{"id":43755,"date":"2026-03-31T01:06:23","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T01:06:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/petrol-sokunun-ecb-beklentilerini-yeniden-sekillendirmesiyle-eur-usd-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T01:06:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T01:06:23","slug":"petrol-sokunun-ecb-beklentilerini-yeniden-sekillendirmesiyle-eur-usd-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/analysis\/petrol-sokunun-ecb-beklentilerini-yeniden-sekillendirmesiyle-eur-usd-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol \u015eokunun ECB Beklentilerini Yeniden \u015eekillendirmesiyle EUR\/USD Geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/Euro5-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45965\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kan Noktalar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>EURUSD 1,14696\u2019dan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor<\/strong>; <strong>+0,00071 (+%0,06)<\/strong> art\u0131da. Ancak euro mart\u0131 <strong>1,15 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda<\/strong> kapatt\u0131; ay boyunca dolara kar\u015f\u0131 <strong>%2\u2019den fazla<\/strong> de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Piyasalar art\u0131k <strong>2026\u2019da en az iki ECB faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/strong> bekliyor. Daha \u00f6nce fiyatlamalar <strong>%40 faiz indirimi ihtimali<\/strong>ne i\u015faret ediyordu.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Artan enerji maliyetleri ve b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ge\u00e7i\u015fi aksayan <strong>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131<\/strong>, Avrupa\u2019da enflasyon endi\u015fesini b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor ve euro \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kuruyor. (H\u00fcrm\u00fcz, petrol ve do\u011falgaz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kritik bir deniz ge\u00e7idi.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Euro mart\u0131 <strong>1,15 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda<\/strong> kapatt\u0131. Bu, ortak para birimini yakla\u015f\u0131k iki haftan\u0131n en zay\u0131f seviyelerine yakla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. G\u00fcnl\u00fck k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck hareketlerden \u00e7ok, ayl\u0131k tablo \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n derinle\u015fmesinin ekonomik etkileri fiyatlan\u0131rken euro, ay i\u00e7inde dolara kar\u015f\u0131 <strong>%2\u2019den fazla<\/strong> geriledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, piyasan\u0131n Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne g\u00fcveninin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Enerji maliyetleri sert y\u00fckseldi\u011finde Euro B\u00f6lgesi h\u0131zl\u0131 etkilenir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc enerji ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. (Enerji ithalat\u0131: petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan al\u0131nmas\u0131.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Inflation expectations of euro-area consumers jumped in March \u2014 a warning sign for the ECB as it assesses the danger of a renewed price spike due to the Iran war <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NsUAArhgoS\">https:\/\/t.co\/NsUAArhgoS<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2038554967842119918?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 30, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu tablo b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi zay\u0131flatabilir, enflasyonu y\u00fcksek tutabilir ve euroyu \u201czay\u0131f ekonomi\u201d ile \u201cdaha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 beklentisi\u201d aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rabilir. (S\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131: faizlerin y\u00fckselmesi ve finansman ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n zorla\u015fmas\u0131.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Enerji fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek kal\u0131r ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmezse, EURUSD\u2019nin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanma \u00fcretmesi zor olabilir; parite 1,14 ortalar\u0131nda bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Petrol \u015eoku, ECB Politikas\u0131nda Beklentileri De\u011fi\u015ftirdi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu ay\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fimi faiz beklentilerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert y\u00fckseli\u015f, Avrupa genelinde enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131 ve piyasay\u0131 Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) faiz patikas\u0131n\u0131 yeniden fiyatlamaya itti. (Yeniden fiyatlama: beklentilere g\u00f6re varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 g\u00fcncellenmesi.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar art\u0131k <strong>2026\u2019da en az iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/strong> bekliyor. Daha \u00f6nce piyasa <strong>%40 faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> fiyatl\u0131yordu. Bu keskin de\u011fi\u015fim, enerji \u015fokunun havay\u0131 ne kadar de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. (Enerji \u015foku: petrol\/do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131nda ani ve b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">European Central Bank Governing Council Madis Muller said policymakers will have to act if energy costs remain high for an extended period <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/M1BtxR0KIe\">https:\/\/t.co\/M1BtxR0KIe<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2038897308071350548?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 31, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Teoride faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 euroya destek olur. Ancak pratikte euro zay\u0131flad\u0131; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc piyasa bu art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren\u201d de\u011fil \u201czarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in at\u0131lan\u201d ad\u0131mlar olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Petrol kaynakl\u0131 bir enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 faiz art\u0131rmak, ekonomi yava\u015flarken para birimi i\u00e7in her zaman olumlu sonu\u00e7 vermez. (Savunmac\u0131 ad\u0131m: k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmeyi \u00f6nlemeye d\u00f6n\u00fck politika.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fransa Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fran\u00e7ois Villeroy de Galhau, ECB\u2019nin enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131nda tutmaya kararl\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi; ancak bir ad\u0131m\u0131n ne zaman gelece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek i\u00e7in \u201c\u00e7ok erken\u201d uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ECB yetkilileri enflasyon konusunda endi\u015feli konu\u015fmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcr, ama takvim konusunda netle\u015fmezse, EURUSD geni\u015f bir bantta dalgalanabilir. (Bant hareketi: belirli destek\/diren\u00e7 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda gidip gelme.