{"id":43838,"date":"2026-04-02T09:55:41","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T09:55:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/elliott-dalga-analizi-qqqnun-1-dalgasini-63701-dolarda-tamamladigini-ve-onceki-dongu-duzeltme-fazinin-sona-erdigini-gosteriyor-2\/"},"modified":"2026-04-02T09:55:41","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T09:55:41","slug":"elliott-dalga-analizi-qqqnun-1-dalgasini-63701-dolarda-tamamladigini-ve-onceki-dongu-duzeltme-fazinin-sona-erdigini-gosteriyor-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/elliott-dalga-analizi-qqqnun-1-dalgasini-63701-dolarda-tamamladigini-ve-onceki-dongu-duzeltme-fazinin-sona-erdigini-gosteriyor-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Elliott Dalga analizi, QQQ\u2019nun ((1)) dalgas\u0131n\u0131 637,01 dolarda tamamlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u00f6nceki d\u00f6ng\u00fc d\u00fczeltme faz\u0131n\u0131n sona erdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor."},"content":{"rendered":"Nasdaq-100 ETF\u2019si (QQQ), 7 Nisan 2025 dibinden ba\u015flayan y\u00fckseli\u015fte 29 Ekim 2025\u2019te 637,01 dolarla \u00f6nemli bir zirve yapt\u0131; bu seviye Elliott Dalga teorisine g\u00f6re ((1)) dalgas\u0131 olarak etiketlendi. Ard\u0131ndan fiyat, \u201c\u00e7ift \u00fc\u00e7\u201d (double three: W-X-Y \u015feklinde iki a\u015famal\u0131, arada ara tepki olan karma d\u00fczeltme) yap\u0131s\u0131nda bir d\u00fczeltmeyle ((2)) dalgas\u0131na ge\u00e7ti.\n\n29 Ekim zirvesinden sonra (W) dalgas\u0131 580,74 dolarda bitti ve (X) dalgas\u0131 636,60 dolara y\u00fckseldi. Ard\u0131ndan (Y) dalgas\u0131 555,55 dolara gerileyerek ((2)) dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlad\u0131; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm saatlik grafikte izleniyor.\n\n

Dalga Yap\u0131s\u0131 Ve K\u0131sa Vadeli G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\nQQQ daha sonra ((3)) dalgas\u0131nda yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti. Ancak \u201c\u00e7ifte d\u00fczeltme\u201d (iki kez d\u00fczeltmenin uzamas\u0131) ihtimalini tamamen elemek i\u00e7in 637,01 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine net bir ge\u00e7i\u015f gerekiyor. 555,55 dolardan itibaren ((i)) dalgas\u0131 564,45 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131, ((ii)) dalgas\u0131 557,86 dolara indi ve ((iii)) dalgas\u0131 587,74 dolara y\u00fckseldi.\n\n((iv)) dalgas\u0131 582,33 dolara \u00e7ekildi. Bundan sonra ((v)) dalgas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturacak yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ve daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekte (daha \u00fcst zaman dilimindeki) 1. dalgan\u0131n tamamlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.\n\nSonras\u0131nda 2. dalgan\u0131n, 31 Mart dibinden gelen y\u00fckseli\u015fin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri almas\u0131 (retracement: y\u00fckseli\u015fin bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc geri verme) ve ard\u0131ndan ana y\u00fckseli\u015fin devam etmesi bekleniyor. K\u0131sa vadede 555,47 dolar seviyesi korunduk\u00e7a, geri \u00e7ekilmelerde \u201c3 ya da 7 sal\u0131n\u0131mda\u201d (swing: k\u0131sa vadeli ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ad\u0131m\u0131) destek bulunabilir.\n\n

Opsiyon Pozisyonlanmas\u0131 Ve Kritik Seviyeler<\/h3>\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (opsiyon gibi kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in bu ortam, geri \u00e7ekilmeleri al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak kullanmay\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Beklenen k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck d\u00fczeltme olan 2. dalga, bir sonraki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce daha uygun seviyelerden uzun (long: y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc) pozisyon kurmak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.\n\n\u0130zlenecek kritik seviye 555,47 dolardaki pivot (d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131\/ana referans seviye) olup son \u00f6nemli dip olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m-sat\u0131m hakk\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) bulunan \u201czarar-d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money: mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re hemen k\u00e2rda olmayan) put kredi spreadi (put credit spread: daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put sat\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put alarak prim toplama) satmak, deste\u011fin korunaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle prim (premium: opsiyon fiyat\u0131) toplamak i\u00e7in bir se\u00e7enek olabilir. Bu taban bozulmad\u0131k\u00e7a, fiyat\u0131n daha kolay ilerledi\u011fi y\u00f6n yukar\u0131 kal\u0131yor.\n\nAna diren\u00e7 29 Ekim 2025 zirvesi olan 637,01 dolar. Bo\u011fa trendinin (y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi) do\u011frulanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in bu seviyenin \u00fczerine g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131lma gerekiyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu seviyeye do\u011fru ve bu seviyenin \u00fczerine hareketten fayda sa\u011flayacak \u201cdebit spread\u201d (debit spread: net prim \u00f6deyerek kurulan, risk ve k\u00e2r\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 spread) gibi yap\u0131larla strateji kurabilir. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck z\u0131mni volatilite (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k), y\u00f6nl\u00fc spread al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131k d\u00f6nemlerine g\u00f6re daha cazip hale getiriyor.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

QQQ\u2019da Elliott\u2019a g\u00f6re ((2)) double-three d\u00fczeltmesi 555,55\u2019te bitti; ((3)) y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 555,47 pivot \u00fcst\u00fcnde geri \u00e7ekilmeler al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131, 637,01 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa bo\u011fa teyidi; opsiyonda spreadler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43838","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43838","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43838"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43838\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43838"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43838"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43838"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}