{"id":43715,"date":"2026-03-15T21:23:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-15T21:23:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/onumuzdeki-hafta-petrol-ve-faiz-oranlari-cikmazi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-15T21:23:01","modified_gmt":"2026-03-15T21:23:01","slug":"onumuzdeki-hafta-petrol-ve-faiz-oranlari-cikmazi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/week_ahead\/onumuzdeki-hafta-petrol-ve-faiz-oranlari-cikmazi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki Hafta: Petrol ve Faiz Oranlar\u0131 \u00c7\u0131kmaz\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/Image_fx-2026-03-16T131152683-1-1024x559.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44515\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kanlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma USOil\u2019i (ABD ham petrol\u00fc) y\u00fcksek tutuyor; bu durum Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz indirim beklentilerini \u00f6teleyebilir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>XAUUSD (ons alt\u0131n\/ABD dolar\u0131), USDX (Dolar Endeksi) yatay seyrederken 4.996 civar\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u201clikidite\u201dyi (yo\u011fun emirlerin bulundu\u011fu b\u00f6lge) test ediyor.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>BOJ (Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz karar\u0131, fiyat 160\u2019a yakla\u015f\u0131rken USDJPY\u2019de (dolar\/yen) sert harekete yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>FOMC (Fed\u2019in faiz kurulu) bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131, Fed faiz patikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentileri yeniden \u015fekillendirebilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Piyasalar, <strong>28 \u015eubat 2026\u2019daki Operation Epic Fury<\/strong> ile ba\u015flayan jeopolitik gerilime odakland\u0131. Ba\u015fta s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ABD sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen s\u00fcre\u00e7, biti\u015f tarihi belirsiz daha geni\u015f bir b\u00f6lgesel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bloomberg&#39;s Jeff Mason, Joumanna Bercetche and Ethan Bronner discuss US, Israel launch of &#39;Operation Epic Fury&#39; in Iran on Bloomberg This Weekend.<br><br>Watch live now <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/of6KPQLuxh\">https:\/\/t.co\/of6KPQLuxh<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/d7brReSZmE\">pic.twitter.com\/d7brReSZmE<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2027733887015633334?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 28, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7at\u0131\u015fma, askeri g\u00fcndemin \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7erek makro g\u00fcndemi (b\u00fcy\u00fcme-enflasyon-faiz dengesi) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve jeopolitik risk primini ABD ekonomisinin ne kadar s\u00fcre ta\u015f\u0131yabilece\u011fini izliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brent petrol yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>70 dolardan varil ba\u015f\u0131na 110 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine<\/strong> \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu hareket, jeopolitik riskin fiyatlara h\u0131zl\u0131 yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Analistler, petrol 130 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rsa <strong>2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda<\/strong> k\u00fcresel GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin (toplam ekonomik \u00fcretim) yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,6 d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse enflasyon beklentileri yeniden artabilir ve Fed\u2019in faiz indirimleri gecikebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Piyasada \u201cK\u0131r\u0131lma\u201d Noktas\u0131<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Enerji fiyatlar\u0131, bir\u00e7ok makro veriden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 etkiler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tarihsel olarak ABD\u2019de benzin fiyat\u0131 galon ba\u015f\u0131na <strong>4,00 dolar<\/strong> seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131nca t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131nda sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler g\u00f6r\u00fclebildi. Bu seviye, petrol art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ekonomi \u00fczerindeki etkisinin daha belirgin hissedildi\u011fi e\u015fik olarak izlenir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Brent oil has soared about 40% since the Iran war began, driving up fuel prices at the pump globally, including gasoline in the US. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2Dzxkc3Nme\">https:\/\/t.co\/2Dzxkc3Nme<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Zg9Aag1GdL\">pic.twitter.com\/Zg9Aag1GdL<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Yahoo Finance (@YahooFinance) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/YahooFinance\/status\/2032465739119046892?