{"id":43785,"date":"2026-04-02T02:56:25","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T02:56:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-16000-seviyesinden-geri-cekildikten-sonra-15850-civarinda-seyrediyor-dolarin-zayiflamasina-ragmen-yen-deger-kazanamiyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-02T02:56:25","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T02:56:25","slug":"usd-jpy-16000-seviyesinden-geri-cekildikten-sonra-15850-civarinda-seyrediyor-dolarin-zayiflamasina-ragmen-yen-deger-kazanamiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-jpy-16000-seviyesinden-geri-cekildikten-sonra-15850-civarinda-seyrediyor-dolarin-zayiflamasina-ragmen-yen-deger-kazanamiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY 160,00 seviyesinden geri \u00e7ekildikten sonra 158,50 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor; dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen yen de\u011fer kazanam\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc dar bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite, haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen 160,00 seviyesinden geri \u00e7ekilmesinin ard\u0131ndan 158,50 civar\u0131nda kald\u0131. Hareket, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve Japon Yeni\u2019nin belirgin g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanamamas\u0131yla geldi.\n\nABD Dolar\u0131, risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131yla (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme e\u011filimi) geriledi. Piyasalar, ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin yak\u0131nda sona erebilece\u011fi beklentisini fiyatlad\u0131. Bu de\u011fi\u015fim, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n askeri operasyonlar\u0131n iki-\u00fc\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde bitebilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan geldi.\n\n<h3>Dolar\u2019daki Geri \u00c7ekilme Oda\u011f\u0131 Trump Konu\u015fmas\u0131na \u00c7evirdi<\/h3>\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY \u2014 dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren endeks) 99,34 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve bir haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine yak\u0131nd\u0131. Endeks Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 100,64\u2019e \u00e7\u0131karak son on ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Odak, Per\u015fembe 01:00 GMT\u2019de Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran hakk\u0131nda g\u00fcncelleme vermesi beklenen konu\u015fmas\u0131na d\u00f6nd\u00fc.\n\nTeknik a\u00e7\u0131dan (grafik ve g\u00f6stergelerle yap\u0131lan analiz) USD\/JPY\u2019nin 160,00 \u00fczerinde kalamamas\u0131 sonras\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm hafif negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc. 160,00, ge\u00e7mi\u015fte Japon yetkililerin m\u00fcdahalesiyle (kur hareketini durdurmak i\u00e7in piyasaya do\u011frudan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m) ili\u015fkilendirilen bir seviye. Fiyat 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (SMA \u2014 son 21 g\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n basit ortalamas\u0131) hemen alt\u0131nda, 158,80 civar\u0131nda seyretti. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi \u2014 fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 50\u2019ye yak\u0131n kald\u0131. MACD (hareketli ortalama yak\u0131nsama\/\u0131raksama \u2014 trend de\u011fi\u015fimini izleyen g\u00f6sterge) ise s\u0131f\u0131r \u00e7izgisi civar\u0131nda sinyalinin alt\u0131na hafif kayd\u0131.\n\n21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, 160,00\u2019\u0131n yeniden test edilmesine kap\u0131 aralayabilir. Bunun alt\u0131nda net bir kapan\u0131\u015f ise 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 156,96 b\u00f6lgesini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.\n\n<h3>Politika Fark\u0131n\u0131n A\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 M\u00fcdahale Riskini Art\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h3>\n2025\u2019te y\u00fckseli\u015fi besleyen para politikas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 (iki merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 faiz y\u00f6n\u00fcnde hareket etmesi) daha da b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Mart 2026 ABD T\u00dcFE (CPI \u2014 t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisi beklentinin \u00fczerinde %3,1 geldi. Bu, \u201c\u015fahin\u201d Fed (enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in faizleri y\u00fcksek tutmaya e\u011filimli merkez bankas\u0131) beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) ise politikay\u0131 normalle\u015ftirmede (a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gev\u015fek politikalardan daha \u201cnormal\u201d seviyelere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f) \u00e7ok yava\u015f kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret ediyor. Bu faiz fark\u0131 (iki \u00fclke faizleri aras\u0131ndaki a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131k), USD\/JPY\u2019de al\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc piyasada daha kolay tercih edilir hale getiriyor.\n\nJapon yetkililer rahats\u0131z g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Parite 164,00\u2019\u00fc a\u015farken bu hafta s\u00f6zl\u00fc uyar\u0131lar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 izlendi. Piyasa, 2024 sonundakine benzer \u015fekilde yeni bir do\u011frudan m\u00fcdahale olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu durum, y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi s\u00fcrse bile k\u0131sa vadede kayda de\u011fer a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n risk yarat\u0131yor.\n\nY\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcrmesini bekleyen ancak ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak isteyenler i\u00e7in \u201ccall spread\u201d almak daha temkinli bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. Call spread (ayn\u0131 vadede bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p, daha y\u00fcksek seviyeden ba\u015fka bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satmak) maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr ve olas\u0131 kayb\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar. \u00d6rne\u011fin 165,00 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike \u2014 opsiyonun i\u015flem seviyeye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc fiyat) call al\u0131p 167,00 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call sat\u0131labilir.\n\nM\u00fcdahale kaynakl\u0131 \u201cya h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f ya sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u201d ihtimali nedeniyle ana tema oynakl\u0131k. \u0130ma edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility \u2014 opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan beklenen dalgalanma) 1 ayl\u0131k USD\/JPY opsiyonlar\u0131nda %13,8\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. \u201cStraddle\u201d almak (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda hem call hem put opsiyonu almak) bu beklenen sert hareketi i\u015flemeye uygun olabilir; put opsiyonu (sat\u0131m opsiyonu) fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flar.\n\nDo\u011frudan uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yanlar (long \u2014 y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon) i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda riski s\u0131k\u0131 y\u00f6netmek kritik. \u201cTrailing stop\u201d kullan\u0131m\u0131 (fiyat lehe giderken stop seviyesini kademeli yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan zarar kes) 10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama gibi \u00f6nemli teknik seviyelerin hemen alt\u0131nda tercih edilebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken m\u00fcdahale kaynakl\u0131 sert geri \u00e7ekilmelerde sermayeyi korumaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00f6zler Trump\u2019ta: USD\/JPY 160\u2019tan geri \u00e7ekilip 158,50\u2019de yatay. DXY zay\u0131fl\u0131yor, risk i\u015ftah\u0131 artt\u0131. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm hafif negatif; politika fark\u0131 m\u00fcdahale riskini, opsiyonlarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fckseltiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43785","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43785","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43785"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43785\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43785"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43785"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43785"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}