{"id":43854,"date":"2026-04-06T04:20:06","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T04:20:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/asya-seansinda-yatirimcilar-faiz-artisi-beklentileri-surerken-eur-jpy-paritesini-18400-seviyesinin-altinda-kalarak-18380-civarinda-tuttu\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T04:20:06","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T04:20:06","slug":"asya-seansinda-yatirimcilar-faiz-artisi-beklentileri-surerken-eur-jpy-paritesini-18400-seviyesinin-altinda-kalarak-18380-civarinda-tuttu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/asya-seansinda-yatirimcilar-faiz-artisi-beklentileri-surerken-eur-jpy-paritesini-18400-seviyesinin-altinda-kalarak-18380-civarinda-tuttu\/","title":{"rendered":"Asya seans\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentileri s\u00fcrerken EUR\/JPY paritesini 184,00 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kalarak 183,80 civar\u0131nda tuttu."},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/JPY, Asya i\u015flemlerinde Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6nceki seansta g\u00f6r\u00fclen s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 183,80 civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti. Parite, Japon Yeni\u2019nin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u00fcrebilir. Piyasalar, artan enerji maliyetlerinin besledi\u011fi enflasyon nedeniyle Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) Nisan\u2019da para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rabilece\u011fini (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ve\/veya destekleyici ad\u0131mlar\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131) fiyatl\u0131yor.\n\nUluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan politika de\u011ferlendirmesi sonras\u0131nda BoJ\u2019un mevcut faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00e7izgisini destekledi. IMF, enflasyonun 2027\u2019ye do\u011fru %2 hedefine yakla\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc ve \u201cparasal te\u015fvikin\u201d (ekonomiyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ve likiditeyle destekleme) kademeli azalt\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 uygun buldu.\n\n<h3>Yen\u2019i Etkileyen Unsurlar ve Petrol Riski<\/h3>\nYen ayr\u0131ca, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik tehditleri art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesiyle bask\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Japonya, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019dan petrol ithalat\u0131na y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle arz kesintisi riskine daha a\u00e7\u0131k.\n\nTrump, \u0130ran i\u00e7in H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7mas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik yeni bir son tarih belirledi ve enerji santralleri ile sivil altyap\u0131ya ili\u015fkin tehditlerini art\u0131rd\u0131. \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer, ABD ile ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 altyap\u0131ya kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vereceklerini ve sava\u015f hasar\u0131 tazmin edilene kadar bo\u011faz\u0131n kapal\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.\n\nEUR\/JPY\u2019de olas\u0131 ek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Euro, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fuyla destek buluyor. ECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde ve di\u011fer yetkililer, enflasyon %2 hedefine d\u00f6nene kadar politikan\u0131n \u201cs\u0131k\u0131\u201d kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (y\u00fcksek faiz ve finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 tutulmas\u0131) belirtti.\n\nEUR\/JPY \u00fczerinde z\u0131t bask\u0131lar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131\u011fa (fiyatlar\u0131n sert ve h\u0131zl\u0131 dalgalanmas\u0131) i\u015faret ediyor. BoJ\u2019un Nisan\u2019da beklenen s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 yen\u2019i g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, yen\u2019de zay\u0131flama yaratabilir. Bu tablo, tek y\u00f6ne bahisleri riskli hale getirirken, b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketlerinden yararlanan yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.\n\n<h3>Daha Y\u00fcksek Oynakl\u0131\u011fa Y\u00f6nelik Stratejiler<\/h3>\nB\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareket bekleyenler i\u00e7in \u201copsiyon\u201d stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00d6rne\u011fin straddle (ayn\u0131 vade ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu) veya strangle (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131yla al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu) yap\u0131lar\u0131, parite sert bi\u00e7imde y\u00fckselse de d\u00fc\u015fse de kazan\u00e7 ihtimali sunabilir. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte jeopolitik petrol \u015foklar\u0131nda, yen \u00e7aprazlar\u0131nda \u201cima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u201d (piyasan\u0131n opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma) ortalama %8\u2019den %15\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu nedenle opsiyon maliyeti belirleyici olur. Kritik nokta, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen hareketin, halihaz\u0131rda pahal\u0131la\u015fan \u201coynakl\u0131k primini\u201d (opsiyon fiyat\u0131ndaki ekstra maliyet) a\u015f\u0131p a\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131d\u0131r.\n\nBoJ\u2019un a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 belirleyici olaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyorsa EUR\/JPY\u2019de temkinli bir k\u0131sa pozisyon (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon) mant\u0131kl\u0131 olabilir. Gecelik Endeks Swaplar\u0131 (OIS; piyasadaki k\u0131sa vadeli faiz beklentisini \u00f6l\u00e7en bir t\u00fcrev g\u00f6sterge), BoJ\u2019un 15 baz puanl\u0131k (0,15 puan) faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na %75\u2019ten y\u00fcksek olas\u0131l\u0131k verdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; bu, beklentilerde belirgin bir art\u0131\u015f. Jeopolitik riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in bu k\u0131sa pozisyon, \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money; mevcut fiyattan daha uzak, hemen k\u00e2ra ge\u00e7meyen) al\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131n alarak korunabilir; b\u00f6ylece H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de durum k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015firse olas\u0131 ani s\u0131\u00e7ramaya kar\u015f\u0131 kalkan olu\u015fturulur.\n\nJeopoliti\u011fin merkez bankas\u0131 etkisini g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131na oynayan bir yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 ise uzun pozisyon (y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon) alabilir. WTI ham petrol\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015farken (WTI: ABD ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi), Japonya\u2019n\u0131n ithalat ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle yen\u2019de keskin de\u011fer kayb\u0131 riski artar. Bu senaryoda, zarar-kes (stop-loss; fiyat aleyhe giderse otomatik pozisyon kapatma) kullan\u0131m\u0131 veya sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) almak, gerilimin aniden d\u00fc\u015fmesi ya da BoJ\u2019un beklenmedik \u015fekilde daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (daha sert s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yanl\u0131s\u0131) bir ad\u0131m atmas\u0131 riskine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nemlidir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/JPY 183,80\u2019de yatay: BoJ\u2019un Nisan\u2019da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ihtimali yen\u2019i g\u00fc\u00e7lendirip pariteyi bask\u0131layabilir. Ancak Trump-\u0130ran gerilimiyle y\u00fckselen petrol, yen\u2019i zay\u0131flatabilir; ECB\u2019nin s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 euroyu destekler. Oynakl\u0131k art\u0131yor, opsiyonlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43854","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43854"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43854\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43854"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43854"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43854"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}