{"id":43665,"date":"2026-03-30T23:01:27","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T23:01:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-dolarinin-guclenmesiyle-eur-usd-11500nin-altina-geriledi-bes-dususun-ardindan-11444-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T23:01:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T23:01:27","slug":"abd-dolarinin-guclenmesiyle-eur-usd-11500nin-altina-geriledi-bes-dususun-ardindan-11444-civarinda-islem-goruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-dolarinin-guclenmesiyle-eur-usd-11500nin-altina-geriledi-bes-dususun-ardindan-11444-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle EUR\/USD 1,1500\u2019nin alt\u0131na geriledi; be\u015f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan 1,1444 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc be\u015finci g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste geriledi ve 1,1500 seviyesinin alt\u0131na indi. Parite 1,1444 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken son iki haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hareketin arkas\u0131nda, euro \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratan geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi vard\u0131.\n\nJeopolitik gerilimler (ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019la sava\u015f\u0131) ve artan petrol fiyatlar\u0131 nedeniyle piyasalarda riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerine y\u00f6nelmesi) artt\u0131. Bu ortamda ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talep y\u00fckseldi. K\u00fcresel ham petrol ABD dolar\u0131yla fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, dolara destek verebilir.\n\n<h3>Riskten Ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f Dolar\u0131 G\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor<\/h3>\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren endeks) 100,54 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve bu ay ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen 10 ay\u0131n zirvelerine yak\u0131nd\u0131. Piyasalar\u0131n para politikas\u0131 (merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz ve likidite kararlar\u0131) beklentilerini g\u00fcncellemesiyle hem ABD\u2019de hem Avrupa\u2019da tahvil getirileri (tahvil faizi) geriledi.\n\nABD\u2019de piyasalar, daha \u00f6nce 2026 sonuna kadar faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini neredeyse %50 fiyatlarken, \u015fimdi ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) 2026 boyunca faizi de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyece\u011fini bekliyor. Bu beklenti de\u011fi\u015fimi, CME FedWatch Tool\u2019a (vadeli i\u015flemlere g\u00f6re Fed faiz olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) yans\u0131yor. Odak, enflasyon riskinden y\u00fcksek enerji maliyetlerinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerindeki etkisine kay\u0131yor.\n\nAvrupa\u2019da piyasalar nisan ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini azaltt\u0131; buna kar\u015f\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde yakla\u015f\u0131k iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimali fiyatlarda duruyor. Almanya\u2019n\u0131n mart ay\u0131 \u00f6nc\u00fc enflasyonu (ilk a\u00e7\u0131klanan ge\u00e7ici veri) fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyon verisi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Hafta ilerledik\u00e7e ABD\u2019de ISM \u0130malat PMI (imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi) ve Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Nonfarm Payrolls: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rdeki ayl\u0131k istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131) verileri izlenecek.\n\nEUR\/USD\u2019nin kritik 1,1500 seviyesinin alt\u0131na inmesiyle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n daha olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. ABD Dolar Endeksi 100,80 yak\u0131n\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131yor; Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki kal\u0131c\u0131 jeopolitik risk bunu destekliyor. Gerilimler Brent petrol\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 110 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutmaya devam ederse, dolar g\u00fcvenli liman (belirsizlikte tercih edilen varl\u0131k) al\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00e7ekmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir.\n\n<h3>D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve Oynakl\u0131k \u0130\u00e7in Stratejiler<\/h3>\nBu tablo, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n (trader) ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften ya da oynakl\u0131ktaki art\u0131\u015ftan (fiyatlar\u0131n sert dalgalanmas\u0131) faydalanan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirmesini gerektiriyor. EUR\/USD\u2019de sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli bir fiyattan satma hakk\u0131; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir) almak, paritenin 1,1350 destek seviyesine (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenebildi\u011fi seviye) do\u011fru gerilemesi halinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle getiri hedefleyen bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. Fed\u2019in politika faizini (federal funds rate: bankalar aras\u0131 gecelik faiz i\u00e7in hedef oran) 2026 boyunca %5,50\u2019de tutaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi, ABD verilerinde olumlu s\u00fcrprizlerin dolar\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.\n\n2025\u2019te \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ilk t\u0131rmand\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ilk \u015fokun da dolara g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc talep getirdi\u011fi hat\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Ancak o d\u00f6nemde piyasa genelinde merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 (faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131) beklentisi vard\u0131. \u015eimdi ise piyasa, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6zellikle Avrupa\u2019da b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi yava\u015flatmas\u0131ndan daha fazla endi\u015fe ediyor.\n\nEuro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin enerji \u015foklar\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131k olmas\u0131 (enerji fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan daha fazla etkilenmesi) temel risk olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor ve Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) i\u015fini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Almanya verileri enflasyonda hafif art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etse de, Euro B\u00f6lgesi mart ay\u0131 \u00f6nc\u00fc T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi; enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %2,8 oldu. Bu durum ECB\u2019yi enflasyonla m\u00fccadele ile k\u0131r\u0131lgan ekonomiyi destekleme aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. ABD ile bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 (faiz ve y\u00f6n fark\u0131) euro \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmaya devam edebilir.\n\nBu nedenle odak, \u00f6zellikle Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam raporu olmak \u00fczere bu haftaki kritik ABD verilerinde olmal\u0131. Son d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fclen 200 bin \u00fczeri art\u0131\u015flara benzer bir g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verisi, ABD ekonomisinin dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 (yava\u015flamaya ra\u011fmen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131) alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirir. Bu da Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu (y\u00fcksek faizi koruma) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi i\u00e7in gerek\u00e7eyi kuvvetlendirerek EUR\/USD \u00fczerinde ek bask\u0131 yaratabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Piyasalarda \u201csava\u015f ve petrol\u201d \u015foku: EUR\/USD be\u015finci g\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015ferek 1,1500 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor; DXY 100,5\u2019te. Odak Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonu ve ABD NFP\/ISM verileri. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n bask\u0131n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43665","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43665","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43665"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43665\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43665"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43665"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43665"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}