{"id":43782,"date":"2026-04-02T02:54:29","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T02:54:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/ateskese-yonelik-iyimserlik-dolar-endeksi-uzerinde-baski-yaratirken-endeks-05-dususle-yaklasik-9930-seviyesine-geriledi-ve-daha-dusuk-zirveler-olusturdu\/"},"modified":"2026-04-02T02:54:29","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T02:54:29","slug":"ateskese-yonelik-iyimserlik-dolar-endeksi-uzerinde-baski-yaratirken-endeks-05-dususle-yaklasik-9930-seviyesine-geriledi-ve-daha-dusuk-zirveler-olusturdu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/ateskese-yonelik-iyimserlik-dolar-endeksi-uzerinde-baski-yaratirken-endeks-05-dususle-yaklasik-9930-seviyesine-geriledi-ve-daha-dusuk-zirveler-olusturdu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ate\u015fkese y\u00f6nelik iyimserlik Dolar Endeksi \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131rken endeks %0,5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle yakla\u015f\u0131k 99,30 seviyesine geriledi ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck zirveler olu\u015fturdu."},"content":{"rendered":"DXY, \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,5\u2019ten fazla gerileyerek 99,90 civar\u0131ndaki a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k 99,30 seviyesine indi ve sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 100,00 seviyesinin alt\u0131na sarkan hareketi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. B\u00f6ylece, mart ay\u0131nda ocak dipleri olan 95,55 civar\u0131ndan ba\u015flayan %2,3\u2019l\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri verdi.\n\nHareket, Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n \u201c\u0130ran Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ate\u015fkes istedi\u011fini\u201d yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131mdan sonra geldi. ABD\u2019nin ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u201ca\u00e7\u0131k, serbest ve g\u00fcvenli\u201d kalmas\u0131na ba\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Trump ayr\u0131ca sal\u0131 gece saatlerinde ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin iki-\u00fc\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde \u0130ran\u2019dan \u00e7ekilebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi; \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 ise tehditleri ve s\u00fcre dayatmalar\u0131n\u0131 reddetti.\n\n<h3>ABD Verileri ve Piyasa Etkenleri<\/h3>\nABD verileri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcyd\u00fc. ADP \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi 62 bin ile 40 bin beklentinin \u00fczerindeydi. \u015eubat perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ayl\u0131k bazda (aydan aya) %0,6 artarak %0,5 beklentisini a\u015ft\u0131. ISM \u0130malat PMI 52,7 oldu (PMI: sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50\u2019nin \u00fczeri sekt\u00f6rde geni\u015flemeyi g\u00f6sterir). \u201cPrices Paid\u201d (\u00f6denen fiyatlar; \u015firketlerin girdi maliyetlerindeki fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren alt endeks) 70,5\u2019ten 78,3\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve 73 beklentisinin \u00fcst\u00fcnde kald\u0131.\n\nCuma g\u00fcn\u00fc NFP (tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam; ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m hari\u00e7 istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren ana veri) a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Piyasa beklentisi 60 bin; \u00f6nceki a\u00e7\u0131klama -92 bindi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde Trump\u2019\u0131n ulusa sesleni\u015f konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 da izledi.\n\n5 dakikal\u0131k grafikte fiyat 99,34 ile 200 periyot EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) 99,60 civar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 99,45, 99,60 ve 99,75; destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma seviyesi) 99,30 ve 99,20. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte fiyat 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 98,90 civar\u0131n\u0131n ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama olan 99,10 \u00e7evresinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Diren\u00e7 99,90 ve 100,50; destek 99,00\u201398,90 band\u0131 ard\u0131ndan 98,50.\n\n2022 verilerine g\u00f6re ABD dolar\u0131, k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131 i\u015flem hacminin (FX turnover; d\u00f6viz al\u0131m-sat\u0131m toplam\u0131) %88\u2019inden fazlas\u0131n\u0131, yani g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 6,6 trilyon dolar\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Fed (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) %2 enflasyon hedefler; politika ara\u00e7lar\u0131 aras\u0131nda faiz de\u011fi\u015fimleri ile parasal geni\u015fleme (quantitative easing; tahvil alarak piyasaya para verme) ve parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma (quantitative tightening; bilan\u00e7o k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclterek piyasadan para \u00e7ekme) yer al\u0131r.\n\n<h3>2025\u2019ten Dersler<\/h3>\n2025\u2019te man\u015fetlerin tetikledi\u011fi oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (volatilite; fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanmas\u0131) ciddiye al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Cboe Volatilite Endeksi VIX (S&#038;P 500 i\u00e7in \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d; beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) haber \u00f6ncesi haftalarda 25\u2019in \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131p ard\u0131ndan h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu t\u00fcr bir yap\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda volatiliteye \u201cbahis\u201d yapmak yerine riskten korunmak i\u00e7in opsiyon (belirli bir fiyattan al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131) kullanman\u0131n daha temkinli olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nMart 2025\u2019te 78,3 gibi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ISM Prices Paid verisi, ate\u015fkes s\u00f6ylentilerinin g\u00f6lgesinde kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u015eimdi tablo tersine d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor: 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine ili\u015fkin son T\u00dcFE (CPI; t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi) verileri, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7) y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,7\u2019de inat\u00e7\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu durum, \u00f6zellikle enflasyon verilerinin dolar\u0131n de\u011ferini daha h\u0131zl\u0131 ve do\u011frudan etkileyebilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DXY, Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran ate\u015fkes mesaj\u0131yla 99,30\u2019a sarkt\u0131; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ADP, perakende sat\u0131\u015f ve ISM fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. G\u00f6zler NFP\u2019de. Destek 99,20\u201399,30, diren\u00e7 99,60\u2013100,50. Enflasyon dolar\u0131 y\u00f6nlendirebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43782","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43782","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43782"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43782\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43782"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43782"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43782"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}