{"id":43674,"date":"2026-03-31T01:03:06","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T01:03:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/guvenli-liman-talebi-dxyyi-10050ye-yaklastirdi-trump-irani-uyardi-piyasalar-yaklasan-tarim-disi-istihdam-verisini-bekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T01:03:06","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T01:03:06","slug":"guvenli-liman-talebi-dxyyi-10050ye-yaklastirdi-trump-irani-uyardi-piyasalar-yaklasan-tarim-disi-istihdam-verisini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/guvenli-liman-talebi-dxyyi-10050ye-yaklastirdi-trump-irani-uyardi-piyasalar-yaklasan-tarim-disi-istihdam-verisini-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00fcvenli liman talebi DXY\u2019yi 100,50\u2019ye yakla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131; Trump \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 uyard\u0131, piyasalar yakla\u015fan tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisini bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik daha sert (\u015fahin) a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k 100,50 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi ve art arda be\u015finci g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fe haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. EUR\/USD 1,1460 civar\u0131na gerileyerek bir haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. GBP\/USD ise 1,3174 ile \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine indi.\n\nUSD\/JPY, d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015f serisini sonland\u0131rd\u0131 ve Yen\u2019e (Japon para birimi) d\u00f6nem d\u00f6nem artan talep nedeniyle 159,60 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. AUD\/USD 0,6850 yak\u0131n\u0131nda iki ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine gerilerken, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) bir sonraki toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde temkinli ama s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma yanl\u0131s\u0131 (\u015fahin: faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma veya art\u0131rma e\u011filimi) bir duru\u015f sergiledi.\n\n<h3>Emtialar Ve G\u00fcvenli Limanlar<\/h3>\nWTI ham petrol, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapal\u0131 tutmas\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste gelen y\u00fckseli\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan varil ba\u015f\u0131na 103,20 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Alt\u0131n, dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine ra\u011fmen g\u00fcvenli liman (piyasa stresi art\u0131nca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6neldi\u011fi varl\u0131k) talebiyle 4.515 dolar civar\u0131nda tutundu.\n\nSal\u0131\u2019dan Cuma\u2019ya a\u00e7\u0131klanacak veriler aras\u0131nda Euro B\u00f6lgesi perakende sat\u0131\u015flar, T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi: enflasyonu \u00f6l\u00e7er), HICP (AB uyumlu enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) ve i\u015fsizlik yer al\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca Kanada GSYH (ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) ve ABD\u2019den t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni, JOLTS a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131 (i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc talebini g\u00f6steren veri), ADP \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131 (tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdama \u00f6nc\u00fc kabul edilir), ISM PMI (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi: b\u00fcy\u00fcme\/daralma sinyali) ve tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (Nonfarm Payrolls: ABD istihdam\u0131n\u0131n ana g\u00f6stergesi) a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Di\u011fer veriler aras\u0131nda Japonya\u2019n\u0131n 1\u00c7 Tankan anketi (\u015firket g\u00fcveni) ve \u00c7in\u2019in Mart PMI\u2019lar\u0131 bulunuyor.\n\nWTI, ABD\u2019de Cushing teslim noktas\u0131 esas al\u0131nan ham petrol g\u00f6stergesidir. Fiyat\u0131 arz-talep dengesi, jeopolitik aksakl\u0131klar, OPEC \u00fcretimi ve ABD dolar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan etkilenir. API (Amerikan Petrol Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc) ve EIA (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi) stok raporlar\u0131 Sal\u0131 ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnleri yay\u0131mlan\u0131r; sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 zaman\u0131n %75\u2019inde birbirine %1 i\u00e7inde yak\u0131nd\u0131r. OPEC\u2019in 12 \u00fcyesi vard\u0131r.\n\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l bu d\u00f6nemde, Mart 2025\u2019te, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131 ve y\u00fcksek jeopolitik risk bir aradayd\u0131. Dolar Endeksi 100,50\u2019ye do\u011fru t\u0131rman\u0131yor, \u0130ran\u2019la gerilim nedeniyle petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 103 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeydi. Bu \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d ortam\u0131, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc stratejiler i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir referans noktas\u0131d\u0131r.