{"id":43835,"date":"2026-04-02T08:55:48","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T08:55:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/elliott-dalga-analizi-qqqnun-1-dalgasini-63701-dolarda-tamamladigini-ve-onceki-dongu-duzeltme-fazinin-sona-erdigini-gosteriyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-02T08:55:48","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T08:55:48","slug":"elliott-dalga-analizi-qqqnun-1-dalgasini-63701-dolarda-tamamladigini-ve-onceki-dongu-duzeltme-fazinin-sona-erdigini-gosteriyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/elliott-dalga-analizi-qqqnun-1-dalgasini-63701-dolarda-tamamladigini-ve-onceki-dongu-duzeltme-fazinin-sona-erdigini-gosteriyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Elliott Dalga analizi, QQQ\u2019nun ((1)) dalgas\u0131n\u0131 637,01 dolarda tamamlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u00f6nceki d\u00f6ng\u00fc d\u00fczeltme faz\u0131n\u0131n sona erdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor."},"content":{"rendered":"Nasdaq-100 ETF\u2019si (QQQ), 7 Nisan 2025\u2019teki dipten ba\u015flayan ((1)) dalgas\u0131 olarak etiketlenen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc zirvesini 29 Ekim 2025\u2019te 637,01 dolarda yapt\u0131. Ard\u0131ndan ((2)) dalgas\u0131na girerek \u201c\u00e7ifte \u00fc\u00e7\u201d (double three: iki ayr\u0131 d\u00fczeltmenin araya bir ba\u011flay\u0131c\u0131 hareketle birle\u015fti\u011fi, karma\u015f\u0131k bir Elliott Dalga d\u00fczeltmesi) \u015feklinde bir d\u00fczeltme olu\u015fturdu.\n\n29 Ekim zirvesinden sonra (W) dalgas\u0131 580,74 dolarda bitti, (X) dalgas\u0131 636,60 dolara y\u00fckseldi. (Y) dalgas\u0131 ise 555,55 dolara d\u00fc\u015ferek ((2)) dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlad\u0131; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm bir saatlik grafikte izleniyor.\n\n

Dalga Yap\u0131s\u0131 Ve Yak\u0131n Vadeli G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\nQQQ daha sonra ((3)) dalgas\u0131nda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6neldi; ancak 637,01 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kmadan, \u201c\u00e7ifte d\u00fczeltme\u201d (fiyat\u0131n ikinci bir d\u00fczeltme turuna daha girmesi) ihtimali tamamen d\u0131\u015flanm\u0131\u015f say\u0131lmaz. 555,55 dolardan itibaren ((i)) dalgas\u0131 564,45 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131, ((ii)) dalgas\u0131 557,86 dolara geri \u00e7ekildi, ((iii)) dalgas\u0131 587,74 dolara y\u00fckseldi.\n\n((iv)) dalgas\u0131 582,33 dolara \u00e7ekildi. Bir sonraki y\u00fckseli\u015fle ((v)) dalgas\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131 ve daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekte (larger degree: daha \u00fcst zaman dilimindeki ana dalga seviyesinde) 1. dalgan\u0131n tamamlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.\n\nBunun ard\u0131ndan, y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi s\u00fcrmeden \u00f6nce 2. dalgan\u0131n 31 Mart dibinden ba\u015flayan hareketin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri almas\u0131 (retracement: y\u00fckseli\u015fin\/d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn belirli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn geri verilmesi) bekleniyor. K\u0131sa vadede 555,47 dolar seviyesi korunduk\u00e7a, geri \u00e7ekilmelerde destek aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u201c\u00fc\u00e7\u201d ya da \u201cyedi\u201d sal\u0131n\u0131mla (swings: k\u0131sa vadeli mini y\u00fckseli\u015f-d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bacaklar\u0131) g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.\n\n

Opsiyon Konumlanmas\u0131 Ve Kritik Seviyeler<\/h3>\nT\u00fcrev (derivative: de\u011feri dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in bu ortam, geri \u00e7ekilmeleri al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirmeye i\u015faret ediyor; \u00f6rne\u011fin al\u0131m opsiyonu (call option: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) veya bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019i (bull call spread: bir call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek fiyattan ba\u015fka bir call satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren y\u00fckseli\u015f stratejisi). Beklenen k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck d\u00fczeltme olan 2. dalga, bir sonraki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce daha uygun seviyelerden uzun pozisyon (long position: y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle al\u0131nan pozisyon) kurmak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.\n\n\u0130zlenecek kritik seviye 555,47 dolardaki pivot (pivot: fiyat\u0131n y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirmede referans al\u0131nan kilit seviye) olup son \u00f6nemli dip b\u00f6lgesine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geliyor. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike price: opsiyonun i\u015flem hakk\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) \u201cpara d\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d (out-of-the-money: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan daha avantajs\u0131z olan) sat\u0131\u015f opsiyonu kredi spread\u2019i (put credit spread: daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan put sat\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckten put alarak prim geliri hedefleyen strateji) satmak, prim (premium: opsiyon s\u00f6zle\u015fmesinin fiyat\u0131) toplamak i\u00e7in bir se\u00e7enek olabilir. Bu taban bozulmad\u0131k\u00e7a, daha olas\u0131 y\u00f6n yukar\u0131.\n\nAna diren\u00e7 29 Ekim 2025 zirvesi olan 637,01 dolar. Bo\u011fa trendinin teyidi i\u00e7in bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde net bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m gerekiyor. \u0130\u015flem yapanlar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu seviyeye do\u011fru ve bu seviyenin \u00fcst\u00fcne harekete yarar sa\u011flayacak bor\u00e7 spread\u2019i (debit spread: net prim \u00f6denerek kurulan spread stratejisi) gibi yap\u0131lar kurgulayabilir. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi oynakl\u0131k) bu t\u00fcr y\u00f6nl\u00fc spread\u2019leri, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemlere k\u0131yasla daha cazip k\u0131labilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

QQQ, 29 Ekim\u2019de 637,01 zirvesinden sonra \u201c\u00e7ifte \u00fc\u00e7\u201d d\u00fczeltmeyle 555,55\u2019te ((2))\u2019yi bitirdi; ((3)) y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 555,47 \u00fcst\u00fcnde al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131, 637,01 \u00fcst\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m bo\u011fa teyidi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43835","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43835"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43835\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}