{"id":43800,"date":"2026-04-02T04:55:24","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T04:55:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-15900-civarinda-seyrediyor-ateskes-umutlari-tokyonun-uyarilari-ve-bant-araliginda-islem-nedeniyle-15870-yakininda-yataylasiyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-02T04:55:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T04:55:24","slug":"usd-jpy-15900-civarinda-seyrediyor-ateskes-umutlari-tokyonun-uyarilari-ve-bant-araliginda-islem-nedeniyle-15870-yakininda-yataylasiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-jpy-15900-civarinda-seyrediyor-ateskes-umutlari-tokyonun-uyarilari-ve-bant-araliginda-islem-nedeniyle-15870-yakininda-yataylasiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY 159,00 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor; ate\u015fkes umutlar\u0131, Tokyo\u2019nun uyar\u0131lar\u0131 ve bant aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015flem nedeniyle 158,70 yak\u0131n\u0131nda yatayla\u015f\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, sakin ge\u00e7en seans\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc 158,70 yak\u0131n\u0131nda tamamlad\u0131. Parite, 160,40 b\u00f6lgesinden iki g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste geriledikten sonra 159,00 civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti. \u0130\u015flemler 160,00 \u00fczerindeki bir tepe seviyesi ile 158,00 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki destek aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131.\n\nJaponya\u2019da BoJ Tankan b\u00fcy\u00fck imalat\u00e7\u0131lar g\u00fcven endeksi (Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u015firket anketi) 2026 ilk \u00e7eyrekte 17\u2019ye y\u00fckselerek 2021 son \u00e7eyrekten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u0130malat PMI (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50 \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder) mart ay\u0131nda 51,6\u2019ya yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edildi. Maliye Bakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Atsushi Mimura ise paritenin 160,00 \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan spek\u00fclatif hareketlere kar\u015f\u0131 \u201ckararl\u0131 ad\u0131m\u201d atacaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bu hafta ilerleyen g\u00fcnlerde \u00f6nemli bir Japonya verisi beklenmiyor.\n\n<h3>ABD Verileri ve Fed\u2019in Mesaj\u0131<\/h3>\nABD\u2019de ISM \u0130malat Fiyatlar Endeksi (\u00fcreticilerin maliyet bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) 70,5\u2019ten 78,3\u2019e \u00e7\u0131karak 2022\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131; man\u015fet PMI 52,7\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. Perakende sat\u0131\u015flar ayl\u0131k bazda %0,6 artt\u0131. ADP \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi (\u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam g\u00f6stergesi) 40 bin beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131 62 bin oldu. Fed martta faizi %3,50-%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tuttu. St. Louis Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Musalem, faizin \u201cbir s\u00fcre\u201d bu seviyelerde kalabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\nD\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte fiyat 158,7900 seviyesindeydi; 200 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; trendi yumu\u015fatarak g\u00f6sterir) 158,10 civar\u0131ndaki seviyesinin \u00fczerinde. Stokastik RSI (momentum g\u00f6stergesi; a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgelerini izler) a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinden yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Diren\u00e7 160,30 ard\u0131ndan 160,70\u2019te. Destekler 158,60, 158,10 ve 157,70 civar\u0131nda. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ilerleyen saatlerde Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ilgili konu\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor.\n\n<h3>M\u00fcdahale Riski ve Oynakl\u0131k<\/h3>\nJaponya Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n s\u00f6zl\u00fc uyar\u0131lar\u0131 hafife al\u0131nmamal\u0131. 2024\u2019te parite 160 seviyesini a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yetkililerin piyasaya m\u00fcdahale (kurun a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hareketini s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in do\u011frudan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m) ederek sert ve h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu nedenle 160,00-160,40 b\u00f6lgesi hem psikolojik hem de teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir e\u015fik.\n\nBa\u015fkan\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019la ilgili yakla\u015fan konu\u015fmas\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden petrol arz\u0131na dair riskleri art\u0131rabilir. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda s\u0131\u00e7rama, ABD enflasyonunu yukar\u0131 iterek Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (faizlerin y\u00fcksek tutulmas\u0131) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme e\u011filimini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Bu durum, normalde yeni\/yen i\u00e7in destekleyici say\u0131lan \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d ortam\u0131nda bile dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.\n\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in (opsiyon gibi s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerle i\u015flem yapanlar) bu tablo, oynakl\u0131k ve risk y\u00f6netimine odaklanmay\u0131 gerektiriyor. M\u00fcdahale halinde sert hareket olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fundan, mevcut uzun pozisyonlara kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 piyasadan uzak (out-of-the-money) JPY al\u0131m\/USD sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (yenin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine ve dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik opsiyonlar) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Tersine, s\u0131k\u0131\u015fman\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fini bekleyenler i\u00e7in 158,00-160,40 band\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na yerle\u015ftirilmi\u015f vadeli opsiyon stratejileri (strangle; farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131\u015f\u0131yla prim toplama) mevcut yatay seyirden prim geliri hedefleyebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY 158,70\u2019te s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131; kritik e\u015fik 160,00-160,40. Japon verileri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, BoJ m\u00fcdahale sinyali net. ABD enflasyon\/PMI ve Fed\u2019in \u201cy\u00fcksek faiz\u201d mesaj\u0131 dolar\u0131 destekliyor; oynakl\u0131k artabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43800","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43800","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43800"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43800\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43800"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43800"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43800"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}