\n\n<h3>Bu Hafta \u0130\u00e7in Strateji Notlar\u0131<\/h3>\nBug\u00fcn ABD Dolar Endeksi daha da y\u00fcksek seviyelerde; Fed\u2019in son 12 ay boyunca s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma yanl\u0131s\u0131 (\u015fahin) \u00e7izgisini korumas\u0131yla yak\u0131n zamanda y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesi olan 104,55\u2019i g\u00f6rd\u00fc. 2025\u2019teki tablo, dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon alman\u0131n genelde kaybettirdi\u011fini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Bu Cuma a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam dahil kritik ABD istihdam verileri \u00f6ncesinde, belirgin bir dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na oynarken temkinli olmak gerekir.\n\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l h\u0131zla y\u00fckselen WTI petrol fiyatlar\u0131, 2025 sonlar\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda diplomatik temaslar\u0131n tansiyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesiyle varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelendi. Bu, enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki \u201cjeopolitik primin\u201d (risk nedeniyle fiyat\u0131n ekstra y\u00fckselmesi) ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 silinebilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterir. Bu oynakl\u0131k (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert hareketi) dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, WTI\u2019da \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131; out-of-the-money: bug\u00fcnk\u00fc fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerinde, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi i\u00e7in daha b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015f gerektiren) almak, k\u00fcresel risk noktalar\u0131nda beklenmedik bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fa kar\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir koruma (hedge: zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlama) sa\u011flayabilir.\n\nAlt\u0131n\u0131n seyri dikkat \u00e7ekici: Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolara ra\u011fmen 4.515 dolar civar\u0131nda dayan\u0131kl\u0131 kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131; ard\u0131ndan ons ba\u015f\u0131na 4.700 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu durum, normalde g\u00f6r\u00fclen ters ili\u015fkiyi (dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenince alt\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131) k\u0131rd\u0131. Ana neden, 2025 boyunca merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n rekor al\u0131mlar\u0131; rezervlerine 1.050 metrik tondan fazla alt\u0131n eklediler. Bu kal\u0131c\u0131 talep, alt\u0131n\u0131n rol\u00fcn\u00fcn de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor: Sadece \u201cdolar kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131\u201d bir ara\u00e7 de\u011fil; enflasyona ve sistemik riske (finansal sistemin geneline yay\u0131labilecek risk) kar\u015f\u0131 temel bir koruma arac\u0131.\n\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l EUR\/USD ve GBP\/USD\u2019deki zay\u0131fl\u0131k daha da belirginle\u015fti; EUR\/USD 1,0500 seviyesini korumakta zorlan\u0131rken GBP\/USD 1,2200\u2019nin alt\u0131na indi. 2025\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n daha gev\u015fek (g\u00fcvercin: faiz indirimi\/daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz e\u011filimi) y\u00f6ne kaymas\u0131 ve Fed politikas\u0131yla ayr\u0131\u015fma bu fark\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fctt\u00fc. Bu nedenle, \u00f6zellikle bu hafta gelecek \u00f6nc\u00fc Euro B\u00f6lgesi T\u00dcFE verisi \u00f6ncesinde, bu paritelerdeki y\u00fckseli\u015fler sat\u0131\u015f (short: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen) i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.\n\nPiyasada ABD t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni ve Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc istihdam raporu gibi \u00f6nemli veriler var. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l jeopolitik haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 ekonomik verilerin etkisini g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakabiliyordu. Mevcut ortam daha sakin g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, bu y\u00fcksek etkili verilerin yaratabilece\u011fi oynakl\u0131\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131 opsiyonlarla (belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) korunmak faydal\u0131 olabilir; s\u00fcrpriz bir sonu\u00e7 piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u015eahin Trump a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131yla DXY 100,50\u2019ye t\u0131rman\u0131rken euro ve sterlin dipleri test ediyor. WTI 103 dolarda, alt\u0131n 4.515\u2019te diren\u00e7li. Kritik ABD\/Euro veri haftas\u0131nda dolar ve volatiliteye dikkat.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43674","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43674","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43674"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43674\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43674"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43674"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43674"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}