{"id":43677,"date":"2026-03-31T02:01:27","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T02:01:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-042lik-dususun-ardindan-06850-civarinda-seyrediyor-besinci-kaybini-kaydederken-300-pip-geri-cekildi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T02:01:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T02:01:27","slug":"aud-usd-042lik-dususun-ardindan-06850-civarinda-seyrediyor-besinci-kaybini-kaydederken-300-pip-geri-cekildi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-usd-042lik-dususun-ardindan-06850-civarinda-seyrediyor-besinci-kaybini-kaydederken-300-pip-geri-cekildi\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, %0,42\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan 0,6850 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor; be\u015finci kayb\u0131n\u0131 kaydederken 300 pip geri \u00e7ekildi"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,42 gerileyerek yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,6850 seviyesine indi ve \u00fcst \u00fcste be\u015finci g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydetti. Parite, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc kabaca 0,6870\u20130,6830 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesinin ard\u0131ndan, mart ortas\u0131nda y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirvesi olan 0,7190\u2019a k\u0131yasla 300 pipten (paritede d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc ondal\u0131k hanedeki 0,0001\u2019lik fiyat ad\u0131m\u0131) fazla d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda.\n\nRBA (Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131), martta politika faizini (nakit faiz oran\u0131) 25 baz puan (faizde 0,25 y\u00fczde puan) art\u0131rarak %4,10\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131; karar 5\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 4 oyla al\u0131nd\u0131 ve \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci art\u0131\u015f oldu. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlanacak toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131, may\u0131sta \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilip de\u011ferlendirilmedi\u011fine i\u015faret edebilir. Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 bir arz \u015fokunun (\u00f6zellikle enerji arz\u0131nda ani daralma) enflasyonu ve enflasyon beklentilerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilece\u011fine dair yorumlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\n

Fed Politikas\u0131 ve Kritik ABD Verileri<\/h3>\nFed (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) martta faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tuttu. Dot plot (Fed \u00fcyelerinin y\u0131l sonu faiz beklentilerini nokta ile g\u00f6steren tahmin grafi\u011fi) ise bu y\u0131l bir faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6rmeye devam ediyor. ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak veriler aras\u0131nda \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ISM \u0130malat PMI (imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde faaliyet ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi) ve cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc NFP (tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam; ABD\u2019de ayl\u0131k istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren ana veri) yer al\u0131yor. NFP i\u00e7in beklenti 55 bin; \u00f6nceki ay\u0131n negatif sonucunun ard\u0131ndan toparlanma \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Good Friday (Paskalya \u00f6ncesi cuma; bir\u00e7ok piyasada tatil) nedeniyle i\u015flem hacmi (likidite) zay\u0131flayabilir.\n\n5 dakikal\u0131k grafikte fiyat 0,6846 civar\u0131nda ve 200 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) 0,6857 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. Diren\u00e7 (yukar\u0131 hareketi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) 0,6855\u20130,6860 band\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 0,6875\u2019te. Destek (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareketi yava\u015flatan seviye) 0,6844, 0,6835 ve ard\u0131ndan 0,6825.\n\nG\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte parite 0,6848 civar\u0131nda: 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda, ancak 0,67 \u00e7evresindeki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde. Diren\u00e7 0,6920\/0,6950, ard\u0131ndan 0,7050 ve 0,7120; destek ise 0,6800, 0,6750 ve 0,6735 civar\u0131.\n\n

Faiz Fark\u0131n\u0131n A\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 ve Makro Ayr\u0131\u015fma<\/h3>\nBug\u00fcn politika fark\u0131 belirgin bi\u00e7imde a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015f durumda: RBA politika faizi %4,35 iken Fed fonlama faizi %5,25\u2013%5,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc faiz fark\u0131, Avustralya dolar\u0131 yerine ABD dolar\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 daha cazip k\u0131lmaya devam ediyor ve parite i\u00e7in temel bir bask\u0131 unsuru olu\u015fturuyor. Bu durum, \u201ccarry trade\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli para biriminden bor\u00e7lan\u0131p y\u00fcksek faizli para biriminde getiri arama) a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.\n\nBu tablo, 2026 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki verilerdeki ayr\u0131\u015fmayla da destekleniyor. ABD, 200 binin \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir NFP verisi a\u00e7\u0131klarken; Avustralya\u2019da i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 %4,1\u2019e y\u00fckselerek i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda yumu\u015famaya i\u015faret ediyor. Dayan\u0131kl\u0131 ABD ekonomisi ile so\u011fuyan Avustralya ekonomisi aras\u0131ndaki bu fark, Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131f destekliyor.\n\nAyr\u0131ca Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret orta\u011f\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019e ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de kritik. \u00c7in\u2019den gelen imalat PMI verileri 50 seviyesinin (50\u2019nin \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcme, alt\u0131 daralma) hemen \u00fczerinde seyrederek toparlanman\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lgan oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu da Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n emtia talebini s\u0131n\u0131rlayarak Avustralya dolar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi do\u011fal olarak k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131yor.\n\nBu zemin alt\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda AUD\/USD\u2019deki y\u00fckseli\u015fler sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. \u00d6nemli diren\u00e7 seviyelerine do\u011fru denemelerde (ralli) geri \u00e7ekilme stratejisi uygulanabilir. T\u00fcrev i\u015flemler yapanlar (vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyon gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerle i\u015flem yapanlar) i\u00e7in, put opsiyonu (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen sat\u0131\u015f opsiyonu) al\u0131m\u0131 da 0,6500 civar\u0131ndaki son diplerin alt\u0131na olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmaya kar\u015f\u0131 bir pozisyon olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: Parite 0,6850\u2019ye inerek be\u015finci kayb\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131. RBA tutanaklar\u0131, Fed\/NFP ve faiz fark\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 odakta; 0,6860 diren\u00e7, 0,6800 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43677","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43677","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43677"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43677\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43677"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43677"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43677"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}