{"id":43804,"date":"2026-04-02T04:58:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T04:58:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/mart-ayi-sonlarinda-gerileyen-gbp-usd-yatirimcilarin-trump-ve-tarim-disi-istihdam-verisini-nfp-beklemesiyle-13300-seviyesinin-uzerine-06-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-02T04:58:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T04:58:09","slug":"mart-ayi-sonlarinda-gerileyen-gbp-usd-yatirimcilarin-trump-ve-tarim-disi-istihdam-verisini-nfp-beklemesiyle-13300-seviyesinin-uzerine-06-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/mart-ayi-sonlarinda-gerileyen-gbp-usd-yatirimcilarin-trump-ve-tarim-disi-istihdam-verisini-nfp-beklemesiyle-13300-seviyesinin-uzerine-06-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Mart ay\u0131 sonlar\u0131nda gerileyen GBP\/USD, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Trump ve tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisini (NFP) beklemesiyle 1,3300 seviyesinin \u00fczerine %0,6 y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,6 y\u00fckseldi. Mart dip seviyesi olan 1,3150 civar\u0131ndan toparlanarak 1,3200 alt\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 1,3300 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ancak h\u00e2l\u00e2 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n son g\u00fcnlerdeki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge) 1,3410 civar\u0131ndaki seviyesinin ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n 1,3368\u20131,3350 band\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda. Ocak zirvesi olan 1,3850 ise uzak.\n\nBoE (\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey, piyasalar\u0131n faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlarken \u201cfazla erken davrand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yledi. Daha \u00f6nceki y\u00f6nlendirmede (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n gelecekteki faiz ad\u0131mlar\u0131na dair mesaj\u0131) 2026\u2019da bir ya da iki faiz indirimi i\u015faret edilmi\u015fti. Bailey, bu se\u00e7ene\u011fin art\u0131k \u201cmasadan kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d belirtti, ancak faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 da desteklemedi.\n\n<h3>ABD Verileri Sterlin \u00dczerindeki Bask\u0131y\u0131 S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor<\/h3>\nABD ISM \u0130malat PMI (Sat\u0131nalma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi; 50 \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eden anket g\u00f6stergesi) 52,7 geldi ve \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ay b\u00fcy\u00fcme b\u00f6lgesinde kald\u0131. \u201cPrices Paid\u201d (\u00f6denen fiyatlar; \u015firketlerin maliyet bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en alt kalem) 70,5\u2019ten 78,3\u2019e s\u0131\u00e7rayarak 2022\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ADP istihdam\u0131 (\u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam tahmini) 40 bin beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131 62 bin artt\u0131. Perakende sat\u0131\u015flar ayl\u0131k bazda (m\/m; bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re) %0,6 oldu.\n\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n, \u0130ran\u2019la ilgili g\u00fcncelleme i\u00e7in TS\u0130 04:00\u2019te (Per\u015fembe 01:00 GMT) konu\u015fmas\u0131 planlan\u0131yor. \u201cOperation Epic Fury\u201d 33. g\u00fcn\u00fcne girerken, Trump \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n iki ila \u00fc\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde bitebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve ate\u015fkesi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla ili\u015fkilendirdi.\n\nABD haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n 210 bin \u00f6nceki seviyeden 212 bine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor; Challenger i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karma verisi (\u015firketlerin a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karma planlar\u0131) da a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Mart ay\u0131 tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (NFP; ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerdeki istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) verisi 3 Nisan Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 12:30 GMT\u2019de yay\u0131mlanacak. Beklenti, -92 bin sonras\u0131 60 bin. Ortalama saatlik kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n ayl\u0131k %0,3 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k (y\/y; ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re) %3,8 olmas\u0131, i\u015fsizli\u011fin %4,4\u2019te kalmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca, Kutsal Cuma (Good Friday) nedeniyle \u0130ngiltere ve ABD piyasalar\u0131 kapal\u0131 olacak.\n\n<h3>Ge\u00e7en Y\u0131la Benzer \u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kan Noktalar<\/h3>\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l BoE Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Bailey, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karak Sterlin\u2019de yukar\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bug\u00fcn benzer bir tablo var: Son veriye g\u00f6re \u0130ngiltere enflasyonu %3,4 seviyesinde ve y\u00fcksek seyrini koruyor; buna kar\u015f\u0131n merkez bankas\u0131 net bir yol haritas\u0131 vermekte isteksiz. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma Sterlin \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor; ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed (Federal Reserve) de politika konusunda temkinli tutumunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\n\n2025 Mart\u2019\u0131nda ISM \u201cPrices Paid\u201d verisi sert y\u00fckselmi\u015f ve Dolar lehine \u201cstagflasyon\u201d (ekonomide durgunluk s\u00fcrerken enflasyonun y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131) temas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmi\u015fti. Bu hafta da benzer bir uyar\u0131 geldi: Mart 2026 ISM \u201cPrices Paid\u201d endeksi 55,8\u2019e y\u00fckselerek bir y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu, tedarik zincirinde (\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn ham maddeden nihai sat\u0131\u015fa kadar ge\u00e7ti\u011fi s\u00fcre\u00e7) maliyet bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor ve Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine gitmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\nBu ortamda tatil haftas\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde \u201cimplied volatility\u201d (\u00f6rt\u00fcl\u00fc volatilite; opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Bu kurgu, opsiyonlarla (belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) risk y\u00f6netimini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131r: \u00d6rne\u011fin \u201cput\u201d (sat\u0131m opsiyonu; fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 koruma) veya put spread (sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek kurulan koruma stratejisi) al\u0131narak, NFP\u2019nin beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesi halinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc sert harekete kar\u015f\u0131 korunma sa\u011flanabilir. 1,2800 civar\u0131nda belirgin bir diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015flerin zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; bu b\u00f6lgeye do\u011fru olas\u0131 toparlanmalar\u0131n sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131 muhtemel.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131n<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sterlin, GBP\/USD\u2019de %0,6 toparlansa da 50\/200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA alt\u0131nda zay\u0131f. Bailey faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 reddetti. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD ISM\/ADP ve y\u00fcksek \u201cPrices Paid\u201d Dolar\u0131 destekliyor; NFP \u00f6ncesi oynakl\u0131k artabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43804","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43804"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43804\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}