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ortado\u011fu Gerilimi Euro \u00dczerindeki Bask\u0131y\u0131 S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Hareketin merkezinde jeopolitik riskler var. Wall Street Journal\u2019\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re ABD\u2019nin eski Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kapal\u0131 kalsa bile \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen ABD asker\u00ee operasyonunun bitirilebilece\u011fi sinyalini verdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Shippers remain doubtful of a wholesale return to the Strait of Hormuz while the conflict in the Middle East continues <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/QMf8zNLAzV\">https:\/\/t.co\/QMf8zNLAzV<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2038873989397860845?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 31, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu \u00f6nemli; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc piyasa art\u0131k yaln\u0131zca sava\u015f riskini de\u011fil, enerji ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olu\u015fabilecek kal\u0131c\u0131 \u201cdarbo\u011faz\u201d riskini de fiyatl\u0131yor. (Darbo\u011faz: sevkiyat\u0131n aksamas\u0131 nedeniyle arz\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131.) Bo\u011faz\u0131n kapal\u0131 ya da k\u0131smen kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131; navlun (ta\u015f\u0131ma), sigorta ve ham petrol maliyetlerini y\u00fcksek tutar. Avrupa bunu h\u0131zl\u0131 hisseder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu nedenle euro, \u201crahatlat\u0131c\u0131\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131klardan kal\u0131c\u0131 fayda g\u00f6rmedi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar s\u00f6ylemden \u00e7ok, fiil\u00ee enerji ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na bak\u0131yor. (Fiil\u00ee ak\u0131\u015f: ger\u00e7ek sevkiyat ve tedarik.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7at\u0131\u015fma siyasi d\u00fczeyde yat\u0131\u015fsa bile, petrol rotalar\u0131 aksarsa ve enflasyon kolay d\u00fc\u015fmezse EURUSD bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalabilir. (Yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyon: d\u00fc\u015fmesi zor, kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Teknik Analiz<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>EURUSD <strong>1,1470<\/strong> civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Parite, <strong>1,2080<\/strong> zirvesinden geri d\u00f6nmesinin ard\u0131ndan olu\u015fan genel d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinden \u00e7\u0131kmakta zorlan\u0131yor. Fiyat hareketi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor: y\u00fckseli\u015f denemeleri kal\u0131c\u0131 olam\u0131yor ve sat\u0131\u015flar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00fcnlerde art\u0131yor. (Diren\u00e7: fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckselmekte zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan trend a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc. Fiyat, \u00f6nemli hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n alt\u0131nda. <strong>5 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (1,1506)<\/strong> ve <strong>10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (1,1535)<\/strong> ortalamalar mevcut seviyenin hemen \u00fczerinde ve yak\u0131n diren\u00e7 gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. (Hareketli ortalama: belirli g\u00fcnlerin fiyat ortalamas\u0131; trendi yumu\u015fat\u0131r.) <strong>20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (1,1550)<\/strong> ve <strong>30 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (1,1620)<\/strong> ortalamalar da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli; bu da zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve momentumun a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu\u011funu teyit ediyor. (Momentum: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z ve y\u00f6n g\u00fcc\u00fc.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/image-37-1024x498.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45964\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130zlenecek seviyeler:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Destek:<\/strong> 1.1410 \u2192 1.1350 \u2192 1.1300 (Destek: fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunabildi\u011fi seviye.)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diren\u00e7:<\/strong> 1.1500 \u2192 1.1550 \u2192 1.1620<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Parite \u015fu anda <strong>1.1500\u20131.1550<\/strong> band\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda yatay seyrediyor. (Konsolidasyon\/yatay seyir: g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00f6n olu\u015fmadan dar aral\u0131kta hareket.) Bu b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131, k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131p <strong>1.1620<\/strong> seviyesine do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir; ancak bunun kal\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in al\u0131m iste\u011finin artmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da <strong>1.1410<\/strong> k\u0131sa vadede kritik destek. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na ini\u015f, <strong>1.1350<\/strong>\u2019ye do\u011fru hareketi tetikleyebilir; sat\u0131\u015flar h\u0131zlan\u0131rsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f riski b\u00fcy\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Genel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde EURUSD net bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinde. <strong>1.1550<\/strong> b\u00f6lgesi geri al\u0131nmad\u0131k\u00e7a, y\u00fckseli\u015flerin sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131 olas\u0131; k\u0131sa vadeli e\u011filim a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Euro\u2019da alarm: EURUSD 1,1470\u2019te tutunsa da mart\u0131 1,15 alt\u0131nda kapat\u0131p %2\u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Petrol\/H\u00fcrm\u00fcz \u015foku ECB\u2019de iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini do\u011furdu; teknik bask\u0131 1,1410\u2019a.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":43754,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43755","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43755","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43755"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43755\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43754"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43755"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43755"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43755"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}