{"id":43695,"date":"2026-03-31T06:06:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T06:06:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/rba-tutanaklarinin-daha-fazla-sikilasmaya-isaret-etmesinin-ardindan-avustralya-dolari-yukseldi-aud-usd-asya-seansinda-06860a-yaklasti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T06:06:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T06:06:12","slug":"rba-tutanaklarinin-daha-fazla-sikilasmaya-isaret-etmesinin-ardindan-avustralya-dolari-yukseldi-aud-usd-asya-seansinda-06860a-yaklasti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/rba-tutanaklarinin-daha-fazla-sikilasmaya-isaret-etmesinin-ardindan-avustralya-dolari-yukseldi-aud-usd-asya-seansinda-06860a-yaklasti\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131n daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya i\u015faret etmesinin ard\u0131ndan Avustralya dolar\u0131 y\u00fckseldi; AUD\/USD Asya seans\u0131nda 0,6860\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131."},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya saatlerinde 0,6860 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek be\u015f g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisini sonland\u0131rd\u0131. Hareket, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) mart ay\u0131 toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131mlamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi.\n\nTutanaklarda, kurul \u00fcyelerinin daha fazla \u201cpara politikas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n\u201d (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ve finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131) muhtemelen gerekece\u011fi konusunda hemfikir oldu\u011fu, ancak zamanlama konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ayr\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 bulundu\u011fu belirtildi. Petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolara yak\u0131n seyretmesinin haziran \u00e7eyre\u011fi T\u00dcFE\u2019yi (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi\/enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) yakla\u015f\u0131k %5\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131yabilece\u011fi not edildi. \u00dcyelerin \u00e7o\u011fu, h\u0131zl\u0131 ad\u0131m at\u0131lmamas\u0131 h\u00e2linde \u201cenflasyon beklentilerinin \u00e7\u0131pas\u0131n\u0131n bozulmas\u0131ndan\u201d (halk ve piyasalar\u0131n enflasyonun kontrolden \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131na inanmas\u0131) endi\u015fe duydu.\n\n

Rba Minutes And Market Reaction<\/h3>\nAvustralya\u2019da \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r kredileri \u015fubatta ayl\u0131k bazda %0,6 artt\u0131; \u00f6nceki ay %0,5\u2019ti ve beklentiyle ayn\u0131 geldi. Y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme ocaktaki %7,7\u2019den %7,8\u2019e y\u00fckseldi.\n\nParite, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n art arda be\u015f g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla da toparland\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilim y\u00fckselirse ve \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara talep) talebi artarsa, enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme kayg\u0131lar\u0131yla birlikte ABD dolar\u0131 yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilir.\n\nPazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, Orta Do\u011fu belirsizli\u011fine ra\u011fmen ABD\u2019de uzun vadeli enflasyon beklentilerinin h\u00e2l\u00e2 sa\u011flam oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Mevcut Fed politikas\u0131n\u0131n, \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ekonomi \u00fczerindeki etkilerini de\u011ferlendirmeye imk\u00e2n verdi\u011fini belirtti.\n\n

Policy Divergence And Trade Implications<\/h3>\nBug\u00fcn tablo farkl\u0131: RBA son d\u00f6rt toplant\u0131da politika faizini (nakit faiz\/cash rate) %4,35\u2019te sabit tuttu. Son \u00e7eyreklik T\u00dcFE verisi, enflasyonun %3,1\u2019e belirgin bi\u00e7imde geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. RBA\u2019n\u0131n \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 e\u011filimli) duru\u015ftan daha \u201cn\u00f6tr\u201d (bekle-g\u00f6r) bir tona kaymas\u0131, bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yerine faiz indirimi olma ihtimalini y\u00fckseltiyor; bu da AUD i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftiriyor.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) daha kararl\u0131 bir \u00e7izgide ve politika faizi (Fed Funds Rate: bankalar aras\u0131 gecelik faiz hedefi) %5,50 ile 25 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinde. Son veriler, ABD \u201c\u00e7ekirdek enflasyonunun\u201d (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %2,8\u2019de \u201cinat\u00e7\u0131\u201d kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, son tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (Non-Farm Payrolls: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rde ayl\u0131k istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) raporunun da 215 bin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini ortaya koydu. Bu dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde faiz indirimine y\u00f6nelmesi i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 gerek\u00e7e b\u0131rak\u0131yor ve RBA\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 belirgin bir \u201cpolitika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131\u201d (merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 faiz y\u00f6nlerinde hareket etmesi) yarat\u0131yor.\n\nMerkez bankas\u0131 beklentilerindeki bu a\u00e7\u0131lma, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n Avustralya dolar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir AUD\/USD kuruna y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlar g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. \u201cT\u00fcrev\u201d (de\u011feri dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) stratejileri i\u00e7inde, AUD\/USD \u201cput opsiyonu\u201d (belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak veya \u201cbear put spread\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle iki put opsiyonunu farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131yla birlikte kullanma) kurmak, risk kontrol\u00fcyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir.\n\nEmtia fiyatlar\u0131 da (AUD i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir etken) daha zay\u0131f bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme i\u015faret ediyor. WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 82 dolara daha yak\u0131n; ge\u00e7en y\u0131l enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131ran 100 dolar seviyesinde de\u011fil. Avustralya a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha kritik olan demir cevherinde ise sanayi talebinin yava\u015flamas\u0131yla fiyatlar ton ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi; bu da para birimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc bask\u0131l\u0131yor.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD 0,6860\u2019la d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisini bitirdi: RBA tutanaklar\u0131 enflasyon riskine i\u015faret ederken Fed\u2019in y\u00fcksek faiz \u0131srar\u0131 politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor. Zay\u0131f emtia, paritede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n ve opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43695","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43695","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43695"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43695\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43695"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43695"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43695"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}