon hedefi %2\u2019dir.\n\n<h3>Strateji Ve Risk Unsurlar\u0131<\/h3>\nUSD\/JPY 159,55 civar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek bir seviyede, ancak tablo gergin. \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik jeopolitik tehditler ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 desteklerken, ayn\u0131 zamanda Japon Yeni\u2019nin g\u00fcvenli liman talebini art\u0131rarak paritede iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Bu nedenle sert ve ani hareket riski art\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\nK\u0131sa vadede odak, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 konusunda 7 Nisan son tarihi. B\u00f6yle bir \u201colay riski\u201d varken (tek bir geli\u015fmenin fiyat\u0131 h\u0131zla oynatmas\u0131), y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir harekete oynayan opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin straddle (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak; b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten faydalanmay\u0131 hedefler) oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (volatilite: fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) sat\u0131n alman\u0131n yollar\u0131ndan biridir. Bu t\u00fcr durumlarda fiyat, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla h\u0131zla y\u00fckselebilir ya da uzla\u015f\u0131yla d\u00fc\u015febilir.\n\nBug\u00fcn ayr\u0131ca mart ISM Hizmet PMI verisi izlenecek. Beklentiden zay\u0131f bir rakam (55,0\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131), 158,90\u2019daki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama civar\u0131nda deste\u011fi test edebilir. Tersi y\u00f6nde s\u00fcrpriz ise Dolar\u2019\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirip 160,45\u2019e do\u011fru hareketi destekleyebilir.\n\nUSD\/JPY\u2019deki temel g\u00fc\u00e7, Fed ile Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) aras\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck faiz fark\u0131ndan geliyor. Fed\u2019in faizleri yakla\u015f\u0131k %5,25 civar\u0131nda tutmas\u0131, kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131nda tutma amac\u0131yla a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131yor. BoJ faizi ise %0,1\u2019e yak\u0131n. Bu \u201cpolitika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131\u201d (merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 y\u00f6nde hareket etmesi), Dolar ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 (faizi daha y\u00fcksek para biriminde kalmay\u0131) Yen\u2019de kalmaya g\u00f6re daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.\n\nAncak 160-161 band\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131k\u00e7a, Japon yetkililerden olas\u0131 m\u00fcdahale riskine (kuru d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in piyasaya Yen lehine i\u015flem yap\u0131lmas\u0131) kar\u015f\u0131 dikkatli olmak gerekir. 2022\u2019de Dolar a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011finde ad\u0131m at\u0131lm\u0131\u015f, parite ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 155\u2019i a\u015ft\u0131ktan sonra s\u00f6zl\u00fc uyar\u0131lar artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu risk, paritenin daha yukar\u0131 gitmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131rabilir.\n\nY\u00fckselen kanal i\u00e7indeki pozitif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u015fimdilik ge\u00e7erli ve kritik destek 158,10. Yine de \u0130ran ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 ve olas\u0131 merkez bankas\u0131 m\u00fcdahalesi \u00f6nemli riskler. G\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n bu kanal taban\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi, mevcut y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesinin belirgin bi\u00e7imde zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi ve ISM verisi, USD\/JPY\u2019yi iki ate\u015f aras\u0131nda b\u0131rakt\u0131: Parite 159,55\u2019e indi. G\u00fcvenli liman JPY talebi artarken, teknik diren\u00e7 160,45; kritik destek 158,10. Oynakl\u0131k y\u00fckseliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43860","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43860"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43860\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43860"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43860"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43860"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}