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 13, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00fcketim zay\u0131flarken enflasyon y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rsa Fed, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi desteklemek ile fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 kontrol etmek aras\u0131nda zor bir dengeye s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu tablo, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 i\u00e7in iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk yarat\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcme yava\u015flarsa hisse senetleri ve kripto varl\u0131klar bask\u0131lanabilir. Alt\u0131n ise belirsizlik ve g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle destek bulabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Enerji kaynakl\u0131 t\u00fcketici bask\u0131s\u0131, XAUUSD, BTCUSD (Bitcoin\/dolar) ve SP500\u2019de (S&amp;P 500 endeksi) oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sert fiyat dalgas\u0131) art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve K\u00fcresel Petrol Arz\u0131<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Enerji arz\u0131 riski de \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>D\u00fcnya petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%20\u2019si H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan<\/strong> ge\u00e7iyor. Bu nedenle bo\u011faz, k\u00fcresel ticarette en kritik \u201cdar bo\u011faz\u201dlardan (ge\u00e7i\u015fin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011fu stratejik hat) biri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u00f6lgede gemi rotalar\u0131na veya tanker trafi\u011fine y\u00f6nelik bir tehdit, petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD Donanmas\u0131 deniz yollar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcvenceye almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilir; ancak bu, uzun s\u00fcreli ve y\u00fcksek kapasiteli askeri varl\u0131k gerektirir. Stratejik petrol rezervleri (devletin acil durum stoklar\u0131) k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli aksakl\u0131klar\u0131 yumu\u015fatabilir; fakat uzun s\u00fcren arz \u015fokunu tamamen telafi edemez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">President Donald Trump said he is \u201cdemanding\u201d that other countries contribute to the defense of Strait of Hormuz as it remains effectively closed to oil tankers <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ARQXPCyWw2\">https:\/\/t.co\/ARQXPCyWw2<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2033344129611043240?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelik tehditlerin s\u00fcrmesi, petrol\u00fc y\u00fcksek tutarak enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 canl\u0131 tutabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 sava\u015flar\u0131n nas\u0131l etkiledi\u011fine dair daha fazlas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u015fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f yaz\u0131m\u0131za <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/opinion\/from-the-oil-crisis-to-today-how-wars-drive-gas-prices\/\">bakabilirsiniz<\/a><\/strong><strong>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Stagflasyon Riski<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Piyasalar i\u00e7in en riskli senaryo stagflasyon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stagflasyon, ayn\u0131 anda hem enflasyonun y\u00fckselmesi hem de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 demektir. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f enflasyonu beslerken t\u00fcketimi ve \u015firket k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltabilir; bu da b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi yava\u015flat\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Stagflation risks lurked before the Iran war began <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/uzg7eLrT77\">https:\/\/t.co\/uzg7eLrT77<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Yahoo Finance (@YahooFinance) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/YahooFinance\/status\/2032760178580283761?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 14, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu durum Fed i\u00e7in politika ikilemi yarat\u0131r. Normalde enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in faizleri y\u00fcksek tutar. Ancak sert bir yava\u015flama veya piyasada sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131 (geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f) g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrse, finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131 gev\u015fetmesi (faizi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme\/s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltma) y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bask\u0131 artabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jeopolitik zemin tart\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 daha da zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Baz\u0131 analistlere g\u00f6re ulusal g\u00fcvenlik krizinde sert bir piyasa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, Fed \u00fczerinde daha agresif faiz indirimi bask\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fturabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stagflasyon; d\u00f6vizlerde, emtialarda (alt\u0131n, petrol gibi) ve hisselerde sert dalgalanmaya yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Stratejik Dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k ve Piyasa Psikolojisi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7at\u0131\u015fma, \u201cne kadar s\u00fcrebilir?\u201d sorusunu da g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130ran, uzun sald\u0131r\u0131lara dayanmay\u0131 hedefleyen da\u011f\u0131t\u0131k bir savunma yap\u0131s\u0131 kurdu. Tek bir komuta merkezine ba\u011fl\u0131 kalmak yerine, liderlik yap\u0131s\u0131 zarar g\u00f6rse bile \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya devam edebilecek b\u00f6lgesel merkezlerle hareket ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 uzatmay\u0131 ve kar\u015f\u0131 taraf\u0131n ekonomik maliyetini art\u0131rmay\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7at\u0131\u015fma uzad\u0131k\u00e7a petrol fiyatlar\u0131, enflasyon ve finansal piyasalar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131 artar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Uzayan s\u00fcre\u00e7, petrolde kal\u0131c\u0131 oynakl\u0131k ve makro istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0130zlenecek Semboller<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>XAUUSD | BTCUSD | USDX | SP500 | USDJPY<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yakla\u015fan