{"id":43622,"date":"2026-03-30T11:08:04","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T11:08:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/gecen-haftaki-sert-nas100-dususunun-ardindan-ortalamaya-donus-egilimi-videoda-ele-alindigi-uzere-yukari-yonlu-potansiyelin-surebilecegine-isaret-ediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T11:08:04","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T11:08:04","slug":"gecen-haftaki-sert-nas100-dususunun-ardindan-ortalamaya-donus-egilimi-videoda-ele-alindigi-uzere-yukari-yonlu-potansiyelin-surebilecegine-isaret-ediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gecen-haftaki-sert-nas100-dususunun-ardindan-ortalamaya-donus-egilimi-videoda-ele-alindigi-uzere-yukari-yonlu-potansiyelin-surebilecegine-isaret-ediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Ge\u00e7en haftaki sert NAS100 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan, ortalamaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi, videoda ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyelin s\u00fcrebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"NAS100\u2019de haftal\u0131k sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc ve ard\u0131ndan fiyat hareketi **ortalamas\u0131na geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f** (*mean reversion*: fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hareketten sonra son d\u00f6nem ortalamas\u0131na yakla\u015fma e\u011filimi) a\u015famas\u0131na ge\u00e7ti. Video, bir **geri \u00e7ekilmenin** (*pullback*: k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f) ard\u0131ndan endeksin son d\u00f6nem ortalamalar\u0131na d\u00f6nerken **toparlanma** gelebilece\u011fini anlat\u0131yor.\n\nToparlanma s\u00fcrerse yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn devam edebilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Analiz, sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131 sonras\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n\u00fc ve yukar\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekleyebilecek \u015fartlar\u0131 ele al\u0131yor.\n\nNasdaq 100\u2019\u00fcn ge\u00e7en hafta %4,5\u2019lik sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn (2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri en k\u00f6t\u00fcs\u00fc) ard\u0131ndan, tipik bir **ortalamas\u0131na geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f** g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Geri \u00e7ekilme b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u015eubat 2026 **T\u00dcFE** verisinin (*CPI\/T\u00dcFE: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi*) %2,8 ile beklentilerin biraz \u00fczerinde gelmesine (*s\u0131cak gelmesi: enflasyonun beklenenden y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131*) tepkiydi; ancak genel **y\u00fckseli\u015f yap\u0131s\u0131** (*bullish structure: ana trendin yukar\u0131 olmas\u0131*) korunuyor. Bu da sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n abart\u0131l\u0131 olabilece\u011fine ve k\u0131sa vadede yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat do\u011fdu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.\n\n**Oynakl\u0131k Endeksi (VIX)** (*piyasan\u0131n beklenen dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d*) sat\u0131\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda 22\u2019ye s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131, ancak 18\u2019e geriledi. Bu, ilk panik havas\u0131n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Korkunun azalmas\u0131, piyasada dip olu\u015fabilece\u011fi ve yukar\u0131 hareketin ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesini destekliyor. **T\u00fcrev** i\u015flemi yapanlar\u0131n (*vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyon gibi ara\u00e7lar*) \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda olas\u0131 toparlanmaya g\u00f6re pozisyon almas\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir.\n\nNisan veya May\u0131s 2026 vadeli, **paraya yak\u0131n al\u0131m opsiyonu** (*near-the-money call: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyata yak\u0131n olan y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentili opsiyon*) almak, endeksin son zirvelere do\u011fru toparlanmas\u0131ndan yararlanman\u0131n do\u011frudan bir yolu olabilir. Bu strateji, yukar\u0131 hareketten **kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131** (*k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck maliyetle daha b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat etkisi*) yararlanma sa\u011flar; azami zarar ise \u00f6denen **primle** (*opsiyon sat\u0131n alma bedeli*) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r. K\u0131sa vadeli toparlanmay\u0131 oynamak i\u00e7in net bir y\u00f6ntemdir.\n\nGelir hedefleyenler i\u00e7in **paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda sat\u0131m spread\u2019i** satmak (*out-of-the-money put spread: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 piyasadan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da olan sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte kullanarak prim toplama; risk s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r*) da dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Bu strateji, prim geliri sa\u011flar ve riski s\u0131n\u0131rlar; endeksin ay ba\u015f\u0131nda olu\u015fan \u00f6nemli **destek** seviyelerinin \u00fcst\u00fcnde kalaca\u011f\u0131na oynar. Hem piyasa y\u00fckselirse hem de zaman ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e (*zaman de\u011feri etkisi*) fayda sa\u011flayabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NAS100\u2019de %4,5\u2019luk \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f sonras\u0131 sahne \u201cortalamas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u201dte: VIX 22\u2019den 18\u2019e indi, panik da\u011f\u0131l\u0131yor. T\u00dcFE s\u0131cak gelse de trend yukar\u0131. Toparlanma i\u00e7in call veya OTM put spread g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43622","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43622","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43622"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43622\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43622"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43622"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43622"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}