Geli\u015fmeler<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Tarih<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Para Birimi<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Geli\u015fme<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Tahmin<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u00d6nceki<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Analist Notu<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>17 Mar<\/td><td>AUD<\/td><td>RBA Bas\u0131n Toplant\u0131s\u0131<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>RBA\u2019n\u0131n tonu, Asya genelinde risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilir<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>18 Mar<\/td><td>CAD<\/td><td>BOC Bas\u0131n Toplant\u0131s\u0131<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>Enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne dair y\u00f6nlendirme, petrol ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 para birimlerini etkileyebilir<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>19 Mar<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>FOMC Bas\u0131n Toplant\u0131s\u0131<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>Petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyonun faiz indirimini geciktirip geciktirmedi\u011fi fiyatlanacak<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>19 Mar<\/td><td>JPY<\/td><td>BOJ Politika Faizi<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>USDJPY\u2019nin 160\u2019a yak\u0131n seyri, m\u00fcdahale (kur hareketini s\u0131n\u0131rlama ama\u00e7l\u0131 resmi i\u015flem) riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>19 Mar<\/td><td>GBP<\/td><td>Resmi Banka Faizi<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>\u0130ngiltere para politikas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, sterlinde oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rabilir<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>19 Mar<\/td><td>EUR<\/td><td>ECB Bas\u0131n Toplant\u0131s\u0131<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>\u2014<\/td><td>ECB mesajlar\u0131, EURUSD ve USDX y\u00f6n\u00fcnde belirleyici olabilir<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Yakla\u015fan t\u00fcm ekonomik geli\u015fmeler i\u00e7in VT Markets <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/economic-calendar\/?utmsource=WMO\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Ekonomik Takvim<\/a> sayfas\u0131na bakabilirsiniz.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Haftan\u0131n \u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kan Hareketleri<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alt\u0131n (XAUUSD)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/codeMGE2MjU1NDYzYTFmYzM2NzRmOTA2NDc2NWExMGFmOGFfd3hYTVkzWHFNNUs0YTJObGNHVlNlRzdkQmQ5aXFOZzNfVG9rZW46RWdVV2JWQWJqb2VXWEh4U2d5NWw5MG5hZ2xmXzE3NzM2Mzc5Mzc6MTc3MzY0MTUzN19WNA-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44518\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>XAUUSD a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyri s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; <strong>4.996,04<\/strong> seviyesi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m i\u00e7in kritik e\u015fik.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jeopolitik risk artarsa al\u0131c\u0131lar <strong>4.842<\/strong> civar\u0131nda yeniden g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin (BTCUSD)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/codeMWMzODZlMzM1NzEzOGZjM2MxYWZjYjY2NDZmZjM1MjBfc1RsUGZLMDhndExqMW9LSG5zSWxuMHk0blg1bE9PNzJfVG9rZW46R1dndmI0VzhXb0JZRUR4eFJQamxIaHc3Z1VlXzE3NzM2Mzc5Mzc6MTc3MzY0MTUzN19WNA-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44519\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>BTCUSD, <strong>74.041<\/strong> direncinin alt\u0131nda yatay seyrediyor.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>62.502<\/strong> seviyesi, y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi (fiyat\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan ana hareket) i\u00e7in son \u00f6nemli destek b\u00f6lgesi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ABD Dolar Endeksi (USDX)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/codeNTgxMzdjNTM5MDZlZDgxN2JkNWZjNGY3ZWJhNTg1N2NfckQ4TTV0VHVHY3VDV0dGV2p3T3kzOGEzTmIzSmR3NjJfVG9rZW46QktQdGJoYUpib09uNm14VlBjSWxOS2x3Z1ViXzE3NzM2Mzc5Mzc6MTc3MzY0MTUzN19WNA-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44520\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USDX\u2019te be\u015f dalgal\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f tamamland\u0131 (teknik analizde trendin a\u015famalarla ilerledi\u011fini anlatan dalga say\u0131m\u0131).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dolar g\u00fcc\u00fc s\u00fcrerse <strong>100.321<\/strong> bir sonraki yukar\u0131 hedef olarak izleniyor.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P 500 (SP500)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/codeODUxYjczMWZkZWY3ZjcyMGRjNGZiNjRmOTY5NGIxMTBfMXk3VWE5UHhTdmx0RjNiUnpoM3lwZHE1T0dua1p2eGxfVG9rZW46RnhTYWJDbXpwb0tacWZ4TlJYcWxYN3NrZzRlXzE3NzM2Mzc5Mzc6MTc3MzY0MTUzN19WNA-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44522\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>SP500, Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc seansta <strong>haftal\u0131k kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n %50\u2019den fazlas\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> geri verdi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>6.517<\/strong> seviyesi sat\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in kritik a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u015fik.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDJPY<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/codeNzMxNDhmN2Q0MDk3ZTUxNmI2ZTY2YmUwYmNkN2IxZDlfOWllVmRxaXY4RlVjc1NKU3pORXhLTXVkcDI5QTMweTVfVG9rZW46S0Q5eWJUMm1FbzhrRlB4ZFVtT2xqbXA1Z2FlXzE3NzM2Mzc5Mzc6MTc3MzY0MTUzN19WNA-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44521\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USDJPY, <strong>159,45 zirvesinin<\/strong> \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak yen zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etti.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, <strong>BOJ bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131<\/strong> \u00f6ncesinde bir sonraki psikolojik e\u015fik olan <strong>160,00<\/strong> seviyesini izliyor (yuvarlak rakamlar genelde daha \u00e7ok takip edildi\u011fi i\u00e7in \u00f6nem kazan\u0131r).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Genel De\u011ferlendirme<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu hafta ana tema; jeopolitik risk, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve para politikas\u0131 (merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz ve likidite kararlar\u0131) aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fki. Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 enerji art\u0131\u015f\u0131 enflasyon riskini b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcrken, piyasalar Fed\u2019den olas\u0131 gev\u015feme ad\u0131m\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu gerilim, XAUUSD, BTCUSD ve SP500 i\u00e7in dalgal\u0131 bir zemin yarat\u0131yor. USDJPY ise BOJ karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde psikolojik 160 seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu nedenle FOMC ve BOJ\u2019dan gelecek mesajlar, piyasalar\u0131n sakinle\u015fip sakinle\u015fmeyece\u011fini ya da makro kaynakl\u0131 yeni bir dalgalanma d\u00f6nemine girilip girilmeyece\u011fini belirleyebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trader SSS<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ol start=\"1\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Bu hafta petrol fiyatlar\u0131 piyasay\u0131 neden y\u00f6nlendiriyor?<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol, makro hik\u00e2yenin merkezinde \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, enerji arz\u0131 riskini enflasyon riskine \u00e7evirdi. Ham petrol y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rsa yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar <strong>Fed faiz indirimi beklentisini<\/strong> daha ileri tarihe itebilir. Bu da <strong>XAUUSD<\/strong>, <strong>USDX<\/strong>, <strong>BTCUSD<\/strong> ve <strong>SP500<\/strong> fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol start=\"2\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 i\u00e7in neden bu kadar \u00f6nemli?<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131, k\u00fcresel petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc ta\u015f\u0131r. Buradaki bir risk, petrol\u00fcn \u201cal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u201d kalmas\u0131na (fiyat\u0131n yukar\u0131 e\u011filimli olmas\u0131na) neden olabilir. Bu da daha y\u00fcksek enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131, merkez bankas\u0131 kararlar\u0131nda belirsizlik ve emtia-d\u00f6viz-hisse taraf\u0131nda daha geni\u015f oynakl\u0131k anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol start=\"3\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Petrol\u00fcn y\u00fckselmesi Fed faiz indirimi beklentisini nas\u0131l etkiler?<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol y\u00fckselince man\u015fet enflasyon (genel enflasyon oran\u0131) y\u00fcksek kalabilir; b\u00fcy\u00fcme zay\u0131flasa bile fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 inat\u00e7\u0131 hale gelebilir. Bu da Fed\u2019in \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz indirimi yanl\u0131s\u0131) bir ton kullanmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r; erken indirim, enflasyonu yeniden art\u0131rma riski do\u011furur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol start=\"4\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Jeopolitik risk artarken XAUUSD neden bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalabilir?<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Alt\u0131n genelde belirsizlikten destek bulur; ancak dolar ve faiz beklentilerine de duyarl\u0131d\u0131r. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar sava\u015f kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon nedeniyle <strong>USDX<\/strong> al\u0131p <strong>Fed faiz indirimi beklentisini<\/strong> \u00f6telerse, jeopolitik gerilim s\u00fcrse bile <strong>XAUUSD<\/strong> zorlanabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol start=\"5\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Bu hafta XAUUSD\u2019de hangi seviye kritik?<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130lk \u00f6nemli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 seviye <strong>4.996,04<\/strong>. Bu b\u00f6lge a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa (destek \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmazsa) daha derin bir hareket konu\u015fulabilir. <strong>4.842<\/strong> ise al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n yeniden devreye girebilece\u011fi b\u00f6lge olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi petrol\u00fc 110 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutuyor; enflasyon riski Fed indirimlerini \u00f6teleyebilir. Alt\u0131n 4.996 e\u015fi\u011finde, USDJPY 160\u2019a yak\u0131n: FOMC-BOJ oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":43714,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[73],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-week_ahead"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43715","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43715"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43715\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43715"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43715"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43715"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}